How THE LINEUP verifies public +EV results.
The public results workflow is designed to separate market-based +EV decisions from model projection context, preserve source labels, and make the settled record inspectable after each game.
Fair-price check
EV+ compares a sportsbook's offered price against fair odds from sharp or historically validated market sources. Projection models do not create +EV picks.
Pre-game record
Rows must be logged before settlement. Public methodology should not rely on hindsight filtering after a game has finished.
Source labels
Public rows preserve labels for release policy, source path, sportsbook ledger scope, and whether a row came from live publishing or scanner backfill.
Settlement review
Settled rows are reviewed through result, units, ROI, CLV coverage, book, prop type, and sport-level breakdowns on the public results surface.
What the public record can and cannot prove
A public betting record can show what was logged, how it was settled, which source path produced it, and whether the market moved favorably by close. It cannot guarantee future outcomes or replace sportsbook access, bankroll rules, or user discipline.
- EV+ source
- Offered price versus fair odds
- Model source
- The NBA Projection Model is a separate LightGBM v7_beta system with 157 configured features for player stat context; other sports use sport-specific projection models.
- Public surface
- Results ledger with filters and source labels
- User check
- Date range, scope, source, CLV, and settlement status
FAQ
Are THE LINEUP +EV picks created by the projection model?
EV+ compares a sportsbook's offered price against fair odds from sharp or historically validated market sources. Projection models do not create +EV picks.
What does the projection model do on results pages?
The projection model provides separate player-stat context. It can help users understand a player range or matchup, but it is not the source of the EV+ fair price.
Why do source labels matter?
Source labels make the record auditable. They show whether a row came from the EV Board ledger, a public pick policy bucket, scanner backfill, or another allowed source path.
What should users inspect before trusting any result?
Users should inspect date range, market scope, sportsbook/source labels, CLV coverage, settlement status, and whether the result is from the default settled EV Board ledger or a narrower policy bucket.