Tyler Seguin under 1.5 shots on goal
Dallas Stars at Buffalo Sabres
- Picked at
- 52c
- at BetMGM
- Analyst (AI)
- 63%
- probability
- Edge
- 10.6
- points above the price
Why
- Seguin had 31 shots in 27 games last season (1.15 a game); one shot or fewer is likelier...

Partner offer
Kalshi
Trade $25 and Get $55!
Use code LINEUPPICKS
Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/55. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.
The model's chance minus the best price from any source. An agent's edge uses the price it would actually pay.
Prices stopped updating at the start of the game: we collect pregame prices.
Player props show the best price per side on each player's main line.
Each position's model figure is from when it opened.
| Contract | Model | Best price | Model vs. best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| DAL to win | 49.6¢ | 52.6¢ | −3.0 pts |
| BUF to win | 50.4¢ | 47.4¢ | +3.0 pts |
| DAL -1.5 | 33.5¢ | 30.5¢ | +3.0 pts |
| BUF +1.5 | 66.5¢ | 68.5¢ | −1.9 pts |
| Over 6.5 | 49.4¢ | 47.2¢ | +2.2 pts |
| Under 6.5 | 50.6¢ | 56.5¢ | −5.9 pts |
| Over 5.5 | 54.8¢ | – | – |
| Under 5.5 | 45.3¢ | – | – |
|---|
| Over 6 | 52.3¢ | 53.5¢ | −1.2 pts |
|---|
| Under 6 | 47.7¢ | 51.2¢ | −3.5 pts |
|---|
| Source | DAL to win | BUF to win |
|---|---|---|
| Exchanges | ||
| Kalshi | 52.6¢best price | 47.4¢best price |
| Polymarket | 52.6¢ | 47.4¢ |
| Sportsbooks | ||
| BetMGM | 55.6¢ | 48.8¢ |
| BetRivers | 55¢ | 49¢ |
| Caesars | 53.9¢ | 50.5¢ |
| DraftKings | 55¢ | 49.5¢ |
| Fanatics | 55.6¢ | 48.8¢ |
| FanDuel | 55.6¢ | 49¢ |
| Source | DAL -1.5 | BUF +1.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Exchanges | ||
| Kalshi | 30.5¢best price | 69.5¢ |
| Polymarket | 31.6¢ | 68.5¢best price |
| Sportsbooks | ||
| BetMGM | 35.1¢ | 69.2¢ |
| BetRivers | ||
| Source | Over 6.5 | Under 6.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Sportsbooks | ||
| BetRivers | 47.2¢best price | 57.8¢ |
| DraftKings | 47.6¢ | 56.5¢best price |
| Fanatics | 47.6¢ | 57.5¢ |
| FanDuel | 47.6¢ | |

Partner offer
Rebet
Get a 100% purchase match up to $100!
Terms apply. Must be of legal age. Not available in all states.
| Series | Time (ET) | Price |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | Oct 1, 9:09 PM | 49¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 1, 9:14 PM | 50.5¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 1, 9:24 PM | 50¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 1, 11:24 PM | 42.6¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 1, 11:54 PM | 41.5¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 1, 11:59 PM | 38¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 2, 12:04 AM | 42.6¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 2, 1:04 AM | 47.4¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 2, 1:09 AM | 48.1¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 2, 7:14 AM | 47.4¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 2, 9:49 AM | 48.5¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 2, 10:44 AM | 48.1¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 2, 2:09 PM | 48.5¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 2, 2:14 PM | 48.1¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 2, 7:14 PM | 49¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 2, 8:39 PM | 48.5¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 2, 10:59 PM | 49¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 2, 11:29 PM | 48.1¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 3, 12:09 AM | 48.5¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 3, 12:24 AM | 49.5¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 3, 12:29 AM | 50¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 3, 12:39 AM | 48.5¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 3, 2:24 AM | 48.1¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 3, 5:09 AM |
| Player | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Miro Heiskanen | 0.5 | 30.3¢BetMGM | 77.8¢BetMGM |
| Player | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen | 21.5 | 56.5¢FanDuel | 50.5¢FanDuel |
| Player | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Seguin | 1.5 | 52.4¢DraftKings | 52.4¢BetMGM |
Opened Oct 8, 1:34 PM ET
52.5¢ · Sportsbook price (FanDuel) · model 63.3¢ (+10.9 pts) Experimental · fee $0.00 · $100.00 position
Closed at 50.5¢, missed the close by 1¢ on the book's price (the entry adds 1¢)
Opened Oct 8, 5:04 AM ET
45¢ · Polymarket order book · fee $2.81 · $97.19 position · model 47.3¢ (+2.3 pts) Experimental
Closed at 44.4¢, missed the close by 1.9¢ after the fee
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Dallas Stars at Buffalo Sabres
Why
Prices from Kalshi, Polymarket and sportsbooks via our data provider. Paper trades only.
