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Pavel Dorofeyev

NHL · New York Rangers · R

Everything we track on Pavel Dorofeyev: injuries, props, our model's numbers and our agents' record.

Next game

vs VAN · Sun, Oct 11, 6:00 PM ET

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Props

Sportsbook prices

Experimental: these models haven't beaten market prices yet. They run with the owner's approval while we test them live.

Best sportsbook price per side and our model's numbers
Prop	Over	Under	Our chance of over	Projected	Edge
Assists 0.5Lineup NHL player modelExperimental	37¢BetMGM	68.3¢DraftKings	32%	0.4	Under −0.3 pts
Goals 0.5Lineup NHL player modelExperimental	44.4¢FanDuel	63¢FanDuel	39%	0.5	Under −2.2 pts
Points 0.5Lineup NHL player modelExperimental	62.3¢BetMGM	42.6¢DraftKings	59%	0.9	Under −1.3 pts
Power-play points 0.5Lineup NHL player modelExperimental	30.3¢BetMGM	77.8¢BetMGM	19%	0.2	Under +2.9 pts
Shots on goal 2.5Lineup NHL player modelExperimental	61.5¢BetMGM	43.1¢FanDuel	56%	3.0	Under +0.4 pts

How our models have done on Pavel Dorofeyev

Assists

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Assists: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 9, 2026 WSH	1	24%	0.3	1	Lost
Oct 6, 2026 NYI	1	26%	0.3	0	Won
Oct 4, 2026 UTA	0.5	26%	0.3	0	Won
Oct 2, 2026 DET	0.5	24%	0.3	0	Won

Model's side won 3 of 4

Goals

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Goals: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 9, 2026 WSH	0.5	31%	0.4	0	Won
Oct 6, 2026 NYI	0.5	32%	0.4	0	Won
Oct 4, 2026 UTA	0.5	33%	0.4	0	Won
Oct 2, 2026 DET	0.5	31%	0.4	0	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

Points

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Points: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 9, 2026 WSH	1	48%	0.6	1	Lost
Oct 6, 2026 NYI	1	50%	0.7	0	Won
Oct 4, 2026 UTA	0.5	51%	0.7	0	Lost
Oct 2, 2026 DET	0.5	47%	0.6	0	Won

Model's side won 2 of 4

Points, 1st period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Points, 1st period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 9, 2026 WSH	1	17%	0.2	0	Lost
Oct 6, 2026 NYI	1	18%	0.2	0	Won
Oct 4, 2026 UTA	1	19%	0.2	0	Won
Oct 2, 2026 DET	1	17%	0.2	0	Won

Model's side won 3 of 4

Points, 2nd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Points, 2nd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 9, 2026 WSH	1	20%	0.2	0	Won
Oct 6, 2026 NYI	1	21%	0.2	0	Won
Oct 4, 2026 UTA	1	21%	0.2	0	Won
Oct 2, 2026 DET	1	19%	0.2	0	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

Points, 3rd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Points, 3rd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 9, 2026 WSH	1	20%	0.2	0	Won
Oct 6, 2026 NYI	1	21%	0.2	0	Won
Oct 4, 2026 UTA	1	22%	0.2	0	Won
Oct 2, 2026 DET	1	20%	0.2	0	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

Shots on goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Shots on goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 9, 2026 WSH	2.5	50%	2.7	4	Lost
Oct 6, 2026 NYI	2.5	53%	2.9	0	Lost
Oct 4, 2026 UTA	2.5	41%	2.3	3	Lost
Oct 2, 2026 DET	2.5	45%	2.5	2	Won

Model's side won 1 of 4

Shots on goal, 1st period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Shots on goal, 1st period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 9, 2026 WSH	1	58%	0.9	0	Won
Oct 6, 2026 NYI	1	60%	0.9	0	Lost
Oct 4, 2026 UTA	1	52%	0.8	0	Lost
Oct 2, 2026 DET	1	55%	0.8	0	Won

Model's side won 2 of 4

Shots on goal, 2nd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Shots on goal, 2nd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 9, 2026 WSH	1	60%	0.9	0	Won
Oct 6, 2026 NYI	1	62%	1.0	0	Lost
Oct 4, 2026 UTA	1	55%	0.8	0	Won
Oct 2, 2026 DET	1	57%	0.9	0	Won

