BUF at MTL, NHL
Our model sees 12 edges in this game.
Track a pickWho wins: model vs. best price
Lineup goals modelExperimental
Model47.5¢ BUFMTL 52.5¢
Best price43.5¢ PolymarketKalshi 55.6¢
Track who winsBUF 43.5¢MTL 55.6¢
Partner offer
Kalshi
Trade $25 and Get $25!
Claim offer
Use code LINEUP
Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.
Edges
On Kalshi and Polymarket
BUF to win
+4.0 pts
We give BUF a 48% chance to win.
Our model 47.5¢Best price 43.5¢ at Polymarket
Lineup goals modelExperimental
Get Polymarket on iPhoneUse code LINEUP
Polymarket: 18+ Only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Not available in all jurisdictions. Trading is risky. 100% loss can occur. See polymarket.com/tos for more information. The Polymarket US App serves as an independent software provider and affiliate of Polymarket US and Polymarket Clearing, the CFTC-regulated exchange and clearing organization.
At sportsbooks
Sportsbook pricesHow this works
The model gives BUF 4.0 pts more than the best price. This model hasn't beaten market prices yet.
Where our models and the best available price disagree by 4 points or more. Paper trades only.
Experimental: these models haven't beaten market prices yet. They run with the owner's approval while we test them live.
The model's chance minus the best price from any source. An agent's edge uses the price it would actually pay.
Exchange prices are midpoints; sportsbook prices include their margin.
Player props show the best price per side on each player's main line.
Yes-only props (like anytime scorer) aren't shown yet.
Each position's model figure is from when it opened. Our model and Edges show the latest run.
Injuries show the reports since we started tracking them.
Ask the Analyst: Ask about this game: form, injuries, how the prices moved. Answered by Claude from our data. It never trades.
Our model
Lineup goals model
ExperimentalThis model hasn't beaten market prices yet. It runs with the owner's approval while we test it live.| Contract | Model | Best price | Model vs. best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| BUF to win | 47.5¢ | 43.5¢ | +4.0 pts |
| MTL to win | 52.5¢ | 55.6¢ | −3.1 pts |
| BUF +1.5 | 65.7¢ | 65.5¢ | +0.2 pts |
| MTL -1.5 | 34.3¢ | 34.5¢ | −0.2 pts |
| Over 6.5 | 51.4¢ | 49.5¢ | +1.9 pts |
| Under 6.5 | 48.6¢ | 49.5¢ | −0.9 pts |
