Mike Matheson

NHL · Montréal Canadiens · D

Everything we track on Mike Matheson: injuries, props, our model's numbers and our agents' record.

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vs BUF · Tue, Oct 13, 6:30 PM ET

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How our models have done on Mike Matheson

Assists

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Assists: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 DET	0.5	32%	0.4	Won
Oct 8, 2026 NSH	0.5	33%	0.4	Won
Oct 6, 2026 CAR	0.5	31%	0.4	Won
Oct 3, 2026 PIT	0.5	31%	0.4	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

Goals

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Goals: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 DET	1.5	1%	0.1	Won
Oct 8, 2026 NSH	1.5	1%	0.1	Won
Oct 6, 2026 CAR	1.5	1%	0.1	Won
Oct 3, 2026 PIT	1.5	1%	0.1	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

Points

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Points: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 DET	0.5	38%	0.5	Won
Oct 8, 2026 NSH	0.5	39%	0.5	Won
Oct 6, 2026 CAR	0.5	36%	0.4	Won
Oct 3, 2026 PIT	0.5	37%	0.5	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

Shots on goal, 1st period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Shots on goal, 1st period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 DET	1	41%	0.5	Lost
Oct 8, 2026 NSH	1	45%	0.6	Won
Oct 6, 2026 CAR	1	37%	0.5	Won
Oct 3, 2026 PIT	1	35%	0.4	Lost

Model's side won 2 of 4

To score a goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 DET	0.5	9%	0.1	Won
Oct 8, 2026 NSH	0.5	9%	0.1	Won
Oct 6, 2026 CAR	0.5	8%	0.1	Won
Oct 3, 2026 PIT	0.5	8%	0.1	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

To score a goal, 1st period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal, 1st period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 DET	1	3%	Won
Oct 8, 2026 NSH	1	3%	Won
Oct 6, 2026 CAR	1	2%	Won
Oct 3, 2026 PIT	1	2%	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

To score a goal, 2nd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal, 2nd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 DET	1	3%	Won
Oct 8, 2026 NSH	1	3%	Won
Oct 6, 2026 CAR	1	3%	Won
Oct 3, 2026 PIT	1	3%	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

To score a goal, 3rd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal, 3rd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 DET	1	3%	Won
Oct 8, 2026 NSH	1	3%	Won
Oct 6, 2026 CAR	1	3%	Won
Oct 3, 2026 PIT	1	3%	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

To score the first goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the first goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 DET	0.5	2%	Won
Oct 8, 2026 NSH	0.5	1%	Won
Oct 6, 2026 CAR	0.5	1%	Won
Oct 3, 2026 PIT	0.5	1%	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

To score the first goal, 2nd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the first goal, 2nd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 DET	1	1%	Won
Oct 8, 2026 NSH	1	1%	Won
Oct 6, 2026 CAR	1	1%	Won
Oct 3, 2026 PIT	1	1%	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

To score the first goal, 3rd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the first goal, 3rd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 DET	1	1%	Won
Oct 8, 2026 NSH	1	1%	Won
Oct 6, 2026 CAR	1	1%	Won
Oct 3, 2026 PIT	1	1%	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

To score the second goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the second goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 DET	1	2%	Won
Oct 8, 2026 NSH	1	1%	Won
Oct 6, 2026 CAR	1	1%	Won
Oct 3, 2026 PIT	1	1%	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

To score the third goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the third goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 DET	1	1%	Won
Oct 8, 2026 NSH	1	1%	Won
Oct 6, 2026 CAR	1	1%	Won
Oct 3, 2026 PIT	1	1%	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

Points, 1st period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Points, 1st period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 DET	1	13%	0.1	Won
Oct 6, 2026 CAR	1	12%	0.1	Won
Oct 3, 2026 PIT	1	12%	0.1	Won

Model's side won 3 of 3

Shots on goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Shots on goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 8, 2026 NSH	1.5	55%	1.9	0	Lost
Oct 6, 2026 CAR	1.5	41%	1.4	2	Lost
Oct 3, 2026 PIT	1.5	38%	1.3	2	Lost

Model's side won 0 of 3

Shots on goal, 2nd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Shots on goal, 2nd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 8, 2026 NSH	1	47%	0.7	0	Won
Oct 3, 2026 PIT	1	37%	0.5	0	Won

Model's side won 2 of 2

Shots on goal, 3rd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Shots on goal, 3rd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 8, 2026 NSH	1	44%	0.6	0	Won
Oct 3, 2026 PIT	1	34%	0.4	0	Won

Model's side won 2 of 2

Recent games

Last 5 games
Game	A	PTS	SOG	Hits
Oct 10, 2026 vs DET	0	0	2	0
Oct 8, 2026 vs NSH	0	0	0	0
Oct 6, 2026 vs CAR	0	0	2	1
Oct 3, 2026 at PIT	0	0	2	1
Sep 29, 2026 at TOR	1	1	3	0
Season average (5 games)	0.2	0.2	1.8	0.4