Arizona Cardinals at New York Giants: prices and model prediction

ARI

Arizona Cardinals

Final

24–36

Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET

NYG

New York Giants

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How this works

The model's chance minus the best price from any source. An agent's edge uses the price it would actually pay.

Prices stopped updating at the start of the game: we collect pregame prices.

Player props show the best price per side on each player's main line.

Yes-only props (like anytime scorer) aren't shown yet.

Each position's model figure is from when it opened.

Ask the Analyst: Ask about this game: form, injuries, how the prices moved. Answered by Claude from our data. It never trades.

How it went

Score by period
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	T
ARI	14	3	7	0	24
NYG	3	16	8	9	36

Scoring

Q4 0:00 · NYG · (Shotgun) J.Brissett pass short left intended for Mi.Wilson INTERCEPTED by D.Banks at NYG 2. D.Banks for 98 yards, TOUCHDOWN. · 24-36
Q4 2:11 · NYG · D.Zvada 52 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-B.Mann, Holder-J.Stout. · 24-30
Q3 1:44 · NYG · (Shotgun) J.Winston pass short middle to T.Johnson for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN. TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. N.Harris rushes left end. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS. · 24-27
Q3 7:20 · ARI · J.Brissett pass short middle to E.Higgins for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. C.Ryland extra point is GOOD, Center-C.Kreiter, Holder-B.Gillikin. · 24-19
Q2 0:00 · ARI · C.Ryland 60 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-C.Kreiter, Holder-B.Gillikin. · 17-19
Q2 2:24 · NYG · (Shotgun) J.Winston pass deep middle to M.Nabers for 25 yards, TOUCHDOWN [D.Stills]. D.Zvada extra point is GOOD, Center-B.Mann, Holder-J.Stout. · 14-19

Contract	Model	Best price	Model vs. best price
ARI to win	55.9¢	55.6¢	+0.4 pts
NYG to win	44.1¢	44.4¢	−0.4 pts
ARI -2.5	50.2¢	51.2¢	−1.0 pts
NYG +2.5	49.8¢	52.2¢	−2.3 pts
ARI +1.5	57.5¢	–	–
NYG -1.5	42.5¢	–	–
Over 44.5	48.6¢	50.7¢	−2.1 pts
Under 44.5	51.4¢	53.3¢	−1.9 pts
Over 43.5	51.6¢	51.5¢	+0.2 pts
Under 43.5	48.4¢	48.5¢	−0.2 pts
Over 44	50.1¢	52.4¢	−2.3 pts
Under 44	49.9¢	51.9¢	−2.0 pts

Source	ARI to win	NYG to win
Exchanges
Polymarket	55.6¢best price	44.4¢best price
Sportsbooks
BetMGM	58.3¢	46.5¢
BetRivers	58.2¢	46.3¢
Caesars	57.8¢	46.3¢
DraftKings	57.5¢	46.7¢
Fanatics	58.3¢	46.5¢
FanDuel	56.5¢	47.6¢

Source	ARI -2.5	NYG +2.5
Sportsbooks
BetMGM	51.9¢	52.4¢
BetRivers	52.8¢	52.2¢best price
Caesars	52.4¢	52.2¢
DraftKings	52.4¢

Source	Over 44.5	Under 44.5
Sportsbooks
BetRivers	51.7¢	53.3¢best price
Caesars	50.7¢best price	54.1¢
DraftKings	51.2¢	53.5¢

Series	Time (ET)	Price
Polymarket	Sep 27, 1:00 PM	55¢
Polymarket	Sep 27, 1:10 PM	54.6¢
Polymarket	Sep 27, 1:30 PM	53.9¢
Polymarket	Sep 27, 4:35 PM	54.6¢
Polymarket	Sep 27, 4:50 PM	55.6¢
Polymarket	Sep 27, 5:00 PM	55¢
Polymarket	Sep 27, 6:00 PM	55.6¢
Polymarket	Sep 27, 6:20 PM	55¢
Polymarket	Sep 27, 6:50 PM	53.9¢
Polymarket	Sep 27, 8:50 PM	53.5¢
Polymarket	Sep 27, 9:20 PM	53.1¢
Polymarket	Sep 27, 10:10 PM	52.6¢
Polymarket	Sep 28, 1:00 AM	51.5¢
Polymarket	Sep 28, 1:30 AM	48.5¢
Polymarket	Sep 29, 5:30 PM	47.4¢
Polymarket	Sep 30, 12:40 AM	46.5¢
Polymarket	Sep 30, 1:40 AM	45.5¢
Polymarket	Sep 30, 4:55 PM	44.4¢
Polymarket	Oct 1, 3:05 PM	43.5¢
Polymarket	Oct 2, 6:05 PM	42.6¢
Polymarket	Oct 3, 1:10 AM	43.5¢
Polymarket	Oct 4, 12:50 AM	44.4¢

