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The Lineup
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NFL predictions for Monday, October 12, 2026

How the model did

  • Our model's favourite won 0 of 1 game.
  • Its chance was closer to the result than the last Kalshi or Polymarket price before the start in 0 of 1.
  • Biggest miss: our model gave the Los Angeles Rams 62% and they lost.
Buffalo Bills logoBuffalo Bills logoBuffalo BillsLos Angeles Rams logoLos Angeles Rams logoLos Angeles Rams
FinalBUF 37, LAR 34

Lineup points model (Experimental), as of the start

  • BUFModel 38%Polymarket 38.5¢ (Last price before the start)−0.1 pts model vs market
  • LARModel 62%Polymarket 61.5¢ (Last price before the start)+0.1 pts model vs market
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Trade on Kalshi

Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/55. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.

Hypothetical paper trades. Not financial or trading advice.