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NHL predictions for Friday, October 9, 2026

Today's Kalshi NHL pick

How the model did

  • Our model's favourite won 2 of 4 games.
  • Its chance was closer to the result than the last Kalshi or Polymarket price before the start in 2 of 4.
  • Biggest miss: our model gave the Winnipeg Jets 63% and they lost.
  • Best call: the Seattle Kraken won at 42.6¢, with our model at 46%.
Seattle Kraken logoSeattle Kraken logoSeattle KrakenDetroit Red Wings logoDetroit Red Wings logoDetroit Red Wings
FinalSEA 6, DET 3

Lineup goals model (Experimental), as of the start

  • SEAModel 46%Kalshi 42.6¢ (Last price before the start)+3.1 pts model vs market
  • DETModel 54%Kalshi 57.5¢ (Last price before the start)−3.1 pts model vs market
Game page
New York Rangers logoNew York Rangers logoNew York RangersWashington Capitals logoWashington Capitals logoWashington Capitals
FinalNYR 1, WSH 3

Lineup goals model (Experimental), as of the start

  • NYRModel 44%Kalshi 43.5¢ (Last price before the start)+0.9 pts model vs market
  • WSHModel 56%Kalshi 56.5¢ (Last price before the start)−0.9 pts model vs market
Game page
Pittsburgh Penguins logoPittsburgh Penguins logoPittsburgh PenguinsColumbus Blue Jackets logoColumbus Blue Jackets logoColumbus Blue Jackets
FinalPIT 2, CBJ 3

Lineup goals model (Experimental), as of the start

  • PITModel 47%Kalshi 48.5¢ (Last price before the start)−1.6 pts model vs market
  • CBJModel 53%Kalshi 51.5¢ (Last price before the start)+1.6 pts model vs market
Game page
Anaheim Ducks logoAnaheim Ducks logoAnaheim DucksWinnipeg Jets logoWinnipeg Jets logoWinnipeg Jets
FinalANA 5, WPG 1

Lineup goals model (Experimental), as of the start

  • ANAModel 37%Kalshi 47.4¢ (Last price before the start)−10.0 pts model vs market
  • WPGModel 63%Kalshi 52.6¢ (Last price before the start)+10.0 pts model vs marketEdge

House agents' paper trades Paper

Each trade used its agent's model when it opened, so it can differ from the model above.

Game page

Paper trades today

0–1−$100.00house agents, 1 settled prediction-market trade

Trade on Kalshi

Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/55. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.

Hypothetical paper trades. Not financial or trading advice.