Philadelphia Eagles at Chicago Bears: Kalshi prices and model prediction

The Lineup

Pro How it works Sign in

PHI

Philadelphia Eagles

Final

7–27

Sep 28, 8:15 PM ET

at

CHI

Chicago Bears

5 agents traded this game

Our model

Lineup points model

ExperimentalThis model hasn't beaten market prices yet. It runs with the owner's approval while we test it live.

Lineup points model: probability, best price and model vs. best price per contract
Contract	Model	Best price	Model vs. best price
PHI to win	64.5¢	63.5¢	+1.0 pts
CHI to win	35.5¢	36.5¢	−1.0 pts
PHI -3.5	49.6¢	47.4¢	+2.2 pts
CHI +3.5	50.5¢	51.9¢	−1.5 pts
PHI +0.5	63.2¢	–	–
CHI -0.5	36.8¢	–	–
PHI -4	47.9¢	51.2¢	−3.3 pts

CHI +4	52.1¢	52.8¢	−0.7 pts

Over 42.5	50¢	49.5¢	+0.5 pts

Under 42.5	50¢	50.5¢	−0.5 pts

Over 42	51.6¢	52.8¢	−1.3 pts

Under 42	48.4¢	52.2¢	−3.7 pts

Over 43.5	47¢	–	–

Under 43.5	53¢	–	–

Prices by source

Lowest price is best

Moneyline prices by source
Source	PHI to win	CHI to win
Exchanges
Kalshi	63.5¢best price	36.5¢best price
Polymarket	63.5¢	36.5¢
Sportsbooks
BetMGM	67.7¢	37¢
BetRivers	66.7¢	37.7¢
Caesars	66.3¢	37.3¢
DraftKings	66.4¢	37.9¢
Fanatics	66.1¢	38.5¢
FanDuel	65.5¢	38.5¢

Spread prices by source
Source	PHI -3.5	CHI +3.5
Exchanges
Kalshi	47.4¢best price	52.6¢
Sportsbooks
BetRivers	53.1¢	51.9¢best price
Caesars	51.7¢	53.1¢
DraftKings

Total 42.5 prices by source
Source	Over 42.5	Under 42.5
Exchanges
Kalshi	49.5¢best price	50.5¢best price
Sportsbooks
BetMGM	52.4¢	52.4¢
Caesars	51.7¢	53.1¢
DraftKings

Prices stopped updating at the start of the game: we collect pregame prices.

Partner offer

Rebet

Get a 100% purchase match up to $100!

Claim offerUse code LINEUP

Terms apply. Must be of legal age. Not available in all states.

Price movement

CHI to win

Price history for CHI to win by source, in cents
Series	Time (ET)	Price
Kalshi	Sep 24, 5:35 PM	31.6¢
Kalshi	Sep 26, 1:05 PM	35.5¢
Kalshi	Sep 26, 1:35 PM	36.5¢
Kalshi	Sep 26, 2:35 PM	37.5¢
Kalshi	Sep 26, 3:05 PM	37¢
Kalshi	Sep 26, 4:10 PM	36.5¢
Kalshi	Sep 27, 1:35 AM	37.5¢
Kalshi	Sep 27, 9:45 AM	36.5¢
Kalshi	Sep 27, 12:25 PM	35.5¢
Kalshi	Sep 27, 2:00 PM	34.5¢
Kalshi	Sep 28, 1:55 PM	35.5¢
Kalshi	Sep 28, 5:50 PM	36.5¢
Polymarket	Sep 24, 5:35 PM	32.5¢
Polymarket	Sep 26, 12:55 PM	36.5¢
Polymarket	Sep 26, 3:00 PM	35.5¢
Polymarket	Sep 26, 5:35 PM	36.5¢
Polymarket	Sep 27, 10:00 AM	37.5¢
Polymarket	Sep 27, 12:25 PM	35.5¢
Polymarket	Sep 27, 2:40 PM	34.5¢
Polymarket	Sep 28, 8:45 AM	35.5¢
Polymarket	Sep 28, 11:20 AM	34.5¢
Polymarket	Sep 28, 11:50 AM	35.5¢
Polymarket	Sep 28, 4:55 PM

Player props

Sportsbook prices

Best price per side on each player's main line.

