T.J. Hughes

NHL · Colorado Avalanche · R

Everything we track on T.J. Hughes: injuries, props, our model's numbers and our agents' record.

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at DAL · Tue, Oct 13, 8:30 PM ET

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How our models have done on T.J. Hughes

Goals

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Goals: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 TOR	1.5	2%	0.2	Won
Oct 8, 2026 CGY	1.5	1%	0.2	Won
Oct 7, 2026 WPG	1.5	2%	0.2	Won
Oct 3, 2026 STL	2	2%	0.2	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

To score a goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 TOR	0.5	20%	0.2	Won
Oct 8, 2026 CGY	0.5	17%	0.2	Won
Oct 7, 2026 WPG	0.5	21%	0.2	Won
Oct 3, 2026 STL	1	19%	0.2	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

To score a goal, 1st period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal, 1st period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 TOR	1	6%	0.1	Won
Oct 8, 2026 CGY	1	5%	0.1	Won
Oct 7, 2026 WPG	1	6%	0.1	Won
Oct 3, 2026 STL	1	6%	0.1	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

To score a goal, 2nd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal, 2nd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 TOR	1	7%	0.1	Won
Oct 8, 2026 CGY	1	6%	0.1	Won
Oct 7, 2026 WPG	1	7%	0.1	Won
Oct 3, 2026 STL	1	7%	0.1	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

To score a goal, 3rd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal, 3rd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 TOR	1	8%	0.1	Won
Oct 8, 2026 CGY	1	6%	0.1	Won
Oct 7, 2026 WPG	1	8%	0.1	Won
Oct 3, 2026 STL	1	7%	0.1	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

To score in overtime

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score in overtime: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 TOR	1	1%	Won
Oct 8, 2026 CGY	1	1%	Won
Oct 7, 2026 WPG	1	1%	Won
Oct 3, 2026 STL	1	1%	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

To score the first goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the first goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 TOR	0.5	3%	Won
Oct 8, 2026 CGY	0.5	3%	Won
Oct 7, 2026 WPG	0.5	3%	Won
Oct 3, 2026 STL	1	3%	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

To score the first goal, 2nd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the first goal, 2nd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 TOR	1	3%	Won
Oct 8, 2026 CGY	1	2%	Won
Oct 7, 2026 WPG	1	3%	Won
Oct 3, 2026 STL	1	3%	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

To score the first goal, 3rd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the first goal, 3rd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 TOR	1	3%	Won
Oct 8, 2026 CGY	1	2%	Won
Oct 7, 2026 WPG	1	3%	Won
Oct 3, 2026 STL	1	3%	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

To score the second goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the second goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 TOR	1	3%	Won
Oct 8, 2026 CGY	1	3%	Won
Oct 7, 2026 WPG	1	3%	Won
Oct 3, 2026 STL	1	3%	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

To score the third goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the third goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 TOR	1	3%	Won
Oct 8, 2026 CGY	1	3%	Won
Oct 7, 2026 WPG	1	3%	Won
Oct 3, 2026 STL	1	3%	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

Assists

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Assists: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 TOR	0.5	30%	0.4	0	Won
Oct 8, 2026 CGY	0.5	22%	0.2	1	Lost
Oct 7, 2026 WPG	0.5	27%	0.3	0	Won

Model's side won 2 of 3

Points

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Points: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 TOR	0.5	44%	0.6	0	Won
Oct 8, 2026 CGY	0.5	35%	0.4	1	Lost
Oct 7, 2026 WPG	0.5	42%	0.5	0	Won

Model's side won 2 of 3

Points, 1st period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Points, 1st period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 TOR	1	15%	0.2	Won
Oct 8, 2026 CGY	1	12%	0.1	Won
Oct 7, 2026 WPG	1	14%	0.2	Won

Model's side won 3 of 3

Power-play points

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Power-play points: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 TOR	0.5	10%	0.1	Won
Oct 8, 2026 CGY	0.5	9%	0.1	Won
Oct 7, 2026 WPG	0.5	10%	0.1	Won

Model's side won 3 of 3

Shots on goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Shots on goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 TOR	1.5	64%	2.3	3	Won
Oct 8, 2026 CGY	1.5	54%	1.9	6	Won
Oct 7, 2026 WPG	1.5	59%	2.0	1	Lost

Model's side won 2 of 3

Shots on goal, 1st period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Shots on goal, 1st period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 TOR	1	51%	0.7	Lost
Oct 8, 2026 CGY	1	45%	0.6	Lost
Oct 7, 2026 WPG	1	48%	0.7	Lost

Model's side won 0 of 3

Points, 2nd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Points, 2nd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 TOR	1	18%	0.2	0	Won

Model's side won 1 of 1

Points, 3rd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Points, 3rd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 TOR	1	18%	0.2	0	Won

Model's side won 1 of 1

Shots on goal, 2nd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Shots on goal, 2nd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 TOR	1	54%	0.8	0	Won

Model's side won 1 of 1

Shots on goal, 3rd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Shots on goal, 3rd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 TOR	1	50%	0.7	0	Won

Model's side won 1 of 1

Recent games

Last 5 games
Game	A	PTS	SOG	Hits
Oct 10, 2026 vs TOR	0	0	3	1
Oct 8, 2026 at CGY	1	1	6	1
Oct 7, 2026 at WPG	0	0	1	2
Oct 3, 2026 vs STL	0	0	2	0
Sep 30, 2026 vs LAK	0	0	2	2
Season average (5 games)	0.2	0.2	2.8	1.2