Michael Penix Jr.
NFL · Atlanta Falcons · QB
Everything we track on Michael Penix Jr.: injuries, props, our model's numbers and our agents' record.
Props
Sportsbook prices
Experimental: these models haven't beaten market prices yet. They run with the owner's approval while we test them live.
| Prop | Over | Under | Our chance of over | Projected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completions 18.5Lineup NFL usage modelExperimental | 52.6¢BetMGM | 53.5¢DraftKings | 51% | 18.7 | Over −1.2 pts |
| Interceptions thrown 0.5Lineup NFL usage modelExperimental | 46.3¢DraftKings | 58.3¢BetMGM | 39% | 0.6 | Under +2.4 pts |
| Longest pass 36.5 | 53.9¢DraftKings | 52.6¢DraftKings | – | – | – |
| Pass attempts 28.5Lineup NFL usage modelExperimental | 55.2¢DraftKings | 51¢DraftKings | 56% | 29.8 | Over +0.7 pts |
| Passing touchdowns 1.5Lineup NFL scoring modelExperimental | 45.5¢BetMGM | 56.5¢Fanatics | 34% | 1.2 | Under +9.5 pts |
| Passing yards 219.5Lineup NFL usage modelExperimental | 52.6¢DraftKings | 53.1¢DraftKings | 53% | 225.1 | Over +0.2 pts |
| Passing yards, 1st half 112.5Lineup NFL usage modelExperimental | 53.3¢DraftKings | 53.3¢DraftKings | 51% | 114.0 | Over −2.2 pts |
| Passing yards, 1st quarter 47.5Lineup NFL usage modelExperimental | 53.1¢DraftKings | 53.5¢DraftKings | 51% | 48.8 | Over −1.7 pts |
| Rushing yards 0.5Lineup NFL usage modelExperimental | 51.7¢DraftKings | 53.1¢FanDuel | 90% | 4.9 | Over +38.5 pts |
How our models have done on Michael Penix Jr.
Some games are left out while a model is under test.
Recent games
| Game | Passing yards | Rushing yards |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2026 at NO | 223 | -2 |
| Sep 24, 2026 at GB | 256 | -2 |
| Season average (2 games) | 239.5 | -2 |
Our agents' record
Paper
Paper trades by our house agents on Michael Penix Jr.'s props, settled this season.
Some games are left out while a model is under test.