Receiving yards15 players

Receiving yards: best over and under price per player
Player	Line	Over	Under
Cole Kmet	8.5	52.2¢BetRivers	53.1¢FanDuel
Colston Loveland	33.5	52.2¢DraftKings	53.1¢FanDuel
D'Andre Swift	13.5	53.1¢FanDuel	52.2¢DraftKings
Darius Cooper	4.5	52.6¢DraftKings	52.4¢BetMGM
DeVonta Smith	70.5	53.1¢FanDuel	52.4¢Fanatics
Dontayvion Wicks	42.5	52.8¢DraftKings	52.8¢DraftKings
Johnny Mundt	9.5	53.1¢FanDuel	52.2¢DraftKings
Kalif Raymond	22.5	52.8¢DraftKings	52.8¢DraftKings
Kyle Monangai	8.5	51.2¢DraftKings	53.1¢FanDuel
Luther Burden III	33.5	53.1¢FanDuel	50¢BetMGM
Makai Lemon	21.5	53.1¢FanDuel	53.1¢FanDuel
Rome Odunze	25.5	52.6¢DraftKings	53.1¢DraftKings
Saquon Barkley	12.5	53.1¢FanDuel	52.4¢BetMGM
Will Shipley	2.5	50.5¢FanDuel	53.3¢DraftKings
Zach Ertz	10.5	52.6¢DraftKings	52.4¢BetRivers

Receptions14 players

Receptions: best over and under price per player
Player	Line	Over	Under
Cole Kmet	1.5	42.9¢DraftKings	61.5¢BetMGM
Colston Loveland	3.5	46.5¢BetMGM	57.6¢FanDuel
D'Andre Swift	2.5	42.7¢FanDuel	61.5¢BetMGM

Longest reception10 players

Longest reception: best over and under price per player
Player	Line	Over	Under
Colston Loveland	14.5	52.8¢DraftKings	53.7¢DraftKings
D'Andre Swift	8.5	55.4¢DraftKings	51¢DraftKings
DeVonta Smith	24.5	53.7¢DraftKings	52.6¢DraftKings

Receiving yards 1h9 players

Receiving yards 1h: best over and under price per player
Player	Line	Over	Under
Colston Loveland	14.5	52.2¢DraftKings	54.3¢DraftKings
D'Andre Swift	4.5	55¢DraftKings	51.5¢DraftKings
DeVonta Smith	35.5	52.6¢DraftKings	53.9¢DraftKings

Receiving yards 1q9 players

Receiving yards 1q: best over and under price per player
Player	Line	Over	Under
Colston Loveland	0.5	51.9¢DraftKings	54.6¢DraftKings
D'Andre Swift	0.5	37.9¢DraftKings	68.3¢DraftKings
DeVonta Smith	11.5	53.1¢DraftKings	53.5¢DraftKings

Rushing yards6 players

Rushing yards: best over and under price per player
Player	Line	Over	Under
Case Keenum	2.5	50.5¢FanDuel	53.3¢DraftKings
D'Andre Swift	60.5	53.1¢FanDuel	53.1¢FanDuel
Jalen Hurts	24.5	53.1¢FanDuel	53.1¢FanDuel

Longest rush4 players

Longest rush: best over and under price per player
Player	Line	Over	Under
D'Andre Swift	14.5	53.9¢DraftKings	52.6¢DraftKings
Jalen Hurts	11.5	55.6¢DraftKings	51¢DraftKings
Kyle Monangai	11.5	53.7¢DraftKings	52.8¢DraftKings

Rushing attempts4 players

Rushing attempts: best over and under price per player
Player	Line	Over	Under
D'Andre Swift	15.5	50.5¢DraftKings	55.6¢DraftKings
Jalen Hurts	6.5	53.5¢DraftKings	52.6¢DraftKings
Kyle Monangai	9.5	52.4¢DraftKings	52.4¢BetMGM

Rushing receiving yards3 players

Rushing receiving yards: best over and under price per player
Player	Line	Over	Under
D'Andre Swift	80.5	52.8¢DraftKings	53.3¢DraftKings
Kyle Monangai	50.5	53.7¢DraftKings	52.4¢DraftKings
Saquon Barkley	90.5	53.3¢DraftKings	52.8¢DraftKings

Rushing yards 1h3 players

Rushing yards 1h: best over and under price per player
Player	Line	Over	Under
D'Andre Swift	30.5	53.7¢DraftKings	52.8¢DraftKings
Jalen Hurts	11.5	54.3¢DraftKings	52.2¢DraftKings
Saquon Barkley	35.5	53.1¢DraftKings	53.5¢DraftKings

Rushing yards 1q3 players

Rushing yards 1q: best over and under price per player
Player	Line	Over	Under
D'Andre Swift	15.5	52.8¢DraftKings	53.5¢DraftKings
Jalen Hurts	3.5	54.8¢DraftKings	51.7¢DraftKings
Saquon Barkley	16.5	54.3¢DraftKings	52.2¢DraftKings

Fg made2 players

Fg made: best over and under price per player
Player	Line	Over	Under
Cairo Santos	1.5	50.3¢DraftKings	55.8¢DraftKings
Jake Elliott	1.5	51.9¢DraftKings	54.1¢DraftKings

Interceptions2 players

Interceptions: best over and under price per player
Player	Line	Over	Under
Case Keenum	0.5	56¢BetRivers	46.3¢DraftKings
Jalen Hurts	0.5	42.6¢BetMGM	63.2¢DraftKings

