Data Journalism

THE LINEUP Blog

Deep-dive analytics, projection insights, and actionable betting strategies powered by machine learning.

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Game Theory
Sam Vecenie
Bryce Simon
Podcast Analysis
NBA Analysis
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NBA Props
Betting Strategy
Player Props
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Data Journalism
The Sam & Bryce Dictionary
We ran 60 episodes of Game Theory through a word counter. Sam says 'feels' 12x more than Bryce. Bryce says 'listen' 7x more than Sam. It got weird.
Game Theory
Sam Vecenie
Bryce Simon
+3 more
February 19, 2026
1 min read
B
Betting Education
How to Find the Best NBA Prop Bets: A Data-Driven Strategy
Stop guessing on player props. We break down the math behind finding +EV prop bets, which stat categories are most predictable, and how to build a systematic approach to NBA player prop betting.
NBA Props
Betting Strategy
Player Props
+3 more
February 5, 2026
8 min read
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Transparency
How We Track Accuracy (And Why Most Services Don't)
Most prop prediction services are black boxes. We publish every pick, grade, and outcome -- with actual sportsbook odds. Here's exactly how our grading system works and what the numbers mean.
Accuracy
Transparency
Grading System
+3 more
February 5, 2026
6 min read
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Transparency
Our ML Models Just Got 13.5% More Accurate: Inside v4.0
We rebuilt our projection engine with exponentially weighted features, Huber loss, and defense-vs-position data. Here's exactly what changed and how much better it got.
Machine Learning
Accuracy
Projections
+4 more
February 5, 2026
6 min read
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Betting Education
Arbitrage Betting 101: How to Find Risk-Free Profit Opportunities
Arbitrage betting lets you profit regardless of the outcome. Learn how to find arbs, calculate stake sizes, and avoid common pitfalls that trip up beginners.
Arbitrage
Risk-Free Betting
Betting Strategy
+2 more
January 20, 2026
9 min read
T
Transparency
How Our ML Models Work: Inside THE LINEUP's Projection Engine
Most betting tools hide how their models work. We're different. Here's exactly how THE LINEUP generates player projections - from data collection to final predictions.
Machine Learning
Projections
Transparency
+2 more
January 20, 2026
7 min read
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Betting Education
What is +EV Betting? The Math Behind Finding Real Betting Edges
Expected Value (EV) is the single most important concept in profitable betting. Learn how +EV betting works, why it matters, and how to find edges the sportsbooks don't want you to know about.
EV Betting
Expected Value
Betting Strategy
+2 more
January 20, 2026
8 min read
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Betting Strategy
We Analyzed 54,000 NBA Props to Find Real Betting Edges. Here's What the Data Shows.
Our analysis of 53,923 historical NBA props reveals that betting markets are highly efficient - but a few specific prop types offer legitimate edges for disciplined bettors.
Props
Backtesting
Betting Strategy
+2 more
December 18, 2025
7 min read

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