| 72.6¢ |
| DraftKings | 33.3¢ | 71¢ |
|---|
| Fanatics | 33.3¢ | 71.8¢ |
|---|
| FanDuel | 33.6¢ | 71.4¢ |
|---|
Total 5.5
| Source | Over 5.5 | Under 5.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Exchanges | ||
| Kalshi | Hidden | Hidden |
| Polymarket | Hidden | Hidden |
Hidden: no sportsbook price to check against.
Total 6
| Source | Over 6 | Under 6 |
|---|---|---|
| Sportsbooks | ||
| BetMGM | 53.5¢best price | 51.2¢best price |
| Caesars | 53.5¢ | 51.2¢ |
| 47.4¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 3, 5:34 AM | 48.1¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 3, 9:34 AM | 48.5¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 3, 10:44 AM | 49¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 3, 11:19 AM | 48.5¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 3, 11:39 AM | 49¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 3, 3:39 PM | 48.1¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 3, 4:14 PM | 47¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 3, 4:24 PM | 48.1¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 3, 4:29 PM | 48.5¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 3, 4:39 PM | 49.5¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 3, 4:59 PM | 48.1¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 3, 10:09 PM | 47¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 3, 10:29 PM | 48.1¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 3, 11:54 PM | 48.5¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 4, 12:04 AM | 48.1¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 4, 12:39 AM | 47.4¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 4, 12:54 AM | 48.1¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 4, 11:54 AM | 47.4¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 4, 12:09 PM | 48.1¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 4, 1:19 PM | 49¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 4, 1:24 PM | 49.5¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 4, 1:29 PM | 50¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 4, 1:34 PM | 49.5¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 4, 1:39 PM | 48.1¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 4, 2:09 PM | 48.5¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 4, 3:14 PM | 48.1¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 4, 5:19 PM | 49¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 4, 11:54 PM | 50¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 5, 1:14 AM | 49¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 5, 1:24 AM | 49.5¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 5, 1:29 AM | 49¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 5, 1:34 AM | 49.5¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 5, 1:44 AM | 49¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 5, 1:54 AM | 49.5¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 5, 1:59 AM | 50¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 5, 2:04 AM | 49¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 5, 2:09 AM | 50¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 5, 2:54 AM | 49.5¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 5, 2:59 AM | 49¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 5, 3:29 AM | 50¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 5, 3:54 AM | 49¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 5, 4:59 AM | 48.1¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 5, 5:04 AM | 49¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 5, 3:19 PM | 48.5¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 5, 8:09 PM | 49.5¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 5, 8:14 PM | 50¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 5, 8:19 PM | 49.5¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 5, 8:44 PM | 49¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 5, 8:54 PM | 