Kicking points2 players

Kicking points: best over and under price per player
Player	Line	Over	Under
Cairo Santos	6.5	49.5¢DraftKings	56.5¢DraftKings
Jake Elliott	6.5	57.3¢DraftKings	48.8¢DraftKings

Longest pass2 players

Longest pass: best over and under price per player
Player	Line	Over	Under
Case Keenum	28.5	53.5¢DraftKings	53.1¢DraftKings
Jalen Hurts	38.5	54.3¢DraftKings	52.2¢DraftKings

Passing attempts2 players

Passing attempts: best over and under price per player
Player	Line	Over	Under
Case Keenum	28.5	50.7¢DraftKings	55.4¢DraftKings
Jalen Hurts	28.5	51.5¢DraftKings	53.5¢Fanatics

Passing completions2 players

Passing completions: best over and under price per player
Player	Line	Over	Under
Case Keenum	17.5	51.7¢DraftKings	54.3¢DraftKings
Jalen Hurts	18.5	51.2¢BetMGM	53.5¢Fanatics

Passing tds2 players

Passing tds: best over and under price per player
Player	Line	Over	Under
Case Keenum	0.5	67.4¢DraftKings	38.5¢BetRivers
Jalen Hurts	1.5	42.7¢FanDuel	61.1¢DraftKings

Passing yards2 players

Passing yards: best over and under price per player
Player	Line	Over	Under
Case Keenum	167.5	53.1¢FanDuel	53.1¢FanDuel
Jalen Hurts	214.5	53.5¢BetMGM	53.3¢BetRivers

Passing yards 1h2 players

Passing yards 1h: best over and under price per player
Player	Line	Over	Under
Case Keenum	80.5	53.5¢DraftKings	53.1¢DraftKings
Jalen Hurts	108.5	52.8¢DraftKings	53.5¢DraftKings

Passing yards 1q2 players

Passing yards 1q: best over and under price per player
Player	Line	Over	Under
Case Keenum	35.5	53.7¢DraftKings	52.6¢DraftKings
Jalen Hurts	45.5	53.1¢DraftKings	53.5¢DraftKings

Yes-only props (like anytime scorer) aren't shown yet.

Agents in this game

Passing Props
Jalen Hurts over 28.5 pass attemptsPaper
Opened Sep 28, 5:15 PM ET
52.5¢ · Sportsbook price (DraftKings) · model 63.4¢ (+10.9 pts) · fee $0.00 · $100.00 position
Closed at 51.5¢, 1¢ worse than entry
Lost−$100.00
Rushing Props
Saquon Barkley under 17.5 rush attemptsPaper
Opened Sep 28, 5:15 PM ET
53.4¢ · Sportsbook price (BetMGM) · model 64.3¢ (+10.9 pts) · fee $0.00 · $100.00 position
Closed at 52.4¢, 1¢ worse than entry
Won+$87.34
Receiving Props
Makai Lemon under 27.5 receiving yardsPaper
Opened Sep 28, 5:15 PM ET
54.3¢ · Sportsbook price (DraftKings) · model 69.2¢ (+14.9 pts) · fee $0.00 · $100.00 position
No verified close
Lost−$100.00
NFL Lab Every Game
CHI to winPaper
Opened Sep 26, 9:10 AM ET
32¢ · Kalshi order book · fee $4.56 · $95.44 position
Closed at 36.5¢, 4.5¢ better than entry
Won+$198.24
Research model (BallDontLie Lab), not one of ours. No new agent can use it.
NFL Lab Value
CHI to winPaper
Opened Sep 26, 9:10 AM ET
32¢ · Kalshi order book · fee $4.56 · $95.44 position
Closed at 36.5¢, 4.5¢ better than entry
Won+$198.24
Research model (BallDontLie Lab), not one of ours. No new agent can use it.

Partner offer

Kalshi

Trade $25 and Get $25!

Claim offer

Use code LINEUP

Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.

Agents that passed

Football Model Value: Outside its trading window
Points Model Totals: Outside its trading window
Spread Model: Outside its trading window

Ask the AnalystComing soon

Ask about this game: form, injuries, how the prices moved. Answered by Claude from our data. It never trades.

Prices from Kalshi, Polymarket and sportsbooks via our data provider. Paper trades only.

Fanatics	51.2¢	53.5¢

FanDuel	51.9¢	52.8¢

2 more lines

PHI +0.5 / CHI -0.5

Spread, PHI +0.5 or CHI -0.5, prices by source
Source	PHI +0.5	CHI -0.5
Exchanges
Polymarket	Hidden	Hidden

Hidden: no sportsbook price to check against.

PHI -4 / CHI +4

Spread, PHI -4 or CHI +4, prices by source
Source	PHI -4	CHI +4
Sportsbooks
BetMGM	51.2¢best price	52.8¢best price

Fanatics	52.4¢	52.4¢

FanDuel	53.3¢	51.5¢