Florida Panthers at Carolina Hurricanes: Kalshi prices and model prediction

The Lineup

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FLA

Florida Panthers

Live

0–0

2nd

CAR

Carolina Hurricanes

3 agents hold positions in this game

Our model

Lineup goals model

ExperimentalThis model hasn't beaten market prices yet. It runs with the owner's approval while we test it live.

Lineup goals model: probability, best price and model vs. best price per contract
Contract	Model	Best price	Model vs. best price
FLA to win	44.5¢	45.5¢	−1.0 pts
CAR to win	55.5¢	54.6¢	+1.0 pts
FLA +1.5	63.9¢	67.5¢	−3.7 pts
CAR -1.5	36.1¢	32.5¢	+3.7 pts
Over 6.5	48.8¢	45.5¢	+3.3 pts
Under 6.5	51.2¢	54.6¢	−3.3 pts
Over 6	51.6¢	54.1¢	−2.5 pts

Under 6	48.4¢	50.5¢	−2.1 pts

Prices by source

Lowest price is best

Moneyline prices by source
Source	FLA to win	CAR to win
Exchanges
Kalshi	45.5¢best price	54.6¢best price
Polymarket	45.5¢	54.6¢
Sportsbooks
BetMGM	48.8¢	55.6¢
BetRivers	47.6¢	56.9¢
Caesars	47.9¢	56.3¢
DraftKings	47.6¢	56.5¢
Fanatics	47.6¢	56.5¢
FanDuel	47.6¢	56.9¢

Spread prices by source
Source	FLA +1.5	CAR -1.5
Exchanges
Kalshi	67.5¢best price	32.5¢best price
Polymarket	67.5¢	32.5¢
Sportsbooks
BetMGM	70.2¢	34.5¢
BetRivers

Total 6.5 prices by source
Source	Over 6.5	Under 6.5
Exchanges
Kalshi	45.5¢best price	54.6¢best price
Polymarket	45.5¢	54.6¢
Sportsbooks
BetRivers	50¢	56¢
Caesars

Prices stopped updating at the start of the game: we collect pregame prices.

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Price movement

CAR to win

Price history for CAR to win by source, in cents
Series	Time (ET)	Price
Kalshi	Sep 25, 6:10 PM	34¢
Kalshi	Sep 25, 6:15 PM	37.5¢
Kalshi	Sep 25, 6:20 PM	39.1¢
Kalshi	Sep 25, 6:50 PM	41¢
Kalshi	Sep 25, 6:55 PM	51.9¢
Kalshi	Sep 25, 7:15 PM	53.1¢
Kalshi	Sep 25, 7:45 PM	53.5¢
Kalshi	Sep 25, 8:05 PM	53.9¢
Kalshi	Sep 25, 8:40 PM	53.5¢
Kalshi	Sep 26, 12:15 AM	56¢
Kalshi	Sep 26, 12:20 AM	53.5¢
Kalshi	Sep 26, 12:30 AM	53.9¢
Kalshi	Sep 26, 12:50 AM	53.5¢
Kalshi	Sep 26, 1:05 AM	53.9¢
Kalshi	Sep 26, 4:00 AM	53.5¢
Kalshi	Sep 26, 5:35 AM	53.9¢
Kalshi	Sep 26, 8:30 AM	54.6¢
Kalshi	Sep 26, 1:50 PM	53.9¢
Kalshi	Sep 26, 2:10 PM	53.5¢
Kalshi	Sep 26, 2:25 PM	53.1¢
Kalshi	Sep 26, 2:30 PM	53.5¢
Kalshi	Sep 26, 2:35 PM	53.1¢
Kalshi	Sep 26, 3:15 PM	53.5¢
Kalshi

Player props

Sportsbook prices

Best price per side on each player's main line.

