David Pastrnak

NHL · Boston Bruins · R

Everything we track on David Pastrnak: injuries, props, our model's numbers and our agents' record.

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at SJS · Tue, Oct 13, 11:00 PM ET

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How our models have done on David Pastrnak

Assists

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Assists: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 PHI	1	56%	0.8	1	Won
Oct 8, 2026 UTA	1	55%	0.8	2	Won
Oct 5, 2026 OTT	0.5	54%	0.8	0	Lost
Oct 3, 2026 MIN	0.5	49%	0.7	0	Won
Oct 2, 2026 WPG	1	48%	0.7	2	Lost

Model's side won 3 of 5

Goals

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Goals: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 PHI	0.5	36%	0.4	0	Won
Oct 8, 2026 UTA	0.5	34%	0.4	2	Lost
Oct 5, 2026 OTT	0.5	34%	0.4	0	Won
Oct 3, 2026 MIN	1.5	5%	0.3	0	Won
Oct 2, 2026 WPG	0.5	30%	0.4	0	Won

Model's side won 4 of 5

Points

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Points: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 PHI	2	36%	1.3	1	Won
Oct 8, 2026 UTA	2	35%	1.2	4	Lost
Oct 5, 2026 OTT	0.5	70%	1.2	0	Lost
Oct 3, 2026 MIN	0.5	64%	1.0	0	Lost
Oct 2, 2026 WPG	1	64%	1.0	2	Won

Model's side won 2 of 5

Points, 1st period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Points, 1st period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 PHI	1	31%	0.4	Lost
Oct 8, 2026 UTA	1	30%	0.4	Lost
Oct 5, 2026 OTT	1	29%	0.3	Won
Oct 3, 2026 MIN	1	25%	0.3	Won
Oct 2, 2026 WPG	1	25%	0.3	Won

Model's side won 3 of 5

Points, 2nd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Points, 2nd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 PHI	1	35%	0.4	Won
Oct 8, 2026 UTA	1	34%	0.4	Lost
Oct 5, 2026 OTT	1	33%	0.4	Won
Oct 3, 2026 MIN	1	29%	0.3	Won
Oct 2, 2026 WPG	1	29%	0.3	Won

Model's side won 4 of 5

Points, 3rd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Points, 3rd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 PHI	1	35%	0.4	Won
Oct 8, 2026 UTA	1	35%	0.4	Won
Oct 5, 2026 OTT	1	34%	0.4	Won
Oct 3, 2026 MIN	1	30%	0.4	Won
Oct 2, 2026 WPG	1	30%	0.4	Lost

Model's side won 4 of 5

Shots on goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Shots on goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 PHI	3.5	53%	3.9	4	Won
Oct 8, 2026 UTA	3.5	40%	3.2	4	Lost
Oct 5, 2026 OTT	3.5	41%	3.3	2	Won
Oct 3, 2026 MIN	3.5	40%	3.2	5	Lost
Oct 2, 2026 WPG	3.5	33%	2.9	4	Lost

Model's side won 2 of 5

Shots on goal, 1st period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Shots on goal, 1st period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 PHI	2	36%	1.3	Lost
Oct 8, 2026 UTA	1	64%	1.0	Won
Oct 5, 2026 OTT	1	65%	1.1	Won
Oct 3, 2026 MIN	1	64%	1.1	Won
Oct 2, 2026 WPG	1	60%	0.9	Won

Model's side won 4 of 5

Shots on goal, 2nd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Shots on goal, 2nd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 PHI	2	39%	1.4	Won
Oct 8, 2026 UTA	1	66%	1.1	Won
Oct 5, 2026 OTT	1	67%	1.1	Won
Oct 3, 2026 MIN	1	66%	1.1	Won
Oct 2, 2026 WPG	1	62%	1.0	Lost

Model's side won 4 of 5

Shots on goal, 3rd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Shots on goal, 3rd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 PHI	2	35%	1.2	Won
Oct 8, 2026 UTA	1	63%	1.0	Lost
Oct 5, 2026 OTT	1	64%	1.0	Lost
Oct 3, 2026 MIN	1	63%	1.0	Won
Oct 2, 2026 WPG	1	59%	0.9	Won

Model's side won 3 of 5

To score a goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 PHI	0.5	36%	0.4	0	Won
Oct 8, 2026 UTA	0.5	34%	0.4	2	Lost
Oct 5, 2026 OTT	0.5	34%	0.4	0	Won
Oct 3, 2026 MIN	0.5	29%	0.3	0	Won
Oct 2, 2026 WPG	0.5	30%	0.4	0	Won

