Los Angeles Kings at Vegas Golden Knights: Kalshi prices and model prediction

LAK

Los Angeles Kings

Final

1–2

Oct 10, 10:00 PM ET

VGK

Vegas Golden Knights

No agent traded this game.

Partner offer

Kalshi

Trade $25 and Get $25!

Claim offer

Use code LINEUP

Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.

How this works

The model's chance minus the best price from any source. An agent's edge uses the price it would actually pay.

Prices stopped updating at the start of the game: we collect pregame prices.

Player props show the best price per side on each player's main line.

Yes-only props (like anytime scorer) aren't shown yet.

Ask the Analyst: Ask about this game: form, injuries, how the prices moved. Answered by Claude from our data. It never trades.

How it went

Score by period
Team	P1	P2	P3	OT	T
LAK	0	1	0	0	1
VGK	0	1	0	1	2

Scoring

OT 02:20 · VGK · Mitch Marner (Mark Stone, Trevor Connelly), snap · 1-2
P2 13:39 · LAK · Artemi Panarin (Adrian Kempe, Brandt Clarke), wrist · 1-1
P2 17:23 · VGK · Trevor Connelly (Mark Stone, Mitch Marner), snap · 0-1

LAKTeam statsVGK

27Shots on goal32

Contract	Model	Best price	Model vs. best price
LAK to win	42.8¢	39.5¢	+3.3 pts
VGK to win	57.2¢	60.5¢	−3.3 pts
LAK +1.5	63.1¢	62.6¢	+0.6 pts
VGK -1.5	36.9¢	37.5¢	−0.6 pts
Over 6.5	46.7¢	45.5¢	+1.2 pts
Under 6.5	53.4¢	54.6¢	−1.2 pts
Over 6	49.3¢	54.1¢	−4.9 pts
Under 6	50.8¢	48.8¢	+2.0 pts
Over 5.5	52¢	56.9¢	−4.9 pts
Under 5.5	48¢	48.3¢	−0.3 pts

Source	LAK to win	VGK to win
Exchanges
Kalshi	39.5¢best price	60.5¢best price
Polymarket	39.5¢	60.5¢
Sportsbooks
BetMGM	41.7¢	63¢
BetRivers	42.6¢	61.8¢
Caesars	41.5¢	63¢
DraftKings	41.3¢	63¢
Fanatics	41.7¢	63¢
FanDuel	41.7¢	63¢

Source	LAK +1.5	VGK -1.5
Exchanges
Kalshi	62.6¢best price	37.5¢best price
Polymarket	62.6¢	37.5¢
Sportsbooks
BetMGM	63¢	41.7¢
BetRivers

Source	Over 6.5	Under 6.5
Exchanges
Kalshi	45.5¢best price	54.6¢best price
Polymarket	45.5¢	54.6¢
Sportsbooks
DraftKings	47.6¢	56.5¢
Fanatics

Series	Time (ET)	Price
Kalshi	Oct 4, 12:09 AM	51.5¢
Kalshi	Oct 4, 1:04 AM	58¢
Kalshi	Oct 4, 2:09 AM	58.5¢
Kalshi	Oct 4, 3:34 AM	59¢
Kalshi	Oct 4, 4:19 AM	59.5¢
Kalshi	Oct 4, 10:19 AM	60¢
Kalshi	Oct 4, 4:19 PM	60.5¢
Kalshi	Oct 5, 4:24 PM	60.9¢
Kalshi	Oct 5, 7:54 PM	59.5¢
Kalshi	Oct 5, 7:59 PM	60.5¢
Kalshi	Oct 5, 8:04 PM	59¢
Kalshi	Oct 5, 8:09 PM	60.5¢
Kalshi	Oct 5, 8:14 PM	59¢
Kalshi	Oct 5, 8:19 PM	60.5¢
Kalshi	Oct 5, 8:39 PM	58.5¢
Kalshi	Oct 5, 8:44 PM	60.5¢
Kalshi	Oct 5, 8:54 PM	58.5¢
Kalshi	Oct 5, 8:59 PM	60.5¢
Kalshi	Oct 5, 9:04 PM	58.5¢
Kalshi	Oct 5, 9:44 PM	60.5¢
Kalshi	Oct 5, 10:04 PM	58.5¢
Kalshi	Oct 5, 10:09 PM	59¢
Kalshi	Oct 5, 10:19 PM	59.5¢
Kalshi	Oct 5, 10:29 PM