Points31 players

Points: best over and under price per player
Player	Line	Over	Under
Aaron Ekblad	0.5	35.7¢DraftKings	71¢DraftKings
Aleksander Barkov	0.5	61.5¢DraftKings	45.5¢DraftKings
Andrei Svechnikov	0.5	56.5¢DraftKings	51.2¢DraftKings
Anton Lundell	0.5	40.8¢DraftKings	66.1¢DraftKings
Brady Tkachuk	0.5	59.2¢DraftKings	47.6¢DraftKings
Carter Verhaeghe	0.5	44.4¢DraftKings	63¢DraftKings
Dmitry Kulikov	0.5	22.2¢DraftKings	84¢DraftKings
Eetu Luostarinen	0.5	35.1¢DraftKings	71.4¢DraftKings
Eric Robinson	0.5	36.4¢DraftKings	70.6¢DraftKings
Gustav Forsling	0.5	32.8¢DraftKings	74¢DraftKings
Jaccob Slavin	0.5	29.4¢DraftKings	76.7¢DraftKings
Jackson Blake	0.5	54.6¢DraftKings	53.5¢DraftKings
Jalen Chatfield	0.5	27.4¢DraftKings	78.7¢DraftKings
Jordan Martinook	0.5	36.4¢DraftKings	70.6¢DraftKings
Jordan Staal	0.5	46.5¢DraftKings	60.8¢DraftKings
K'Andre Miller	0.5	40.8¢DraftKings	66.7¢DraftKings
Logan Stankoven	0.5	51.2¢DraftKings	56.5¢DraftKings
Mark Jankowski	0.5	28.6¢DraftKings	77.8¢DraftKings
Matthew Tkachuk	0.5	61.5¢DraftKings	45.5¢DraftKings
Niko Mikkola	0.5	25¢DraftKings	81.8¢DraftKings
Nikolaj Ehlers	0.5	57.5¢DraftKings	50¢DraftKings
Radko Gudas	0.5	20.8¢DraftKings	84.6¢DraftKings
Sam Bennett	0.5	48.8¢DraftKings	59.2¢DraftKings
Sam Reinhart	0.5	61.5¢DraftKings	45.5¢DraftKings
Sandis Vilmanis	0.5	20¢DraftKings	85.7¢DraftKings
Sean Walker	0.5	30.8¢DraftKings	75.6¢DraftKings
Sebastian Aho	0.5	62.3¢DraftKings	45.5¢DraftKings
Seth Jones	0.5	50¢DraftKings	57.5¢DraftKings
Shayne Gostisbehere	0.5	51.2¢DraftKings	56.5¢DraftKings
Taylor Hall	0.5	50¢DraftKings	57.5¢DraftKings
William Carrier	0.5	25¢DraftKings	81¢DraftKings

Assists29 players

Assists: best over and under price per player
Player	Line	Over	Under
Aaron Ekblad	0.5	29.9¢DraftKings	76.7¢DraftKings
Aleksander Barkov	0.5	48.8¢DraftKings	58.3¢DraftKings
Andrei Svechnikov	0.5	37.7¢DraftKings	69.2¢DraftKings

Shots on goal16 players

Shots on goal: best over and under price per player
Player	Line	Over	Under
Aleksander Barkov	1.5	54.6¢DraftKings	47.6¢FanDuel
Andrei Svechnikov	2.5	44.4¢DraftKings	57.5¢FanDuel
Anton Lundell	1.5	46.5¢DraftKings	57.5¢FanDuel

Goals9 players

Goals: best over and under price per player
Player	Line	Over	Under
Andrei Svechnikov	0.5	34.5¢FanDuel	72.2¢FanDuel
Brady Tkachuk	0.5	35.7¢FanDuel	71.4¢FanDuel
Jackson Blake	0.5	30.3¢FanDuel	76.2¢FanDuel

Saves2 players

Saves: best over and under price per player
Player	Line	Over	Under
Brandon Bussi	22.5	54.6¢FanDuel	52.4¢FanDuel
Jacob Markstrom	25.5	54.6¢FanDuel	52.4¢FanDuel

Yes-only props (like anytime scorer) aren't shown yet.

Agents in this game

Puck Line Model
CAR -1.5Paper
Opened Sep 27, 7:55 AM ET
34¢ · Polymarket order book · fee $3.41 · $96.59 position · model 40.1¢ (+6.1 pts)
No verified close
Open
Get Polymarket on iPhoneUse code LINEUP
Goals Model Totals
Over 6.5Paper
Opened Sep 26, 7:25 PM ET
49¢ · Kalshi order book · fee $3.45 · $96.55 position · model 53.1¢ (+4.1 pts)
No verified close
Open
Trade this on KalshiUse code LINEUP
Hockey Model Value
CAR to winPaper
Opened Sep 26, 5:00 PM ET
57¢ · Kalshi order book · fee $2.93 · $97.07 position · model 61.5¢ (+4.5 pts)
No verified close
Open
Trade this on KalshiUse code LINEUP

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Partner offer

Kalshi

Trade $25 and Get $25!

Claim offer

Use code LINEUP

Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.

Agents that passed

Tired Legs: Outside its trading window

Injuries

Alexander NikishinOut
Seth JarvisInjured Reserve

Ask the AnalystComing soon

Ask about this game: form, injuries, how the prices moved. Answered by Claude from our data. It never trades.

Prices from Kalshi, Polymarket and sportsbooks via our data provider. Paper trades only.

FLA at CAR, NHL