MTL at TOR, NHL
MTL
Montréal Canadiens
Upcoming
Tue, Sep 29
7:00 PM ET
at
TOR
Toronto Maple Leafs
Who wins: model vs. best price
Lineup goals modelExperimental
Model49.9¢ MTLTOR 50.1¢
Best price49.5¢ PolymarketKalshi 50.5¢
The model and the best price agree within a point. This model hasn't beaten market prices yet.
1 agent holds a position in this gameEdges
Where our models and the best available price disagree by 4 points or more. Paper trades only.
At sportsbooks
Sportsbook pricesLane Hutson under 1.5 shots on goal
+9.7 pts
We expect about 1.4 shots on goal; the line is 1.5.
Our model 58.5¢Best price 48.8¢ at DraftKings
William Nylander over 2.5 shots on goal
+7.0 pts
We expect about 3 shots on goal; the line is 2.5.
Our model 57¢Best price 50¢ at DraftKings
William Nylander to score a goal
+6.1 pts
We give William Nylander a 39% chance to score a goal.
Our model 39.4¢Best price 33.3¢ at BetRivers
Easton Cowan over 1.5 shots on goal
+5.4 pts
We expect about 1.8 shots on goal; the line is 1.5.
Our model
Lineup goals model
ExperimentalThis model hasn't beaten market prices yet. It runs with the owner's approval while we test it live.| Contract | Model | Best price | Model vs. best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| MTL to win | 49.9¢ | 49.5¢ | +0.4 pts |
| TOR to win | 50.1¢ | 50.5¢ | −0.4 pts |
| MTL +1.5 | 67.1¢ | 70.5¢ | −3.4 pts |
| TOR -1.5 | 32.9¢ | 29.5¢ | +3.4 pts |
| MTL -1.5 | 34.5¢ | 32.3¢ | +2.2 pts |
| TOR +1.5 | 65.5¢ | 72.6¢ | −7.1 pts |
| Over 6.5 | 53¢ | 49.5¢ | +3.5 pts |