How it went

Scoring

LAKTeam statsVGK

Our model

Lineup goals model

Prices by source

Price movement

Player props

Agents in this game

Follow agents, or build your own

Agents that passed

Player	Line	Over	Under
Adrian Kempe	0.5	40.8¢BetMGM	66.7¢BetMGM
Alex Laferriere	0.5	32.3¢BetMGM	70.2¢DraftKings
Andre Lee	0.5	22.2¢BetMGM	88.2¢BetMGM
Artemi Panarin	0.5	51.2¢BetMGM	52.4¢DraftKings
Braeden Bowman	0.5	20.8¢DraftKings	77.8¢BetMGM
Brandt Clarke	0.5	38.5¢BetMGM	64.9¢DraftKings
Brayden McNabb	0.5	25¢BetMGM	81¢DraftKings
Brett Howden	0.5	20.8¢DraftKings	83.3¢BetMGM
Brian Dumoulin	0.5	17.4¢DraftKings	88.2¢DraftKings
Cody Ceci	0.5	15.4¢DraftKings	87.5¢BetMGM
Corey Perry	0.5	21.3¢DraftKings	84.6¢DraftKings
Drew DoughtyHidden: DraftKings, looks stale, more than 10 points from the sportsbook consensus	0.5	25¢DraftKings	70.2¢BetMGM
Erik Haula	0.5	24.4¢DraftKings	81.8¢DraftKings
Ivan Barbashev	0.5	33.3¢BetMGM	72.6¢DraftKings
Jack Eichel	0.5	57.5¢BetMGM	47.6¢DraftKings
Jeremy Lauzon	0.5	11.8¢DraftKings	88.9¢BetMGM
Joel Armia	0.5	18.2¢DraftKings	87.5¢DraftKings
Joel Edmundson	0.5	17.4¢DraftKings	84.6¢BetMGM
Marc Gatcomb	0.5	11.1¢DraftKings	92.3¢BetMGM
Mark Stone	0.5	47.6¢DraftKings	56.5¢BetMGM
Mikey Anderson	0.5	16.7¢DraftKings	83.3¢BetMGM
Mitch Marner	0.5	57.5¢BetMGM	50¢BetMGM
Nic Dowd	0.5	15.4¢DraftKings	83.3¢BetMGM
Noah Hanifin	0.5	23.8¢DraftKings	74.7¢BetMGM
Parker Wotherspoon	0.5	22.7¢DraftKings	77.8¢BetMGM
Quinton Byfield	0.5	39.2¢BetMGM	67.7¢BetMGM
Raphael Lavoie	0.5	11.8¢DraftKings	91.7¢BetMGM
Rasmus Andersson	0.5	29.4¢DraftKings	73.3¢BetMGM
Samuel Helenius	0.5	10.5¢DraftKings	92.3¢BetMGM
Scott Laughton	0.5	25.6¢BetMGM	84¢BetMGM
Shea Theodore	0.5	35.1¢DraftKings	67.7¢BetMGM
Tomas Hertl	0.5	36.4¢DraftKings	67.7¢BetMGM
Trevor Connelly	0.5	28.6¢DraftKings	76.5¢BetMGM
Trevor Moore	0.5	24.4¢DraftKings	81.8¢DraftKings
William Karlsson	0.5	28.6¢DraftKings	74.7¢BetMGM

Player	Line	Over	Under
Adrian Kempe	0.5	61.5¢DraftKings	43.5¢BetMGM
Alex Laferriere	0.5	46.5¢BetMGM	57.5¢DraftKings
Andre Lee	0.5	27¢BetMGM

Player	Line	Over	Under
Adrian Kempe	2.5	52.4¢DraftKings	52.4¢FanDuel
Alex Laferriere	2.5	42.6¢DraftKings	60.6¢FanDuel
Artemi Panarin	2.5	52.4¢DraftKings

Player	Line	Over	Under
Adrian Kempe	0.5	27¢BetMGM	81.8¢BetMGM
Artemi Panarin	0.5	30.8¢BetMGM	76.5¢BetMGM
Jack Eichel	0.5	40¢BetMGM

Player	Line	Over	Under
Adrian Kempe	0.5	35.7¢FanDuel	71.4¢FanDuel
Artemi Panarin	0.5	32.3¢FanDuel	75¢FanDuel
Jack Eichel	0.5	37¢FanDuel

Source	Over 6	Under 6
Sportsbooks
BetMGM	54.1¢best price	50.5¢
Caesars	55.6¢	48.8¢best price

LAK at VGK, NHL

How it went

Scoring

LAKTeam statsVGK

Our model

Lineup goals model

Prices by source

Price movement

Player props

Agents in this game

Follow agents, or build your own

Agents that passed