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The model's chance minus the best price from any source. An agent's edge uses the price it would actually pay.
Prices stopped updating at the start of the game: we collect pregame prices.
Player props show the best price per side on each player's main line.
Each position's model figure is from when it opened.
| Contract | Model | Best price | Model vs. best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| DEN to win | 62.9¢ | 62.6¢ | +0.4 pts |
| LAC to win | 37.1¢ | 37.5¢ | −0.4 pts |
| DEN -3.5 | 49.3¢ | 50.5¢ | −1.2 pts |
| LAC +3.5 | 50.7¢ | 51.9¢ | −1.2 pts |
| DEN +1.5 | 65.1¢ | – | – |
| LAC -1.5 | 34.9¢ | – | – |
| Over 42.5 | 48.9¢ | 47.4¢ | +1.5 pts |
| Under 42.5 | 51.1¢ | 52.6¢ | −1.5 pts |
|---|
| Over 42 | 50.4¢ | 51.9¢ | −1.5 pts |
|---|
| Under 42 | 49.6¢ | 51.9¢ | −2.3 pts |
|---|
| Source | DEN to win | LAC to win |
|---|---|---|
| Exchanges | ||
| Polymarket | 62.6¢best price | 37.5¢best price |
| Sportsbooks | ||
| BetMGM | 65.5¢ | 39.2¢ |
| BetRivers | 65¢ | 40¢ |
| Caesars | 64.5¢ | 39.5¢ |
| DraftKings | 64.3¢ | 40¢ |
| Fanatics | 64.3¢ | 40¢ |
| FanDuel | 64.8¢ | 39.4¢ |
| Source | DEN -3.5 | LAC +3.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Sportsbooks | ||
| BetMGM | 50.5¢best price | 51.9¢best price |
| BetRivers | 51.7¢ | 53.3¢ |
| Caesars | 51.7¢ | 53.1¢ |
| DraftKings | 50.5¢ | |
| Source | Over 42.5 | Under 42.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Exchanges | ||
| Polymarket | 47.4¢best price | 52.6¢best price |
| Sportsbooks | ||
| Caesars | 51.5¢ | 53.3¢ |
| DraftKings | 51.2¢ | 53.5¢ |
| FanDuel | ||

Partner offer
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| Series | Time (ET) | Price |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | Oct 4, 4:05 PM | 44.1¢ |
| Polymarket | Oct 4, 6:25 PM | 42.9¢ |
| Polymarket | Oct 4, 6:30 PM | 42.6¢ |
| Polymarket | Oct 4, 6:40 PM | 41¢ |
| Polymarket | Oct 4, 6:50 PM | 40.5¢ |
| Polymarket | Oct 4, 7:00 PM | 38¢ |
| Polymarket | Oct 4, 7:05 PM | 37.5¢ |
| Polymarket | Oct 4, 7:10 PM | 35.5¢ |
| Polymarket | Oct 4, 7:20 PM | 35¢ |
| Polymarket | Oct 4, 8:20 PM | 35.5¢ |
| Polymarket | Oct 4, 9:05 PM | 36¢ |
| Polymarket | Oct 4, 9:10 PM | 36.5¢ |
| Polymarket | Oct 4, 9:55 PM | 36¢ |
| Polymarket | Oct 4, 10:15 PM | 36.5¢ |
| Polymarket | Oct 5, 12:15 AM | 37¢ |
| Polymarket | Oct 5, 12:45 AM | 36.5¢ |
| Polymarket | Oct 5, 3:50 AM | 37¢ |
| Polymarket | Oct 5, 4:20 AM | 37.5¢ |
| Polymarket | Oct 9, 6:40 PM | 36.5¢ |
| Polymarket | Oct 11, 4:01 PM | 37.5¢ |
| BetMGM | Oct 4, 7:50 PM | 38.5¢ |
| BetMGM | Oct 4, 8:10 PM | 39.2¢ |
| BetMGM |
| Player | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Courtland Sutton | 38.5 | 53.1¢FanDuel | 53.1¢FanDuel |