Model's side won 4 of 5

To score a goal, 1st period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal, 1st period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 PHI	1	12%	0.1	Won
Oct 8, 2026 UTA	1	11%	0.1	Lost
Oct 5, 2026 OTT	1	11%	0.1	Won
Oct 3, 2026 MIN	1	9%	0.1	Won
Oct 2, 2026 WPG	1	10%	0.1	Won

Model's side won 4 of 5

To score a goal, 2nd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal, 2nd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 PHI	1	14%	0.1	Won
Oct 8, 2026 UTA	1	13%	0.1	Lost
Oct 5, 2026 OTT	1	13%	0.1	Won
Oct 3, 2026 MIN	1	11%	0.1	Won
Oct 2, 2026 WPG	1	11%	0.1	Won

Model's side won 4 of 5

To score a goal, 3rd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal, 3rd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 PHI	1	14%	0.2	Won
Oct 8, 2026 UTA	1	14%	0.1	Won
Oct 5, 2026 OTT	1	14%	0.1	Won
Oct 3, 2026 MIN	1	12%	0.1	Won
Oct 2, 2026 WPG	1	12%	0.1	Won

Model's side won 5 of 5

To score in overtime

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score in overtime: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 PHI	1	1%	Won
Oct 8, 2026 UTA	1	1%	Won
Oct 5, 2026 OTT	1	1%	Won
Oct 3, 2026 MIN	1	1%	Won
Oct 2, 2026 WPG	1	1%	Won

Model's side won 5 of 5

To score the first goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the first goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 PHI	0.5	7%	0.1	Won
Oct 8, 2026 UTA	0.5	6%	0.1	Won
Oct 5, 2026 OTT	0.5	6%	0.1	Won
Oct 3, 2026 MIN	0.5	6%	0.1	Won
Oct 2, 2026 WPG	0.5	6%	0.1	Won

Model's side won 5 of 5

To score the first goal, 2nd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the first goal, 2nd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 PHI	1	6%	0.1	Won
Oct 8, 2026 UTA	1	5%	0.1	Lost
Oct 5, 2026 OTT	1	5%	0.1	Won
Oct 3, 2026 MIN	1	5%	0.0	Won
Oct 2, 2026 WPG	1	5%	0.1	Won

Model's side won 4 of 5

To score the first goal, 3rd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the first goal, 3rd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 PHI	1	6%	0.1	Won
Oct 8, 2026 UTA	1	6%	0.1	Won
Oct 5, 2026 OTT	1	5%	0.1	Won
Oct 3, 2026 MIN	1	5%	0.1	Won
Oct 2, 2026 WPG	1	5%	0.1	Won

Model's side won 5 of 5

To score the second goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the second goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 PHI	1	7%	0.1	Won
Oct 8, 2026 UTA	1	6%	0.1	Lost
Oct 5, 2026 OTT	1	6%	0.1	Won
Oct 3, 2026 MIN	1	6%	0.1	Won
Oct 2, 2026 WPG	1	6%	0.1	Won

Model's side won 4 of 5

To score the third goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the third goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 PHI	1	7%	0.1	Won
Oct 8, 2026 UTA	1	6%	0.1	Won
Oct 5, 2026 OTT	1	6%	0.1	Won
Oct 3, 2026 MIN	1	5%	0.1	Won
Oct 2, 2026 WPG	1	6%	0.1	Won

Model's side won 5 of 5

Power-play points

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Power-play points: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 PHI	0.5	24%	0.3	Won
Oct 8, 2026 UTA	0.5	23%	0.3	Lost
Oct 5, 2026 OTT	0.5	23%	0.3	Won
Oct 2, 2026 WPG	1	23%	0.3	Won

Model's side won 3 of 4

Recent games

Last 6 games
Game	G	A	PTS	SOG	Hits
Oct 10, 2026 vs PHI	0	1	1	4	0
Oct 8, 2026 vs UTA	2	2	4	4	2
Oct 5, 2026 vs OTT	0	0	0	2	5
Oct 3, 2026 at MIN	0	0	0	5	2
Oct 2, 2026 at WPG	0	2	2	4	0
Sep 29, 2026 vs NYR	0	0	0	4	1
Season average (6 games)	0.3	0.8	1.2	3.8	1.7