William Karlsson

NHL · Vegas Golden Knights · C

Everything we track on William Karlsson: injuries, props, our model's numbers and our agents' record.

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at MIN · Mon, Oct 12, 8:00 PM ET

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How our models have done on William Karlsson

Assists

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Assists: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 LAK	0.5	28%	0.3	0	Won
Oct 8, 2026 TOR	0.5	29%	0.3	1	Lost
Oct 6, 2026 SEA	0.5	25%	0.3	0	Won
Oct 4, 2026 VAN	0.5	30%	0.4	0	Won
Oct 2, 2026 ANA	0.5	31%	0.4	0	Won

Model's side won 4 of 5

Goals

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Goals: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 LAK	1.5	2%	0.2	Won
Oct 8, 2026 TOR	1.5	3%	0.3	Won
Oct 6, 2026 SEA	2	2%	0.2	Won
Oct 4, 2026 VAN	1.5	3%	0.3	Won
Oct 2, 2026 ANA	1.5	3%	0.3	Won

Model's side won 5 of 5

Points

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Points: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 LAK	0.5	43%	0.6	0	Won
Oct 8, 2026 TOR	0.5	45%	0.6	1	Lost
Oct 6, 2026 SEA	0.5	39%	0.5	0	Won
Oct 4, 2026 VAN	0.5	47%	0.6	0	Won
Oct 2, 2026 ANA	0.5	48%	0.7	0	Won

Model's side won 4 of 5

Points, 1st period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Points, 1st period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 LAK	1	15%	0.2	Won
Oct 8, 2026 TOR	1	16%	0.2	Won
Oct 6, 2026 SEA	1	13%	0.1	Won
Oct 4, 2026 VAN	1	17%	0.2	Won
Oct 2, 2026 ANA	1	17%	0.2	Won

Model's side won 5 of 5

Shots on goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Shots on goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 LAK	1.5	64%	2.3	3	Won
Oct 8, 2026 TOR	1.5	66%	2.3	1	Lost
Oct 6, 2026 SEA	2	61%	2.1	1	Lost
Oct 4, 2026 VAN	1.5	67%	2.4	2	Won
Oct 2, 2026 ANA	1.5	60%	2.1	2	Won

Model's side won 3 of 5

To score a goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 LAK	0.5	21%	0.2	Won
Oct 8, 2026 TOR	0.5	23%	0.3	Won
Oct 6, 2026 SEA	0.5	19%	0.2	Won
Oct 4, 2026 VAN	0.5	24%	0.3	Won
Oct 2, 2026 ANA	0.5	25%	0.3	Won

Model's side won 5 of 5

To score a goal, 1st period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal, 1st period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 LAK	1	6%	0.1	Won
Oct 8, 2026 TOR	1	7%	0.1	Won
Oct 6, 2026 SEA	1	6%	0.1	Won
Oct 4, 2026 VAN	1	7%	0.1	Won
Oct 2, 2026 ANA	1	8%	0.1	Won

Model's side won 5 of 5

To score a goal, 2nd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal, 2nd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 LAK	1	7%	0.1	Won
Oct 8, 2026 TOR	1	8%	0.1	Won
Oct 6, 2026 SEA	1	7%	0.1	Won
Oct 4, 2026 VAN	1	9%	0.1	Won
Oct 2, 2026 ANA	1	9%	0.1	Won

Model's side won 5 of 5

To score a goal, 3rd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal, 3rd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 LAK	1	8%	0.1	Won
Oct 8, 2026 TOR	1	9%	0.1	Won
Oct 6, 2026 SEA	1	7%	0.1	Won
Oct 4, 2026 VAN	1	9%	0.1	Won
Oct 2, 2026 ANA	1	10%	0.1	Won

Model's side won 5 of 5

To score the first goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the first goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 LAK	0.5	4%	Won
Oct 8, 2026 TOR	0.5	4%	Won
Oct 6, 2026 SEA	0.5	4%	Won
Oct 4, 2026 VAN	0.5	5%	Won
Oct 2, 2026 ANA	0.5	4%	Won

Model's side won 5 of 5

To score the first goal, 2nd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the first goal, 2nd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 LAK	1	4%	Won
Oct 8, 2026 TOR	1	4%	Won
Oct 6, 2026 SEA	1	3%	Won
Oct 4, 2026 VAN	1	4%	Won
Oct 2, 2026 ANA	1	4%	Won

Model's side won 5 of 5

To score the first goal, 3rd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the first goal, 3rd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 LAK	1	4%	Won
Oct 8, 2026 TOR	1	4%	Won
Oct 6, 2026 SEA	1	3%	Won
Oct 4, 2026 VAN	1	4%	Won
Oct 2, 2026 ANA	1	4%	Won

Model's side won 5 of 5

To score the second goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the second goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 LAK	1	4%	Won
Oct 8, 2026 TOR	1	4%	Won
Oct 6, 2026 SEA	1	4%	Won
Oct 4, 2026 VAN	1	5%	Won
Oct 2, 2026 ANA	1	4%	Won

Model's side won 5 of 5

To score the third goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the third goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 LAK	1	4%	Won
Oct 8, 2026 TOR	1	4%	Won
Oct 6, 2026 SEA	1	4%	Won
Oct 4, 2026 VAN	1	4%	Won
Oct 2, 2026 ANA	1	4%	Won

Model's side won 5 of 5

To score in overtime

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score in overtime: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 8, 2026 TOR	1	1%	Won
Oct 6, 2026 SEA	1	1%	Won
Oct 4, 2026 VAN	1	1%	Won
Oct 2, 2026 ANA	1	1%	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

Shots on goal, 1st period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Shots on goal, 1st period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 LAK	1	51%	0.7	Lost
Oct 8, 2026 TOR	1	52%	0.8	Lost
Oct 6, 2026 SEA	1	49%	0.7	Won

Model's side won 1 of 3

Points, 2nd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Points, 2nd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 LAK	1	17%	0.2	0	Won
Oct 8, 2026 TOR	1	19%	0.2	0	Lost

Model's side won 1 of 2

Points, 3rd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Points, 3rd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 LAK	1	17%	0.2	0	Won
Oct 8, 2026 TOR	1	19%	0.2	0	Won

Model's side won 2 of 2

Shots on goal, 2nd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Shots on goal, 2nd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 8, 2026 TOR	1	55%	0.8	0	Lost
Oct 6, 2026 SEA	1	51%	0.7	0	Lost

Model's side won 0 of 2

Shots on goal, 3rd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Shots on goal, 3rd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 8, 2026 TOR	1	51%	0.7	0	Won
Oct 6, 2026 SEA	1	48%	0.7	0	Lost

Model's side won 1 of 2

Recent games

Last 6 games
Game	A	PTS	SOG
Oct 10, 2026 vs LAK	0	0	3
Oct 8, 2026 vs TOR	1	1	1
Oct 6, 2026 at SEA	0	0	1
Oct 4, 2026 at VAN	0	0	2
Oct 2, 2026 vs ANA	0	0	2
Sep 29, 2026 vs CHI	0	0	1
Season average (6 games)	0.2	0.2	1.7