
Anthony Cirelli
NHL · Tampa Bay Lightning · C
Everything we track on Anthony Cirelli: injuries, props, our model's numbers and our agents' record.
How our models have done on Anthony Cirelli
Assists
Lineup NHL player modelExperimental
| Date | Line | Our chance of over | Projected | Actual | Model's side |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 NYI | 0.5 | 30% | 0.4 | 1 | Lost |
| Oct 8, 2026 MIN | 1 | 32% | 0.4 | 0 | Won |
| Oct 5, 2026 PHI | 0.5 | 35% | 0.4 | 0 | Won |
| Oct 3, 2026 WSH | 0.5 | 34% | 0.4 | 0 | Won |
Model's side won 3 of 4
Goals
Lineup NHL player modelExperimental
| Date | Line | Our chance of over | Projected | Actual | Model's side |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 NYI | 1.5 | 4% | 0.3 | 0 | Won |
| Oct 8, 2026 MIN | 0.5 | 26% | 0.3 | 1 | Lost |
| Oct 5, 2026 PHI | 1.5 | 5% | 0.3 | 0 | Won |
| Oct 3, 2026 WSH | 1.5 | 4% | 0.3 | 0 | Won |
Model's side won 3 of 4
Points
Lineup NHL player modelExperimental
| Date | Line | Our chance of over | Projected | Actual | Model's side |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 NYI | 0.5 | 48% | 0.7 | 1 | Lost |
| Oct 8, 2026 MIN | 1 | 50% | 0.7 | 1 | Lost |
| Oct 5, 2026 PHI | 0.5 | 53% | 0.8 | 0 | Lost |
| Oct 3, 2026 WSH | 0.5 | 53% | 0.7 | 0 | Lost |
Model's side won 0 of 4
Points, 1st period
Lineup NHL player modelExperimental
| Date | Line | Our chance of over | Projected | Actual | Model's side |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 NYI | 1 | 17% | 0.2 | 0 | Won |
| Oct 8, 2026 MIN | 1 | 18% | 0.2 | 0 | Lost |
| Oct 5, 2026 PHI | 1 | 20% | 0.2 | 0 | Won |
| Oct 3, 2026 WSH | 1 | 19% | 0.2 | 0 | Won |
Model's side won 3 of 4
Shots on goal
Lineup NHL player modelExperimental
| Date | Line | Our chance of over | Projected | Actual | Model's side |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 NYI | 1.5 | 55% | 1.9 | 0 | Lost |
| Oct 8, 2026 MIN | 1.5 | 55% | 1.9 | 4 | Won |
| Oct 5, 2026 PHI | 1.5 | 61% | 2.1 | 1 | Lost |
| Oct 3, 2026 WSH | 1.5 | 60% | 2.1 | 1 | Lost |
Model's side won 1 of 4
To score a goal
Lineup NHL player modelExperimental
| Date | Line | Our chance of over | Projected | Actual | Model's side |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 NYI | 0.5 | 26% | 0.3 | 0 | Won |
| Oct 8, 2026 MIN | 0.5 | 26% | 0.3 | 1 | Lost |
| Oct 5, 2026 PHI | 0.5 | 29% | 0.3 | 0 | Won |
| Oct 3, 2026 WSH | 0.5 | 28% | 0.3 | 0 | Won |
Model's side won 3 of 4
To score a goal, 1st period
Lineup NHL player modelExperimental
| Date | Line | Our chance of over | Projected | Actual | Model's side |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 NYI | 1 | 8% | 0.1 | 0 | Won |
| Oct 8, 2026 MIN | 1 | 8% | 0.1 | 0 | Lost |
| Oct 5, 2026 PHI | 1 | 9% | 0.1 | 0 | Won |
| Oct 3, 2026 WSH | 1 | 9% | 0.1 | 0 | Won |
Model's side won 3 of 4
To score a goal, 2nd period
Lineup NHL player modelExperimental
| Date | Line | Our chance of over | Projected | Actual | Model's side |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 NYI | 1 | 9% | 0.1 | 0 | Won |
| Oct 8, 2026 MIN | 1 | 10% | 0.1 | 0 | Won |
| Oct 5, 2026 PHI | 1 | 11% | 0.1 | 0 | Won |
| Oct 3, 2026 WSH | 1 | 10% | 0.1 | 0 | Won |
Model's side won 4 of 4
To score a goal, 3rd period
Lineup NHL player modelExperimental
| Date | Line | Our chance of over | Projected | Actual | Model's side |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 NYI | 1 | 10% | 0.1 | 0 | Won |
| Oct 8, 2026 MIN | 1 | 10% | 0.1 | 0 | Won |
| Oct 5, 2026 PHI | 1 | 11% | 0.1 | 0 | Won |
| Oct 3, 2026 WSH | 1 | 11% | 0.1 | 0 | Won |
Model's side won 4 of 4
To score in overtime
Lineup NHL player modelExperimental
| Date | Line | Our chance of over | Projected | Actual | Model's side |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 NYI | 1 | 1% | 0.0 | 0 | Won |
| Oct 8, 2026 MIN | 1 | 1% | 0.0 | 0 | Won |
| Oct 5, 2026 PHI | 1 | 1% | 0.0 | 0 | Won |
| Oct 3, 2026 WSH | 1 | 1% | 0.0 | 0 | Won |
Model's side won 4 of 4