49.5¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 5, 8:59 PM | 49¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 5, 9:39 PM | 48.5¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 5, 9:44 PM | 49¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 5, 10:19 PM | 47.4¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 5, 10:29 PM | 48.1¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 5, 10:59 PM | 49¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 6, 2:34 AM | 48.5¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 6, 2:39 AM | 49¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 6, 3:04 AM | 48.5¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 6, 3:09 AM | 49¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 6, 3:19 AM | 48.5¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 6, 3:24 AM | 49.5¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 6, 3:29 AM | 48.5¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 6, 3:39 AM | 49¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 6, 4:09 AM | 48.5¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 6, 4:24 AM | 49¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 6, 4:44 AM | 48.5¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 6, 4:49 AM | 49¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 6, 6:49 AM | 48.5¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 6, 6:54 AM | 49¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 6, 8:59 AM | 48.5¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 6, 9:09 AM | 49¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 6, 8:34 PM | 48.1¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 7, 12:09 AM | 48.5¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 7, 6:39 AM | 48.1¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 7, 11:24 AM | 48.5¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 7, 11:39 AM | 49¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 7, 11:44 AM | 48.5¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 7, 4:44 PM | 49¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 7, 8:44 PM | 48.5¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 8, 3:34 AM | 48.1¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 8, 5:04 AM | 48.5¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 8, 5:09 AM | 47.4¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 8, 5:14 AM | 48.1¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 8, 5:49 AM | 47.4¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 8, 5:54 AM | 48.1¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 8, 8:34 AM | 47.4¢ |
| Polymarket | Oct 1, 7:04 PM | 47¢ |
| Polymarket | Oct 2, 12:34 AM | 47.4¢ |
| Polymarket | Oct 2, 1:19 AM | 48.1¢ |
| Polymarket | Oct 3, 10:14 PM | 48.5¢ |
| Polymarket | Oct 3, 10:19 PM | 48.1¢ |
| Polymarket | Oct 4, 5:24 PM | 49¢ |
| Polymarket | Oct 5, 11:34 AM | 49.5¢ |
| Polymarket | Oct 5, 8:09 PM | 50¢ |
| Polymarket | Oct 5, 9:39 PM | 49.5¢ |
| Polymarket | Oct 5, 10:24 PM | 49¢ |
| Polymarket | Oct 5, 10:34 PM | 49.5¢ |
| Polymarket | Oct 5, 10:39 PM | 49¢ |
| Polymarket | Oct 6, 10:49 PM | 49.5¢ |
| Polymarket | Oct 7, 12:14 AM | 49¢ |
| Polymarket | Oct 7, 12:19 AM | 49.5¢ |
| Polymarket | Oct 7, 11:39 PM | 48.5¢ |
| Polymarket | Oct 8, 2:29 PM | 47.4¢ |
| BetRivers | Oct 7, 1:19 PM | 53.3¢ |
| BetRivers | Oct 7, 3:39 PM | 52.8¢ |
| BetRivers | Oct 7, 4:14 PM | 53.1¢ |
| BetRivers | Oct 7, 4:39 PM | 53.5¢ |
| BetRivers | Oct 7, 4:49 PM | 52.8¢ |
| BetRivers | Oct 7, 9:49 PM | 53.1¢ |
| BetRivers | Oct 7, 9:59 PM | 51.5¢ |
| BetRivers | Oct 8, 5:49 AM | 49.5¢ |
| BetRivers | Oct 8, 6:19 AM | 49¢ |
| BetRivers | Oct 8, 11:29 AM | 48.8¢ |
| BetRivers | Oct 8, 3:09 PM | 49¢ |
| BetMGM | Oct 7, 2:19 PM | 52.4¢ |
| BetMGM | Oct 7, 6:54 PM | 51.2¢ |
| BetMGM | Oct 7, 7:24 PM | 52.4¢ |
| BetMGM | Oct 7, 8:19 PM | 51.2¢ |
| BetMGM | Oct 8, 3:14 AM | 50.5¢ |
| BetMGM | Oct 8, 8:24 AM | 50¢ |
| BetMGM | Oct 8, 6:42 PM | 48.8¢ |
Paper trades.