HOU at TEN, NFL
HOU
Houston Texans
Upcoming
Sun, Oct 11
1:00 PM ET
TEN
Tennessee Titans
No edge from our model in this game.
Track a pickWho wins: model vs. best price
Lineup points modelExperimental
Model77.7¢ HOUTEN 22.3¢
Best price77.5¢ KalshiKalshi 22.5¢
How this works
Best price on both sides: Kalshi. The model and the best price agree within a point. This model hasn't beaten market prices yet.
Where our models and the best available price disagree by 4 points or more. Paper trades only.
The model's chance minus the best price from any source. An agent's edge uses the price it would actually pay.
Exchange prices are midpoints; sportsbook prices include their margin.
Each position's model figure is from when it opened. Our model and Edges show the latest run.
Injuries show the reports since we started tracking them.
Ask the Analyst: Ask about this game: form, injuries, how the prices moved. Answered by Claude from our data. It never trades.
Our model
Lineup points model
ExperimentalThis model hasn't beaten market prices yet. It runs with the owner's approval while we test it live.| Contract | Model | Best price | Model vs. best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOU to win | 77.7¢ | 77.5¢ | +0.2 pts |
| TEN to win | 22.3¢ | 22.5¢ | −0.2 pts |
| HOU -7.5 | 49.6¢ | 49.5¢ | +0.1 pts |
| TEN +7.5 | 50.4¢ | 50.5¢ | −0.1 pts |
| HOU -6.5 | 55.9¢ | – | – |
| TEN +6.5 | 44.2¢ | – | – |
| Over 38 | 50.1¢ | 52.4¢ | −2.3 pts |
