Matthew Schaefer

NHL · New York Islanders · D

Everything we track on Matthew Schaefer: injuries, props, our model's numbers and our agents' record.

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vs VAN · Tue, Oct 13, 7:45 PM ET

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How our models have done on Matthew Schaefer

Assists

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Assists: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 TBL	0.5	34%	0.4	0	Won
Oct 8, 2026 CHI	1	40%	0.5	1	Lost
Oct 6, 2026 NYR	1	32%	0.4	0	Won
Oct 3, 2026 NJD	0.5	35%	0.4	2	Lost

Model's side won 2 of 4

Goals

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Goals: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 TBL	1.5	2%	0.2	1	Won
Oct 8, 2026 CHI	1.5	3%	0.3	0	Won
Oct 6, 2026 NYR	1.5	2%	0.2	0	Won
Oct 3, 2026 NJD	1.5	3%	0.3	0	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

Points

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Points: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 TBL	0.5	47%	0.6	1	Lost
Oct 8, 2026 CHI	1	55%	0.8	1	Won
Oct 6, 2026 NYR	1	45%	0.6	0	Won
Oct 3, 2026 NJD	0.5	49%	0.7	2	Lost

Model's side won 2 of 4

Shots on goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Shots on goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 TBL	2.5	41%	2.3	9	Lost
Oct 8, 2026 CHI	2.5	52%	2.8	4	Won
Oct 6, 2026 NYR	2.5	43%	2.4	2	Won
Oct 3, 2026 NJD	3	47%	2.6	2	Won

Model's side won 3 of 4

To score a goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 TBL	0.5	20%	0.2	1	Lost
Oct 8, 2026 CHI	0.5	24%	0.3	0	Won
Oct 6, 2026 NYR	0.5	19%	0.2	0	Won
Oct 3, 2026 NJD	0.5	22%	0.3	0	Won

Model's side won 3 of 4

Points, 1st period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Points, 1st period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 8, 2026 CHI	1	20%	0.2	Lost
Oct 6, 2026 NYR	1	16%	0.2	Won
Oct 3, 2026 NJD	1	18%	0.2	Won

Model's side won 2 of 3

Points, 2nd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Points, 2nd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 8, 2026 CHI	1	24%	0.3	Won
Oct 6, 2026 NYR	1	18%	0.2	Won
Oct 3, 2026 NJD	1	21%	0.2	Lost

Model's side won 2 of 3

Points, 3rd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Points, 3rd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 8, 2026 CHI	1	24%	0.3	Won
Oct 6, 2026 NYR	1	19%	0.2	Won
Oct 3, 2026 NJD	1	21%	0.2	Won

Model's side won 3 of 3

Shots on goal, 1st period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Shots on goal, 1st period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 8, 2026 CHI	1	59%	0.9	Won
Oct 6, 2026 NYR	1	54%	0.8	Won
Oct 3, 2026 NJD	1	56%	0.8	Won

Model's side won 3 of 3

Shots on goal, 2nd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Shots on goal, 2nd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 8, 2026 CHI	1	61%	1.0	Won
Oct 6, 2026 NYR	1	56%	0.8	Lost
Oct 3, 2026 NJD	1	58%	0.9	Won

Model's side won 2 of 3

Shots on goal, 3rd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Shots on goal, 3rd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 8, 2026 CHI	1	58%	0.9	Won
Oct 6, 2026 NYR	1	53%	0.8	Won
Oct 3, 2026 NJD	1	55%	0.8	Lost

Model's side won 2 of 3

To score a goal, 1st period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal, 1st period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 8, 2026 CHI	1	8%	0.1	Won
Oct 6, 2026 NYR	1	6%	0.1	Won
Oct 3, 2026 NJD	1	7%	0.1	Won

Model's side won 3 of 3

To score a goal, 2nd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal, 2nd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 8, 2026 CHI	1	9%	0.1	Won
Oct 6, 2026 NYR	1	7%	0.1	Won
Oct 3, 2026 NJD	1	8%	0.1	Won

Model's side won 3 of 3

To score a goal, 3rd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal, 3rd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 8, 2026 CHI	1	9%	0.1	Won
Oct 6, 2026 NYR	1	7%	0.1	Won
Oct 3, 2026 NJD	1	9%	0.1	Won

Model's side won 3 of 3

To score in overtime

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score in overtime: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 8, 2026 CHI	1	1%	Won
Oct 6, 2026 NYR	1	1%	Won
Oct 3, 2026 NJD	1	1%	Won

Model's side won 3 of 3

To score the first goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the first goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 8, 2026 CHI	0.5	4%	Won
Oct 6, 2026 NYR	0.5	3%	Won
Oct 3, 2026 NJD	0.5	4%	Won

Model's side won 3 of 3

To score the first goal, 2nd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the first goal, 2nd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 8, 2026 CHI	1	4%	Won
Oct 6, 2026 NYR	1	3%	Won
Oct 3, 2026 NJD	1	3%	Won

Model's side won 3 of 3

To score the first goal, 3rd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the first goal, 3rd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 8, 2026 CHI	1	4%	Won
Oct 6, 2026 NYR	1	3%	Won
Oct 3, 2026 NJD	1	4%	Won

Model's side won 3 of 3

To score the second goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the second goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 8, 2026 CHI	1	4%	Won
Oct 6, 2026 NYR	1	3%	Won
Oct 3, 2026 NJD	1	4%	Won

Model's side won 3 of 3

To score the third goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the third goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 8, 2026 CHI	1	4%	Won
Oct 6, 2026 NYR	1	3%	Won
Oct 3, 2026 NJD	1	4%	Won

Model's side won 3 of 3

Power-play points

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Power-play points: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 8, 2026 CHI	0.5	13%	0.1	0	Lost
Oct 6, 2026 NYR	0.5	13%	0.1	0	Won

Model's side won 1 of 2

Recent games

Last 5 games
Game	G	A	PTS	SOG	Hits
Oct 10, 2026 vs TBL	1	0	1	9	1
Oct 8, 2026 vs CHI	0	1	1	4	0
Oct 6, 2026 at NYR	0	0	0	2	1
Oct 3, 2026 vs NJD	0	2	2	2	0
Sep 30, 2026 at TOR	0	0	0	3	0
Season average (5 games)	0.2	0.6	0.8	4	0.4