Erik Karlsson

NHL · Pittsburgh Penguins · D

Everything we track on Erik Karlsson: injuries, props, our model's numbers and our agents' record.

Next game

at CHI · Tue, Oct 13, 8:00 PM ET

Open the game page

How our models have done on Erik Karlsson

Assists

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Assists: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 DAL	0.5	39%	0.5	0	Won
Oct 9, 2026 CBJ	1	45%	0.6	1	Lost
Oct 7, 2026 WSH	0.5	43%	0.6	0	Won
Oct 5, 2026 WPG	1	47%	0.6	1	Lost
Oct 3, 2026 MTL	1	49%	0.7	2	Lost

Model's side won 2 of 5

Goals

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Goals: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 DAL	1.5	1%	0.1	Won
Oct 9, 2026 CBJ	1.5	1%	0.2	Won
Oct 7, 2026 WSH	1.5	1%	0.2	Won
Oct 5, 2026 WPG	1.5	1%	0.2	Won
Oct 3, 2026 MTL	1.5	2%	0.2	Won

Model's side won 5 of 5

Points

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Points: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 DAL	0.5	47%	0.6	0	Won
Oct 9, 2026 CBJ	1	54%	0.8	1	Won
Oct 7, 2026 WSH	0.5	51%	0.7	0	Lost
Oct 5, 2026 WPG	1	56%	0.8	1	Won
Oct 3, 2026 MTL	0.5	58%	0.9	2	Won

Model's side won 4 of 5

Points, 1st period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Points, 1st period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 DAL	1	17%	0.2	Won
Oct 9, 2026 CBJ	1	20%	0.2	Won
Oct 7, 2026 WSH	1	19%	0.2	Won
Oct 5, 2026 WPG	1	21%	0.2	Won
Oct 3, 2026 MTL	1	22%	0.3	Won

Model's side won 5 of 5

Points, 2nd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Points, 2nd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 DAL	1	19%	0.2	Won
Oct 9, 2026 CBJ	1	23%	0.3	Won
Oct 7, 2026 WSH	1	22%	0.2	Won
Oct 5, 2026 WPG	1	24%	0.3	Lost
Oct 3, 2026 MTL	1	26%	0.3	Lost

Model's side won 3 of 5

Points, 3rd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Points, 3rd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 DAL	1	20%	0.2	Won
Oct 9, 2026 CBJ	1	23%	0.3	Lost
Oct 7, 2026 WSH	1	22%	0.2	Won
Oct 5, 2026 WPG	1	25%	0.3	Won
Oct 3, 2026 MTL	1	26%	0.3	Won

Model's side won 4 of 5

Shots on goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Shots on goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 DAL	1.5	62%	2.1	2	Won
Oct 9, 2026 CBJ	2.5	43%	2.4	0	Won
Oct 7, 2026 WSH	2.5	43%	2.4	4	Lost
Oct 5, 2026 WPG	3	49%	2.7	1	Won
Oct 3, 2026 MTL	2.5	55%	3.0	0	Lost

Model's side won 3 of 5

Shots on goal, 1st period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Shots on goal, 1st period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 DAL	1	50%	0.7	Lost
Oct 9, 2026 CBJ	1	54%	0.8	Lost
Oct 7, 2026 WSH	1	54%	0.8	Won
Oct 5, 2026 WPG	1	57%	0.9	Lost
Oct 3, 2026 MTL	1	61%	1.0	Lost

Model's side won 1 of 5

Shots on goal, 2nd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Shots on goal, 2nd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 DAL	1	52%	0.7	Won
Oct 9, 2026 CBJ	1	56%	0.8	Lost
Oct 7, 2026 WSH	1	56%	0.8	Won
Oct 5, 2026 WPG	1	59%	0.9	Lost
Oct 3, 2026 MTL	1	63%	1.0	Lost

Model's side won 2 of 5

Shots on goal, 3rd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Shots on goal, 3rd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 DAL	1	48%	0.7	Won
Oct 9, 2026 CBJ	1	53%	0.8	Lost
Oct 7, 2026 WSH	1	52%	0.8	Won
Oct 5, 2026 WPG	1	56%	0.8	Won
Oct 3, 2026 MTL	1	60%	0.9	Lost