| Evan Engram | 18.5 | 53.1¢BetRivers | 51.2¢BetMGM |
| Jaylen Waddle | 55.5 | 53.1¢FanDuel | 53.1¢FanDuel |
| Keaton Mitchell | 11.5 | 51.9¢FanDuel | 53.5¢BetMGM |
| Marvin Mims Jr. | 13.5 | 52.8¢BetRivers | 53.1¢FanDuel |
| Omarion Hampton | 5.5 | 55.4¢BetRivers | 50¢FanDuel |
| Oronde Gadsden | 32.5 | 53.1¢FanDuel | 52.4¢DraftKings |
| RJ Harvey | 25.5 | 53.1¢FanDuel | 52.2¢DraftKings |
| Troy Franklin | 19.5 | 53.1¢DraftKings | 52.6¢DraftKings |
| Player | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Courtland Sutton | 3.5 | 47.4¢DraftKings | 58.5¢DraftKings |
| Evan Engram | 2.5 | 44.4¢BetMGM | 57.6¢DraftKings |
| Jaylen Waddle | 4.5 | 57.3¢DraftKings |
| Player | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bo Nix | 13.5 | 53.1¢FanDuel | 53.1¢FanDuel |
| J.K. Dobbins | 50.5 | 53.1¢FanDuel | 53.1¢FanDuel |
| Justin Herbert | 24.5 | 52.8¢DraftKings |
| Player | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bo Nix | 4.5 | 46.5¢DraftKings | 59.4¢DraftKings |
| J.K. Dobbins | 13.5 | 51.9¢DraftKings | 53.5¢BetMGM |
| Justin Herbert | 5.5 | 47.9¢DraftKings |
| Player | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Keaton Mitchell | 47.5 | 53.5¢BetMGM | 53.5¢BetMGM |
| Omarion Hampton | 52.5 | 52.4¢DraftKings | 53.7¢DraftKings |
| RJ Harvey | 54.5 | 53.1¢BetRivers |
| Player | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bo Nix | 21.5 | 50¢DraftKings | 54.6¢BetMGM |
| Justin Herbert | 18.5 | 50¢DraftKings | 54.6¢BetMGM |
| Player | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bo Nix | 33.5 | 52.4¢BetMGM | 54.6¢BetMGM |
| Justin Herbert | 30.5 | 50.7¢DraftKings | 55.2¢DraftKings |
| Player | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bo Nix | 220.5 | 52.8¢DraftKings | 52.8¢DraftKings |
| Justin Herbert | 196.5 | 53.9¢BetRivers | 53.3¢BetRivers |
Opened Oct 11, 11:05 AM ET
58.8¢ · Sportsbook price (DraftKings) · model 63.1¢ (+4.3 pts) Experimental · fee $0.00 · $100.00 position
Closed at 51.5¢, missed the close by 6.4¢ on the book's price (the entry adds 1¢)
Opened Oct 9, 6:40 PM ET
49.8¢ · Sportsbook price (BetMGM) · model 54.1¢ (+4.3 pts) Experimental · fee $0.00 · $100.00 position
No closing price on record
Opened Oct 9, 4:35 PM ET
51¢ · Sportsbook price (Fanatics) · model 57.3¢ (+6.3 pts) Experimental · fee $0.00 · $100.00 position
Closed at 51.2¢, beat the close by 1.2¢ on the book's price (the entry adds 1¢)
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Prices from Kalshi, Polymarket and sportsbooks via our data provider. Paper trades only.
| Fanatics | 51.2¢ | 53.5¢ |
|---|
| FanDuel | 52.4¢ | 52.4¢ |
|---|
DEN +1.5 / LAC -1.5
| Source | DEN +1.5 | LAC -1.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Exchanges | ||
| Polymarket | Hidden | Hidden |
Hidden: no sportsbook price to check against.
