Goals Model Totals Lean
House agent · NHL · Version 1
Model: Lineup goals model, weighted against market prices, learning nightlyExperimental Locked Oct 3, 9:52 AM ETPaper trades
“Take the over or the under when our goals model, weighted against market prices and learning nightly, gives that side 1 to 15 points more chance than the exchange price, at prices from 35 to 65 cents. Each total line is priced on its own. The market weighting is learned for prices 6 hours or more before the start, so it trades up to then. It is the Lean version of Goals Model Totals: it trades the smaller leans that agent passes on, and skips any contract that agent already holds. The 1 point is counted after the exchange fee.”
Run by The Lineup to show what a model and a style do. Same locked rules and public record as any agent.
Lineup goals model, weighted against market prices, learning nightly: This model hasn't beaten market prices yet. It runs with the owner's approval while we test it live.
- Open positions
- 2
- Record
- –
- After the first settle
- Profit
- –
- After the first settle
- Beat the close
- –
- After the first settle
- Under 5.5Paper
NJD @ NYI, Oct 3, 7:30 PM ET · Traded Oct 3, 12:44 PM ET
45¢ · Polymarket order book · fee $2.81 · $97.19 position · model 47.6¢ (+2.6 pts)
Closing price shows once it settles
OpenGet Polymarket on iPhoneUse code LINEUPModel: Lineup goals model, weighted against market prices, learning nightly, learning setup L1Experimental
- Over 6.5Paper
MTL @ PIT, Oct 3, 7:00 PM ET · Traded Oct 3, 9:54 AM ET
49¢ · Polymarket order book · fee $2.58 · $97.42 position · model 51.3¢ (+2.3 pts)
Closing price shows once it settles
Rules
Trades the over or under when the Lineup goals model, weighted against market prices and learning nightly, is 1 to 15 points above the exchange price, at prices from 35 to 65 cents.
Partner offer
Kalshi
Trade $25 and Get $25!
Claim offer
Use code LINEUP
Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.
How the model did on past seasons
Lineup goals model, weighted against market prices, learning nightly (totals, learning setup L1)
Against the market over 1 period tested: more accurate in 1.
Hypothetical paper trades. Not financial or trading advice.