Model's side won 3 of 5

To score a goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 DAL	0.5	13%	0.1	Won
Oct 9, 2026 CBJ	0.5	15%	0.2	Won
Oct 7, 2026 WSH	0.5	14%	0.2	Won
Oct 5, 2026 WPG	0.5	16%	0.2	Won
Oct 3, 2026 MTL	0.5	18%	0.2	Won

Model's side won 5 of 5

To score a goal, 1st period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal, 1st period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 DAL	1	4%	0.0	Won
Oct 9, 2026 CBJ	1	5%	0.0	Won
Oct 7, 2026 WSH	1	4%	0.0	Won
Oct 5, 2026 WPG	1	5%	0.1	Won
Oct 3, 2026 MTL	1	6%	0.1	Won

Model's side won 5 of 5

To score a goal, 2nd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal, 2nd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 DAL	1	4%	0.0	Won
Oct 9, 2026 CBJ	1	5%	0.1	Won
Oct 7, 2026 WSH	1	5%	0.1	Won
Oct 5, 2026 WPG	1	6%	0.1	Won
Oct 3, 2026 MTL	1	6%	0.1	Won

Model's side won 5 of 5

To score a goal, 3rd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal, 3rd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 DAL	1	5%	0.0	Won
Oct 9, 2026 CBJ	1	6%	0.1	Won
Oct 7, 2026 WSH	1	5%	0.1	Won
Oct 5, 2026 WPG	1	6%	0.1	Won
Oct 3, 2026 MTL	1	7%	0.1	Won

Model's side won 5 of 5

To score in overtime

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score in overtime: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 DAL	1	1%	Won
Oct 9, 2026 CBJ	1	1%	Won
Oct 7, 2026 WSH	1	1%	Won
Oct 5, 2026 WPG	1	1%	Won
Oct 3, 2026 MTL	1	1%	Won

Model's side won 5 of 5

To score the first goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the first goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 DAL	0.5	2%	Won
Oct 9, 2026 CBJ	0.5	2%	Won
Oct 7, 2026 WSH	0.5	2%	Won
Oct 5, 2026 WPG	0.5	2%	Won
Oct 3, 2026 MTL	0.5	2%	Won

Model's side won 5 of 5

To score the first goal, 2nd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the first goal, 2nd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 DAL	1	2%	Won
Oct 9, 2026 CBJ	1	2%	Won
Oct 7, 2026 WSH	1	2%	Won
Oct 5, 2026 WPG	1	2%	Won
Oct 3, 2026 MTL	1	2%	Won

Model's side won 5 of 5

To score the first goal, 3rd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the first goal, 3rd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 DAL	1	2%	Won
Oct 9, 2026 CBJ	1	2%	Won
Oct 7, 2026 WSH	1	2%	Won
Oct 5, 2026 WPG	1	2%	Won
Oct 3, 2026 MTL	1	2%	Won

Model's side won 5 of 5

To score the second goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the second goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 DAL	1	2%	Won
Oct 9, 2026 CBJ	1	2%	Won
Oct 7, 2026 WSH	1	2%	Won
Oct 5, 2026 WPG	1	2%	Won
Oct 3, 2026 MTL	1	2%	Won

Model's side won 5 of 5

To score the third goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the third goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 DAL	1	2%	Won
Oct 9, 2026 CBJ	1	2%	Won
Oct 7, 2026 WSH	1	2%	Won
Oct 5, 2026 WPG	1	2%	Won
Oct 3, 2026 MTL	1	2%	Won

Model's side won 5 of 5

Power-play points

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Power-play points: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 DAL	0.5	12%	0.1	Won
Oct 9, 2026 CBJ	0.5	13%	0.1	Won
Oct 7, 2026 WSH	0.5	13%	0.1	Won
Oct 5, 2026 WPG	0.5	13%	0.1	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

Recent games

Last 6 games
Game	A	PTS	SOG	Hits
Oct 10, 2026 vs DAL	0	0	2	0
Oct 9, 2026 at CBJ	1	1	0	0
Oct 7, 2026 at WSH	0	0	4	0
Oct 5, 2026 vs WPG	1	1	1	1
Oct 3, 2026 vs MTL	2	2	0	0
Sep 30, 2026 at PHI	1	1	3	0
Season average (6 games)	0.8	0.8	1.7	0.2