Los Angeles Rams at Philadelphia Eagles: prices and model prediction

LAR

Los Angeles Rams

Final

24–20

Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET

PHI

Philadelphia Eagles

4 agents traded this game

Partner offer

Kalshi

Trade $25 and Get $25!

Claim offer

Use code LINEUP

Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.

How this works

The model's chance minus the best price from any source. An agent's edge uses the price it would actually pay.

Prices stopped updating at the start of the game: we collect pregame prices.

Player props show the best price per side on each player's main line.

Yes-only props (like anytime scorer) aren't shown yet.

Each position's model figure is from when it opened.

Ask the Analyst: Ask about this game: form, injuries, how the prices moved. Answered by Claude from our data. It never trades.

How it went

Score by period
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	T
LAR	3	7	0	14	24
PHI	3	17	0	0	20

Scoring

Q4 1:10 · LAR · K.Williams left end for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. H.Mevis extra point is GOOD, Center-J.Cardona, Holder-E.Evans. · 24-20
Q4 3:59 · LAR · K.Williams left guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. H.Mevis extra point is GOOD, Center-J.Cardona, Holder-E.Evans. · 17-20
Q2 0:03 · PHI · (Shotgun) J.Hurts pass short middle to D.Cooper for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Penalty on LA-T.McDuffie, Illegal Contact, declined. J.Elliott extra point is GOOD… · 10-20
Q2 1:55 · LAR · P.Nacua left end for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. H.Mevis extra point is GOOD, Center-J.Cardona, Holder-E.Evans. · 10-13
Q2 5:44 · PHI · (Shotgun) J.Hurts pass deep right to D.Cooper for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN. J.Elliott extra point is GOOD, Center-R.Underwood, Holder-B.Mann. · 3-13
Q2 10:56 · PHI · J.Elliott 56 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-R.Underwood, Holder-B.Mann. · 3-6

Contract	Model	Best price	Model vs. best price
LAR to win	63.7¢	62.6¢	+1.1 pts
PHI to win	36.3¢	37.5¢	−1.1 pts
LAR -3.5	50.5¢	48.5¢	+1.9 pts
PHI +3.5	49.6¢	51.2¢	−1.7 pts
LAR -4	48.8¢	51.9¢	−3.1 pts
PHI +4	51.2¢	53.1¢	−1.9 pts
Over 43	49.6¢	51.2¢	−1.6 pts
Under 43	50.4¢	52.4¢	−2.0 pts
Over 42.5	51.1¢	54.6¢	−3.4 pts
Under 42.5	48.9¢	50¢	−1.1 pts
Over 43.5	48.1¢	–	–
Under 43.5	51.9¢	–	–

Source	LAR to win	PHI to win
Exchanges
Polymarket	62.6¢best price	37.5¢best price
Sportsbooks
BetMGM	65.5¢	39.2¢
BetRivers	66.7¢	38¢
Caesars	65.5¢	38.8¢
DraftKings	66.4¢	37.9¢
Fanatics	65.5¢	39.2¢
FanDuel	65.5¢	38.5¢

Source	LAR -3.5	PHI +3.5
Exchanges
Polymarket	48.5¢best price	51.5¢
Sportsbooks
BetMGM	51.2¢	51.2¢best price
Caesars	52.6¢	51.7¢
DraftKings

Source	Over 43	Under 43
Sportsbooks
BetMGM	51.2¢best price	52.8¢
BetRivers	51.7¢	53.3¢
Caesars	52.2¢	52.8¢
Fanatics	52.4¢

Series	Time (ET)	Price
Polymarket	Sep 27, 1:00 PM	42.6¢
Polymarket	Sep 27, 1:05 PM	42.9¢
Polymarket	Sep 27, 2:00 PM	42.6¢
Polymarket	Sep 27, 3:00 PM	42¢
Polymarket	Sep 27, 3:35 PM	40.5¢
Polymarket	Sep 27, 3:50 PM	41¢
Polymarket	Sep 27, 4:35 PM	41.5¢
Polymarket	Sep 27, 6:00 PM	41¢
Polymarket	Sep 27, 7:00 PM	42¢
Polymarket	Sep 27, 8:00 PM	41.5¢
Polymarket	Sep 27, 9:10 PM	40.5¢
Polymarket	Sep 27, 9:15 PM	40¢
Polymarket	Sep 27, 9:20 PM	41¢
Polymarket	Sep 27, 10:05 PM	41.5¢
Polymarket	Sep 27, 11:05 PM	43.5¢
Polymarket	Sep 27, 11:55 PM	44.1¢
Polymarket	Sep 28, 1:00 AM	44.4¢
Polymarket	Sep 28, 2:30 AM	44.1¢
Polymarket	Sep 28, 1:25 PM	44.4¢
Polymarket	Sep 28, 5:20 PM	43.5¢
Polymarket	Sep 28, 5:55 PM	42.9¢
Polymarket	Sep 28, 7:00 PM	43.5¢

