Bryan Rust

NHL · Pittsburgh Penguins · R

Everything we track on Bryan Rust: injuries, props, our model's numbers and our agents' record.

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at CHI · Tue, Oct 13, 8:00 PM ET

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How our models have done on Bryan Rust

Assists

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Assists: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 DAL	0.5	32%	0.4	Won
Oct 9, 2026 CBJ	0.5	37%	0.5	Won
Oct 7, 2026 WSH	0.5	36%	0.4	Won

Model's side won 3 of 3

Goals

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Goals: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 DAL	0.5	29%	0.3	0	Won
Oct 9, 2026 CBJ	1.5	6%	0.4	1	Won
Oct 7, 2026 WSH	1.5	5%	0.4	1	Won

Model's side won 3 of 3

Points

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Points: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 DAL	0.5	52%	0.7	0	Lost
Oct 9, 2026 CBJ	0.5	58%	0.9	1	Won
Oct 7, 2026 WSH	0.5	55%	0.8	1	Won

Model's side won 2 of 3

Points, 1st period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Points, 1st period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 DAL	1	19%	0.2	Won
Oct 9, 2026 CBJ	1	22%	0.3	Won
Oct 7, 2026 WSH	1	21%	0.2	Lost

Model's side won 2 of 3

Points, 2nd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Points, 2nd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 DAL	1	22%	0.2	Won
Oct 9, 2026 CBJ	1	26%	0.3	Lost
Oct 7, 2026 WSH	1	24%	0.3	Won

Model's side won 2 of 3

Points, 3rd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Points, 3rd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 DAL	1	22%	0.3	Won
Oct 9, 2026 CBJ	1	26%	0.3	Won
Oct 7, 2026 WSH	1	24%	0.3	Won

Model's side won 3 of 3

Shots on goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Shots on goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 DAL	2.5	43%	2.4	0	Won
Oct 9, 2026 CBJ	2.5	49%	2.7	2	Won
Oct 7, 2026 WSH	2.5	48%	2.6	3	Lost

Model's side won 2 of 3

Shots on goal, 1st period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Shots on goal, 1st period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 DAL	1	54%	0.8	Lost
Oct 9, 2026 CBJ	1	57%	0.9	Lost
Oct 7, 2026 WSH	1	57%	0.9	Won

Model's side won 1 of 3

To score a goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 DAL	0.5	29%	0.3	0	Won
Oct 9, 2026 CBJ	0.5	33%	0.4	1	Lost
Oct 7, 2026 WSH	0.5	31%	0.4	1	Lost

Model's side won 1 of 3

To score a goal, 1st period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal, 1st period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 DAL	1	9%	0.1	Won
Oct 9, 2026 CBJ	1	11%	0.1	Won
Oct 7, 2026 WSH	1	10%	0.1	Lost

Model's side won 2 of 3

To score a goal, 2nd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal, 2nd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 DAL	1	11%	0.1	Won
Oct 9, 2026 CBJ	1	13%	0.1	Lost
Oct 7, 2026 WSH	1	12%	0.1	Won

Model's side won 2 of 3

To score a goal, 3rd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal, 3rd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 DAL	1	11%	0.1	Won
Oct 9, 2026 CBJ	1	13%	0.1	Won
Oct 7, 2026 WSH	1	12%	0.1	Won

Model's side won 3 of 3

To score in overtime

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score in overtime: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 DAL	1	1%	Won
Oct 9, 2026 CBJ	1	1%	Won
Oct 7, 2026 WSH	1	1%	Won

Model's side won 3 of 3

To score the first goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the first goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 DAL	0.5	5%	0.1	Won
Oct 9, 2026 CBJ	0.5	5%	0.1	Won
Oct 7, 2026 WSH	0.5	5%	0.0	Won

Model's side won 3 of 3

To score the first goal, 2nd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the first goal, 2nd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 DAL	1	4%	Won
Oct 9, 2026 CBJ	1	5%	Won
Oct 7, 2026 WSH	1	4%	Won

Model's side won 3 of 3

To score the first goal, 3rd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the first goal, 3rd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 DAL	1	5%	Won
Oct 9, 2026 CBJ	1	5%	Won
Oct 7, 2026 WSH	1	4%	Won

Model's side won 3 of 3

To score the second goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the second goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 DAL	1	5%	0.1	Won
Oct 9, 2026 CBJ	1	5%	0.1	Won
Oct 7, 2026 WSH	1	5%	0.0	Lost

Model's side won 2 of 3

To score the third goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the third goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 DAL	1	5%	0.0	Won
Oct 9, 2026 CBJ	1	5%	0.1	Lost
Oct 7, 2026 WSH	1	5%	0.0	Won

Model's side won 2 of 3

Power-play points

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Power-play points: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 DAL	0.5	16%	0.2	0	Won
Oct 7, 2026 WSH	0.5	17%	0.2	0	Won

Model's side won 2 of 2

Shots on goal, 2nd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Shots on goal, 2nd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 DAL	1	56%	0.8	0	Lost
Oct 9, 2026 CBJ	1	59%	0.9	0	Won

Model's side won 1 of 2

Shots on goal, 3rd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Shots on goal, 3rd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 DAL	1	52%	0.8	0	Lost
Oct 9, 2026 CBJ	1	56%	0.8	0	Lost

Model's side won 0 of 2

Recent games

Last 3 games
Game	G	PTS	SOG	Hits
Oct 10, 2026 vs DAL	0	0	0	1
Oct 9, 2026 at CBJ	1	1	2	1
Oct 7, 2026 at WSH	1	1	3	0
Season average (3 games)	0.7	0.7	1.7	0.7