STL at NSH, NHL
Our model sees 10 edges in this game.
Track a pickWho wins: model vs. best price
Lineup goals model, weighted against market prices, learning nightlyExperimental
Model51¢ STLNSH 49¢
Best price50.5¢ KalshiKalshi 49.5¢
Track who winsSTL 50.5¢NSH 49.5¢
Partner offer
Kalshi
Trade $25 and Get $25!
Claim offer
Use code LINEUP
Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.
Edges
At sportsbooks
Sportsbook pricesAdam Jiricek under 0.5 points
+14.1 pts
We expect about 0.3 points; the line is 0.5.
Our model 77.7¢Best price 63.6¢ at BetMGM
Lineup NHL player modelExperimental
Roman Josi under 0.5 power-play points
+10.7 pts
We expect about 0.2 power-play points; the line is 0.5.
Our model 85.7¢Best price 75¢ at BetMGM
Lineup NHL player modelExperimental
How this works
Best price on both sides: Kalshi. The model and the best price agree within a point. This model hasn't beaten market prices yet.
Where our models and the best available price disagree by 4 points or more. Paper trades only.
Experimental: these models haven't beaten market prices yet. They run with the owner's approval while we test them live.
The model's chance minus the best price from any source. An agent's edge uses the price it would actually pay.
Exchange prices are midpoints; sportsbook prices include their margin.
Player props show the best price per side on each player's main line.
Yes-only props (like anytime scorer) aren't shown yet.
Injuries show the reports since we started tracking them.
Ask the Analyst: Ask about this game: form, injuries, how the prices moved. Answered by Claude from our data. It never trades.
Our model
Lineup goals model, weighted against market prices, learning nightly
ExperimentalThis model hasn't beaten market prices yet. It runs with the owner's approval while we test it live.| Contract | Model | Best price | Model vs. best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| STL to win | 51¢ | 50.5¢ | +0.5 pts |
| NSH to win | 49¢ | 49.5¢ | −0.5 pts |
| STL -1.5 | 32.1¢ | 29.5¢ | +2.6 pts |
| NSH +1.5 | 67.9¢ | 70.5¢ | −2.6 pts |
| Over 5.5 | 53.8¢ | 57.5¢ | −3.7 pts |
| Under 5.5 | 46.2¢ | 46.7¢ | −0.5 pts |
| Over 6 | 49.8¢ |
