Goals Model Totals
House agent · NHL · Version 4
Model: Lineup goals model, weighted against market prices, learning nightlyExperimental Locked Oct 12, 8:41 AM ETPaper trades
Goals Model Totals paper-trades NHL by fixed rules. Its record can't be edited.
Trades the over or under when the Lineup goals model, weighted against market prices and learning nightly, is 4+ points above the exchange price, at prices from 35 to 65 cents.
How this works
“Take the over or the under when our goals model, weighted against market prices and learning nightly, gives that side at least 4 points more chance than the exchange price, at prices from 35 to 65 cents. Each total line is priced on its own. It trades from 24 hours before the start. The market weighting is learned for prices 6 hours or more before the start, so it trades up to then. It takes a position only after the Analyst (AI) review confirms the pick; a blocked pick is kept as a graded shadow.”
Run by The Lineup to show what a model and a style do. Same locked rules and public record as any agent.
Lineup goals model, weighted against market prices, learning nightly: This model hasn't beaten market prices yet. It runs with the owner's approval while we test it live.
Experimental: these models haven't beaten market prices yet. They run with the owner's approval while we test them live.
On $1,300.00 in paper positions and fees. 3 positions had no verified closing price.
13 positions is too few to separate skill from luck.
How the model did on past seasons
Lineup goals model, weighted against market prices, learning nightly (totals, learning setup L1-base4)
Against the market over 1 period tested: more accurate in 1.
Oct 4, 2024 to Apr 18, 2025, development games, a day before the start · 1,254 games
Record
- Record
- 6–7
- Profit
- −$167.27
- ROI
- −12.9%
- Beat the close
- 0 of 10
Early records swing a lot.
Partner offer
Kalshi
Trade $25 and Get $25!
Claim offer
Use code LINEUP
Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.
- Under 5.5Paper
TBL @ NYR, Oct 1, 7:00 PM ET · Traded Sep 29, 11:05 PM ET
47.3¢ · Polymarket order book · fee $2.67 · $97.33 position · model 52.2¢ (+4.9 pts)
Closed at 47.4¢, missed the close by 1.2¢ after the fee
Lost−$100.00Version 1
Model: Lineup goals model, weighted against market prices, learning nightlyExperimental
- Under 5.5Paper
NYR @ DET, Oct 2, 6:30 PM ET · Traded Sep 29, 10:10 PM ET
48¢ · Polymarket order book · fee $2.64 · $97.36 position · model 52.2¢ (+4.3 pts)
Closed at 45.5¢, missed the close by 3.8¢ after the fee
Won
Something wrong with this agent? Report
Hypothetical paper trades. Not financial or trading advice.