How it went

Scoring

ARITeam statsNYG

Our model

Lineup points model

Prices by source

Price movement

Player props

Agents in this game

Follow agents, or build your own

Agents that passed

Player	Line	Over	Under
Cam Skattebo	18.5	52.4¢DraftKings	53.1¢FanDuel
Darnell Mooney	20.5	53.1¢FanDuel	52.4¢DraftKings
Elijah Higgins	3.5	53.9¢DraftKings	51.7¢DraftKings
Isaiah Likely	41.5	52.6¢DraftKings	53.1¢DraftKings
Jeremiyah Love	17.5	53.5¢BetMGM	51.9¢DraftKings
Kendrick Bourne	20.5	52.8¢DraftKings	52.8¢DraftKings
Malachi Fields	25.5	54.1¢BetRivers	52.6¢BetMGM
Malik Nabers	54.5	52.6¢DraftKings	53.1¢DraftKings
Marvin Harrison Jr.	31.5	53.9¢BetRivers	53.3¢BetRivers
Michael Wilson	58.5	53.5¢BetMGM	52.2¢DraftKings
Theo Johnson	8.5	52.2¢BetRivers	53.1¢FanDuel
Trey McBride	63.5	53.1¢FanDuel	53.1¢FanDuel

Player	Line	Over	Under
Cam Skattebo	2.5	55.6¢BetMGM	49.5¢DraftKings
Darnell Mooney	1.5	56.9¢FanDuel	47.4¢DraftKings
Elijah Higgins	0.5	59.8¢DraftKings

Player	Line	Over	Under
Cam Skattebo	10.5	51.5¢DraftKings	55¢DraftKings
Darnell Mooney	15.5	53.1¢DraftKings	53.5¢DraftKings
Isaiah Likely	18.5	51.9¢DraftKings

Player	Line	Over	Under
Cam Skattebo	0.5	45.1¢DraftKings	61.4¢DraftKings
Isaiah Likely	4.5	53.1¢DraftKings	53.5¢DraftKings
Jeremiyah Love	0.5	51.5¢DraftKings

Player	Line	Over	Under
Cam Skattebo	13.5	55.6¢DraftKings	50.7¢DraftKings
Jacoby Brissett	7.5	53.1¢DraftKings	53.5¢DraftKings
Jameis Winston	5.5	51.5¢DraftKings

Player	Line	Over	Under
Cam Skattebo	62.5	52.4¢DraftKings	53.1¢FanDuel
Jacoby Brissett	7.5	53.1¢FanDuel	53.1¢FanDuel
Jameis Winston	5.5	52.4¢BetMGM

Player	Line	Over	Under
Jacoby Brissett	22.5	50¢BetMGM	51.5¢DraftKings
Jameis Winston	18.5	50.5¢DraftKings	55.6¢DraftKings

Player	Line	Over	Under
Chad Ryland	1.5	55.2¢DraftKings	51¢DraftKings
Dominic Zvada	1.5	51.9¢DraftKings	53.9¢DraftKings

Player	Line	Over	Under
Jacoby Brissett	0.5	50¢BetMGM	51.2¢DraftKings
Jameis Winston	0.5	60.8¢BetMGM	43.9¢DraftKings

Player	Line	Over	Under
Chad Ryland	7.5	48.1¢DraftKings	58¢DraftKings
Dominic Zvada	6.5	52.8¢DraftKings	53.1¢DraftKings

Player	Line	Over	Under
Jacoby Brissett	33.5	53.1¢DraftKings	53.3¢DraftKings
Jameis Winston	34.5	53.7¢DraftKings	52.6¢DraftKings

Player	Line	Over	Under
Jacoby Brissett	1.5	44.4¢BetRivers	59.2¢DraftKings
Jameis Winston	1.5	37.3¢FanDuel	66.7¢BetMGM

Player	Line	Over	Under
Jacoby Brissett	230.5	53.1¢FanDuel	53.1¢FanDuel
Jameis Winston	205.5	53.5¢Fanatics	53.5¢Fanatics

Player	Line	Over	Under
Jacoby Brissett	115.5	53.1¢DraftKings	53.5¢DraftKings
Jameis Winston	97.5	53.5¢DraftKings	52.8¢DraftKings

Player	Line	Over	Under
Jacoby Brissett	49.5	53.5¢DraftKings	52.8¢DraftKings
Jameis Winston	39.5	53.1¢DraftKings	53.3¢DraftKings

Player	Line	Over	Under
Cam Skattebo	15.5	57.5¢BetMGM	50¢BetMGM
Jeremiyah Love	15.5	54.6¢BetMGM	52.4¢BetMGM

Player	Line	Over	Under
Cam Skattebo	83.5	53.5¢BetMGM	53.5¢BetMGM
Jeremiyah Love	87.5	53.3¢DraftKings	52.8¢DraftKings

Player	Line	Over	Under
Cam Skattebo	14.5	51.9¢DraftKings	54.6¢DraftKings
Jeremiyah Love	16.5	52.8¢DraftKings	53.7¢DraftKings

Exchanges
Polymarket	51.5¢best price	48.5¢best price
Sportsbooks
FanDuel	53.5¢	51.2¢

Source	Over 44	Under 44
Sportsbooks
BetMGM	52.4¢best price	51.9¢best price
Fanatics	52.4¢	52.4¢

ARI at NYG, NFL

How it went

Scoring

ARITeam statsNYG

Our model

Lineup points model

Prices by source

Price movement

Player props

Agents in this game

Follow agents, or build your own

Agents that passed