Model's side won 3 of 4

Shots on goal, 3rd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Shots on goal, 3rd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 9, 2026 WSH	1	56%	0.8	0	Lost
Oct 6, 2026 NYI	1	58%	0.9	0	Lost
Oct 4, 2026 UTA	1	51%	0.7	0	Lost
Oct 2, 2026 DET	1	54%	0.8	0	Lost

Model's side won 0 of 4

To score a goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 9, 2026 WSH	0.5	31%	0.4	0	Won
Oct 6, 2026 NYI	0.5	32%	0.4	0	Won
Oct 4, 2026 UTA	0.5	33%	0.4	0	Won
Oct 2, 2026 DET	0.5	31%	0.4	0	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

To score a goal, 1st period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal, 1st period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 9, 2026 WSH	1	10%	0.1	0	Won
Oct 6, 2026 NYI	1	11%	0.1	0	Won
Oct 4, 2026 UTA	1	11%	0.1	0	Won
Oct 2, 2026 DET	1	10%	0.1	0	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

To score a goal, 2nd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal, 2nd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 9, 2026 WSH	1	12%	0.1	0	Won
Oct 6, 2026 NYI	1	12%	0.1	0	Won
Oct 4, 2026 UTA	1	13%	0.1	0	Won
Oct 2, 2026 DET	1	11%	0.1	0	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

To score a goal, 3rd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal, 3rd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 9, 2026 WSH	1	12%	0.1	0	Won
Oct 6, 2026 NYI	1	13%	0.1	0	Won
Oct 4, 2026 UTA	1	13%	0.1	0	Won
Oct 2, 2026 DET	1	12%	0.1	0	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

To score in overtime

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score in overtime: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 9, 2026 WSH	1	1%	0.0	0	Won
Oct 6, 2026 NYI	1	1%	0.0	0	Won
Oct 4, 2026 UTA	1	1%	0.0	0	Won
Oct 2, 2026 DET	1	1%	0.0	0	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

To score the first goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the first goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 9, 2026 WSH	0.5	6%	0.1	0	Won
Oct 6, 2026 NYI	0.5	6%	0.1	0	Won
Oct 4, 2026 UTA	0.5	7%	0.1	0	Won
Oct 2, 2026 DET	0.5	5%	0.1	0	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

To score the first goal, 2nd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the first goal, 2nd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 9, 2026 WSH	1	5%	0.0	0	Won
Oct 6, 2026 NYI	1	5%	0.1	0	Won
Oct 4, 2026 UTA	1	6%	0.1	0	Won
Oct 2, 2026 DET	1	5%	0.0	0	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

To score the first goal, 3rd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the first goal, 3rd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 9, 2026 WSH	1	5%	0.0	0	Won
Oct 6, 2026 NYI	1	5%	0.1	0	Won
Oct 4, 2026 UTA	1	6%	0.1	0	Won
Oct 2, 2026 DET	1	5%	0.0	0	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

To score the second goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the second goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 9, 2026 WSH	1	5%	0.1	0	Won
Oct 6, 2026 NYI	1	6%	0.1	0	Won
Oct 4, 2026 UTA	1	6%	0.1	0	Won
Oct 2, 2026 DET	1	5%	0.1	0	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

To score the third goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the third goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 9, 2026 WSH	1	5%	0.1	0	Won
Oct 6, 2026 NYI	1	6%	0.1	0	Won
Oct 4, 2026 UTA	1	6%	0.1	0	Won
Oct 2, 2026 DET	1	5%	0.1	0	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

Power-play points

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Power-play points: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 9, 2026 WSH	0.5	19%	0.2	0	Lost
Oct 6, 2026 NYI	0.5	19%	0.2	0	Won
Oct 2, 2026 DET	1	19%	0.2	0	Won

Model's side won 2 of 3

Recent games

Last 6 games
Game	G	A	PTS	SOG	Hits
Oct 9, 2026 at WSH	0	1	1	4	1
Oct 6, 2026 vs NYI	0	0	0	0	1
Oct 4, 2026 vs UTA	0	0	0	3	0
Oct 2, 2026 at DET	0	0	0	2	0
Oct 1, 2026 vs TBL	1	1	2	5	0
Sep 29, 2026 at BOS	0	0	0	5	1
Season average (6 games)	0.2	0.3	0.5	3.2	0.5