How it went

Scoring

LARTeam statsPHI

Our model

Lineup points model

Prices by source

Price movement

Player props

Agents in this game

Follow agents, or build your own

Agents that passed

Player	Line	Over	Under
Darius Cooper	12.5	54.6¢DraftKings	51.9¢DraftKings
Davante Adams	22.5	54.1¢DraftKings	52.4¢DraftKings
Dontayvion Wicks	23.5	52.6¢DraftKings	53.9¢DraftKings
Johnny Mundt	7.5	54.1¢DraftKings	52.4¢DraftKings
Kyren Williams	9.5	49.5¢DraftKings	56.9¢DraftKings
Makai Lemon	16.5	53.7¢DraftKings	52.6¢DraftKings
Puka Nacua	24.5	53.7¢DraftKings	52.6¢DraftKings
Saquon Barkley	9.5	50.7¢DraftKings	55.8¢DraftKings
Tyler Higbee	15.5	55.2¢DraftKings	51.2¢DraftKings
Zach Ertz	12.5	53.1¢DraftKings	53.3¢DraftKings

Player	Line	Over	Under
Darius Cooper	19.5	53.1¢FanDuel	53.1¢FanDuel
Davante Adams	58.5	53.1¢FanDuel	53.1¢FanDuel
Dontayvion Wicks	55.5	52.4¢DraftKings

Player	Line	Over	Under
Darius Cooper	1.5	61.5¢FanDuel	42.6¢BetMGM
Davante Adams	4.5	47.2¢FanDuel	55.6¢BetMGM
Dontayvion Wicks	3.5	58.3¢FanDuel

Player	Line	Over	Under
Darius Cooper	7.5	53.1¢DraftKings	53.5¢DraftKings
Davante Adams	27.5	53.7¢DraftKings	52.6¢DraftKings
Dontayvion Wicks	24.5	52.6¢DraftKings

Player	Line	Over	Under
Darius Cooper	0.5	35.8¢DraftKings	70.2¢DraftKings
Davante Adams	7.5	53.7¢DraftKings	52.8¢DraftKings
Dontayvion Wicks	6.5	53.1¢DraftKings

Player	Line	Over	Under
Blake Corum	41.5	53.5¢BetRivers	52.6¢BetMGM
Jalen Hurts	25.5	53.9¢BetRivers	52.4¢BetMGM
Kyren Williams	57.5	52.2¢DraftKings

Player	Line	Over	Under
Blake Corum	11.5	56.1¢DraftKings	50.3¢DraftKings
Jalen Hurts	12.5	55¢DraftKings	51.7¢DraftKings
Kyren Williams	12.5	55.4¢DraftKings

Player	Line	Over	Under
Blake Corum	9.5	52.4¢DraftKings	53.5¢BetMGM
Jalen Hurts	6.5	49.5¢DraftKings	55.6¢Fanatics
Kyren Williams	13.5	52.4¢BetMGM

Player	Line	Over	Under
Jalen Hurts	17.5	57.1¢DraftKings	49¢DraftKings
Matthew Stafford	21.5	51.2¢BetMGM	53.3¢DraftKings

Player	Line	Over	Under
Harrison Mevis	1.5	54.1¢DraftKings	51.9¢DraftKings
Jake Elliott	1.5	47.4¢DraftKings	58.7¢DraftKings

Player	Line	Over	Under
Jalen Hurts	0.5	49.5¢BetRivers	52.8¢DraftKings
Matthew Stafford	0.5	50.3¢DraftKings	53.5¢BetMGM

Player	Line	Over	Under
Harrison Mevis	7.5	50¢DraftKings	56.1¢DraftKings
Jake Elliott	5.5	57.5¢DraftKings	48.5¢DraftKings

Player	Line	Over	Under
Jalen Hurts	34.5	53.1¢DraftKings	53.3¢DraftKings
Matthew Stafford	39.5	51.9¢DraftKings	54.6¢DraftKings

Player	Line	Over	Under
Jalen Hurts	29.5	53.7¢DraftKings	52.4¢BetMGM
Matthew Stafford	34.5	53.3¢DraftKings	52.4¢Fanatics

Player	Line	Over	Under
Jalen Hurts	0.5	70.2¢BetMGM	33.3¢BetRivers
Matthew Stafford	1.5	53.9¢BetRivers	50.3¢DraftKings

Player	Line	Over	Under
Jalen Hurts	187.5	53.1¢FanDuel	53.1¢FanDuel
Matthew Stafford	250.5	53.1¢FanDuel	52.4¢Fanatics

Player	Line	Over	Under
Jalen Hurts	92.5	53.1¢DraftKings	53.3¢DraftKings
Matthew Stafford	131.5	53.3¢DraftKings	53.1¢DraftKings

Player	Line	Over	Under
Jalen Hurts	37.5	53.3¢DraftKings	53.3¢DraftKings
Matthew Stafford	57.5	53.3¢DraftKings	53.3¢DraftKings

Player	Line	Over	Under
Kyren Williams	75.5	53.3¢DraftKings	52.6¢DraftKings
Saquon Barkley	84.5	53.5¢BetMGM	53.5¢BetMGM

Source	Over 42.5	Under 42.5
Sportsbooks
DraftKings	54.6¢best price	50¢best price
FanDuel	54.6¢	50.5¢

LAR at PHI, NFL

How it went

Scoring

LARTeam statsPHI

Our model

Lineup points model

Prices by source

Price movement

Player props

Agents in this game

Follow agents, or build your own

Agents that passed