To score the first goal
Lineup NHL player modelExperimental
| Date | Line | Our chance of over | Projected | Actual | Model's side |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 NYI | 0.5 | 5% | 0.0 | 0 | Won |
| Oct 8, 2026 MIN | 0.5 | 5% | 0.0 | 0 | Lost |
| Oct 5, 2026 PHI | 0.5 | 5% | 0.0 | 0 | Won |
| Oct 3, 2026 WSH | 0.5 | 5% | 0.0 | 0 | Won |
Model's side won 3 of 4
To score the first goal, 2nd period
Lineup NHL player modelExperimental
| Date | Line | Our chance of over | Projected | Actual | Model's side |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 NYI | 1 | 4% | 0.0 | 0 | Won |
| Oct 8, 2026 MIN | 1 | 4% | 0.0 | 0 | Won |
| Oct 5, 2026 PHI | 1 | 4% | 0.0 | 0 | Won |
| Oct 3, 2026 WSH | 1 | 4% | 0.0 | 0 | Won |
Model's side won 4 of 4
To score the first goal, 3rd period
Lineup NHL player modelExperimental
| Date | Line | Our chance of over | Projected | Actual | Model's side |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 NYI | 1 | 4% | 0.0 | 0 | Won |
| Oct 8, 2026 MIN | 1 | 4% | 0.0 | 0 | Won |
| Oct 5, 2026 PHI | 1 | 4% | 0.0 | 0 | Won |
| Oct 3, 2026 WSH | 1 | 4% | 0.0 | 0 | Won |
Model's side won 4 of 4
To score the second goal
Lineup NHL player modelExperimental
| Date | Line | Our chance of over | Projected | Actual | Model's side |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 NYI | 1 | 4% | 0.0 | 0 | Won |
| Oct 8, 2026 MIN | 1 | 4% | 0.0 | 0 | Won |
| Oct 5, 2026 PHI | 1 | 5% | 0.0 | 0 | Won |
| Oct 3, 2026 WSH | 1 | 5% | 0.0 | 0 | Won |
Model's side won 4 of 4
To score the third goal
Lineup NHL player modelExperimental
| Date | Line | Our chance of over | Projected | Actual | Model's side |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 NYI | 1 | 4% | 0.0 | 0 | Won |
| Oct 8, 2026 MIN | 1 | 4% | 0.0 | 0 | Won |
| Oct 5, 2026 PHI | 1 | 5% | 0.0 | 0 | Won |
| Oct 3, 2026 WSH | 1 | 5% | 0.0 | 0 | Won |
Model's side won 4 of 4
Shots on goal, 1st period
Lineup NHL player modelExperimental
| Date | Line | Our chance of over | Projected | Actual | Model's side |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 NYI | 1 | 45% | 0.6 | 0 | Won |
| Oct 8, 2026 MIN | 1 | 45% | 0.6 | 0 | Lost |
| Oct 3, 2026 WSH | 1 | 49% | 0.7 | 0 | Won |
Model's side won 2 of 3
Points, 2nd period
Lineup NHL player modelExperimental
| Date | Line | Our chance of over | Projected | Actual | Model's side |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2026 MIN | 1 | 21% | 0.2 | 0 | Won |
| Oct 5, 2026 PHI | 1 | 23% | 0.3 | 0 | Won |
Model's side won 2 of 2
Points, 3rd period
Lineup NHL player modelExperimental
| Date | Line | Our chance of over | Projected | Actual | Model's side |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2026 MIN | 1 | 21% | 0.2 | 0 | Won |
| Oct 5, 2026 PHI | 1 | 23% | 0.3 | 0 | Won |
Model's side won 2 of 2
Shots on goal, 2nd period
Lineup NHL player modelExperimental
| Date | Line | Our chance of over | Projected | Actual | Model's side |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2026 MIN | 1 | 48% | 0.7 | 0 | Lost |
| Oct 3, 2026 WSH | 1 | 51% | 0.7 | 0 | Won |
Model's side won 1 of 2
Shots on goal, 3rd period
Lineup NHL player modelExperimental
| Date | Line | Our chance of over | Projected | Actual | Model's side |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2026 MIN | 1 | 44% | 0.6 | 0 | Lost |
| Oct 3, 2026 WSH | 1 | 48% | 0.7 | 0 | Won |
Model's side won 1 of 2
Recent games
| Game | G | A | PTS | SOG | Hits |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 at NYI | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Oct 8, 2026 vs MIN | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| Oct 5, 2026 vs PHI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 vs WSH | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Oct 1, 2026 at NYR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| Season average (5 games) | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 1.8 | 0.8 |