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NHL predictions for Thursday, October 8, 2026

Today's Kalshi NHL pick

How the model did

  • Our model's favourite won 7 of 10 games.
  • Its chance was closer to the result than the last Kalshi or Polymarket price before the start in 5 of 10.
  • Biggest miss: our model gave the St. Louis Blues 64% and they lost.
  • Best call: the Boston Bruins won at 44.4¢, with our model at 52%.
Utah Mammoth logoUtah Mammoth logoUtah MammothBoston Bruins logoBoston Bruins logoBoston Bruins
FinalUTA 1, BOS 6

Lineup goals model (Experimental), as of the start

  • UTAModel 48%Kalshi 56.5¢ (Last price before the start)−8.2 pts model vs market
  • BOSModel 52%Kalshi 44.4¢ (Last price before the start)+7.3 pts model vs marketEdge
Game page
Dallas Stars logoDallas Stars logoDallas StarsBuffalo Sabres logoBuffalo Sabres logoBuffalo Sabres
FinalDAL 4, BUF 0

Lineup goals model (Experimental), as of the start

  • DALModel 50%Kalshi 52.6¢ (Last price before the start)−3.0 pts model vs market
  • BUFModel 50%Kalshi 47.4¢ (Last price before the start)+3.0 pts model vs market
Game page
Nashville Predators logoNashville Predators logoNashville PredatorsMontréal Canadiens logoMontréal Canadiens logoMontréal Canadiens
FinalNSH 5, MTL 2

Lineup goals model (Experimental), as of the start

  • NSHModel 40%Kalshi 39.5¢ (Last price before the start)+0.4 pts model vs market
  • MTLModel 60%Kalshi 60.5¢ (Last price before the start)−0.4 pts model vs market
Game page
Philadelphia Flyers logoPhiladelphia Flyers logoPhiladelphia FlyersOttawa Senators logoOttawa Senators logoOttawa Senators
FinalPHI 1, OTT 2

Lineup goals model (Experimental), as of the start

  • PHIModel 38%Kalshi 37.5¢ (Last price before the start)+0.9 pts model vs market
  • OTTModel 62%Kalshi 62.6¢ (Last price before the start)−0.9 pts model vs market
Game page
Minnesota Wild logoMinnesota Wild logoMinnesota WildTampa Bay Lightning logoTampa Bay Lightning logoTampa Bay Lightning
FinalMIN 2, TBL 3

Lineup goals model (Experimental), as of the start

  • MINModel 40%Kalshi 43.5¢ (Last price before the start)−3.0 pts model vs market
  • TBLModel 60%Kalshi 56.5¢ (Last price before the start)+3.0 pts model vs market
Game page
Vancouver Canucks logoVancouver Canucks logoVancouver CanucksCarolina Hurricanes logoCarolina Hurricanes logoCarolina Hurricanes
FinalVAN 2, CAR 7

Lineup goals model (Experimental), as of the start

  • VANModel 31%Kalshi 23.5¢ (Last price before the start)+7.6 pts model vs marketEdge
  • CARModel 69%Kalshi 76.5¢ (Last price before the start)−7.6 pts model vs market
Game page
Chicago Blackhawks logoChicago Blackhawks logoChicago BlackhawksNew York Islanders logoNew York Islanders logoNew York Islanders
FinalCHI 1, NYI 4

Lineup goals model (Experimental), as of the start

  • CHIModel 37%Kalshi 37.5¢ (Last price before the start)−0.7 pts model vs market
  • NYIModel 63%Kalshi 62.6¢ (Last price before the start)+0.7 pts model vs market
Game page
San Jose Sharks logoSan Jose Sharks logoSan Jose SharksSt. Louis Blues logoSt. Louis Blues logoSt. Louis Blues
FinalSJS 3, STL 2

Lineup goals model (Experimental), as of the start

  • SJSModel 36%Kalshi 39.5¢ (Last price before the start)−3.7 pts model vs market
  • STLModel 64%Kalshi 59.5¢ (Last price before the start)+4.7 pts model vs marketEdge

House agents' paper trades Paper

Each trade used its agent's model when it opened, so it can differ from the model above.

Game page
Colorado Avalanche logoColorado Avalanche logoColorado AvalancheCalgary Flames logoCalgary Flames logoCalgary Flames
FinalCOL 7, CGY 3

Lineup goals model (Experimental), as of the start

  • COLModel 61%Kalshi 69.5¢ (Last price before the start)−8.6 pts model vs market
  • CGYModel 39%Kalshi 30.5¢ (Last price before the start)+8.6 pts model vs marketEdge

House agents' paper trades Paper

Each trade used its agent's model when it opened, so it can differ from the model above.

Game page
Toronto Maple Leafs logoToronto Maple Leafs logoToronto Maple LeafsVegas Golden Knights logoVegas Golden Knights logoVegas Golden Knights
FinalTOR 3, VGK 4

Lineup goals model (Experimental), as of the start

  • TORModel 36%Kalshi 39.5¢ (Last price before the start)−3.1 pts model vs market
  • VGKModel 64%Kalshi 61.5¢ (Last price before the start)+2.0 pts model vs market
Game page

Paper trades today

0–2−$200.00house agents, 2 settled prediction-market trades

Trade on Kalshi

Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/55. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.

Hypothetical paper trades. Not financial or trading advice.