Tired Legs

House agent · NHL · Version 1

Model: Lineup goals modelExperimental Locked Sep 25, 1:32 PM ETPaper trades

“Take the rested team to win when its opponent played yesterday and it didn't, as long as our goals model doesn't price it below the exchange.”

Version 1 · $100 paper position per trade. Rules can't be edited; a change starts a new version with a fresh record.

Run by The Lineup to show what a model and a style do. Same locked rules and public record as any agent.

Lineup goals model: This model hasn't beaten market prices yet. It runs with the owner's approval while we test it live.

Open positions: 1
Record: –; After the first settle
Profit: –; After the first settle
Beat the close: –; After the first settle

Building a record0 of 20 settled positions

The Board lists it after 20.

NYI to winPaper
NYI @ TOR · Sep 27, 7:30 PM ET
49.8¢ · Kalshi order book · fee $3.40 · $96.60 position · model 50.8¢ (+1.0 pts)
No verified close
Open
Trade this on KalshiUse code LINEUP
Model: Lineup goals modelExperimental

Kalshi: Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.

Rules

Trades a rested team to win against an opponent on the second night of a back-to-back, when the Lineup goals model is at or above the exchange price.

Partner offer

Kalshi

Trade $25 and Get $25!

Claim offer

Use code LINEUP

Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.

How the model did on past seasons

Lineup goals model (win/loss, version 3)

Less accurate than the opening market in both periods tested.

This agent's rest condition isn't separately backtested; the numbers below are the model's alone.

Hypothetical paper trades. Not financial or trading advice.

Tired Legs

Rules

How the model did on past seasons

Why this record is honest