| 53.5¢ |
Total 42
| Source | Over 42 | Under 42 |
|---|---|---|
| Sportsbooks | ||
| BetMGM | 52.4¢ | 51.9¢best price |
| BetRivers | 51.9¢best price | 53.1¢ |
| Fanatics | 52.4¢ | 52.4¢ |
| Oct 4, 11:00 PM |
| 40¢ |
| BetMGM | Oct 5, 1:15 AM | 39.2¢ |
| BetMGM | Oct 5, 7:30 AM | 40¢ |
| BetMGM | Oct 5, 8:00 AM | 39.2¢ |
| BetMGM | Oct 5, 1:10 PM | 40¢ |
| BetMGM | Oct 5, 2:45 PM | 39.2¢ |
| BetMGM | Oct 6, 12:45 PM | 40¢ |
| BetMGM | Oct 6, 1:45 PM | 40.8¢ |
| BetMGM | Oct 7, 2:00 AM | 40¢ |
| BetMGM | Oct 7, 8:05 AM | 39.2¢ |
| BetMGM | Oct 7, 10:05 AM | 40¢ |
| BetMGM | Oct 7, 11:05 AM | 40.8¢ |
| BetMGM | Oct 8, 7:40 AM | 40¢ |
| BetMGM | Oct 8, 8:40 AM | 40.8¢ |
| BetMGM | Oct 9, 6:40 PM | 40¢ |
| BetMGM | Oct 9, 7:40 PM | 39.2¢ |
| BetMGM | Oct 9, 10:45 PM | 40¢ |
| BetMGM | Oct 10, 12:45 AM | 39.2¢ |
| BetMGM | Oct 11, 1:05 AM | 38.5¢ |
| BetMGM | Oct 11, 4:35 AM | 39.2¢ |
| BetMGM | Oct 11, 7:50 AM | 38.5¢ |
| BetMGM | Oct 11, 8:10 AM | 39.2¢ |
| BetMGM | Oct 11, 8:15 AM | 38.5¢ |
| BetMGM | Oct 11, 9:05 AM | 37.7¢ |
| BetMGM | Oct 11, 10:45 AM | 38.5¢ |
| BetMGM | Oct 11, 11:05 AM | 39.2¢ |
| BetMGM | Oct 11, 12:45 PM | 38.5¢ |
| BetMGM | Oct 11, 1:35 PM | 39.2¢ |
| BetMGM | Oct 11, 3:57 PM | 38.5¢ |
| BetMGM | Oct 11, 4:01 PM | 40¢ |
| BetMGM | Oct 11, 4:03 PM | 39.2¢ |
| Caesars | Oct 4, 4:05 PM | 46.5¢ |
| Caesars | Oct 4, 6:35 PM | 40¢ |
| Caesars | Oct 4, 7:55 PM | 38.5¢ |
| Caesars | Oct 4, 9:05 PM | 39.7¢ |
| Caesars | Oct 9, 10:45 PM | 38.8¢ |
| Caesars | Oct 11, 4:03 PM | 39.5¢ |
| BetRivers | Oct 4, 4:05 PM | 47.6¢ |
| BetRivers | Oct 4, 6:25 PM | 40.5¢ |
| BetRivers | Oct 4, 7:10 PM | 38.5¢ |
| BetRivers | Oct 5, 9:20 PM | 39.2¢ |
| BetRivers | Oct 9, 10:30 AM | 40¢ |
| Marvin Mims Jr. | 1.5 | 46.5¢DraftKings | 58.3¢FanDuel |
|---|
| Omarion Hampton | 1.5 | 40.3¢FanDuel | 63.4¢DraftKings |
|---|
| Oronde Gadsden | 3.5 | 49.5¢DraftKings | 55.6¢BetMGM |
|---|
| RJ Harvey | 3.5 | 57.5¢BetMGM | 45.1¢FanDuel |
|---|
| Tre' Harris | 4.5 | 48.5¢FanDuel | 51.5¢DraftKings |
|---|
| Troy Franklin | 1.5 | 53.3¢FanDuel | 50¢BetMGM |
|---|
| Keaton Mitchell | 30.5 | 54.6¢BetRivers | 52.8¢BetRivers |
|---|
| RJ Harvey | 25.5 | 53.1¢FanDuel | 53.1¢FanDuel |
|---|
| Keaton Mitchell | 7.5 | 55.6¢Fanatics | 50¢DraftKings |
|---|