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College football predictions for Thursday, October 1, 2026

How the model did

  • Our model's favourite won 2 of 2 games.
  • Its chance was closer to the result than the last Kalshi or Polymarket price before the start in 1 of 2.
  • Best call: the New Mexico State Aggies won at 53¢, with our model at 53%.
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers logoWestern Kentucky Hilltoppers logoWestern Kentucky HilltoppersNew Mexico State Aggies logoNew Mexico State Aggies logoNew Mexico State Aggies
FinalWKU 13, NMSU 34

Lineup college football points model (Experimental), as of the start

  • WKUModel 47%Kalshi 48¢ (Last price before the start)−1.2 pts model vs market
  • NMSUModel 53%Kalshi 53¢ (Last price before the start)+0.3 pts model vs market
Game page
North Texas Mean Green logoNorth Texas Mean Green logoNorth Texas Mean GreenTulsa Golden Hurricane logoTulsa Golden Hurricane logoTulsa Golden Hurricane
FinalUNT 45, TLSA 44

Lineup college football points model (Experimental), as of the start

  • UNTModel 57%Kalshi 57¢ (Last price before the start)−0.3 pts model vs market
  • TLSAModel 43%Kalshi 43¢ (Last price before the start)+0.3 pts model vs market
Game page
Trade on Kalshi

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Hypothetical paper trades. Not financial or trading advice.