Gage Goncalves

NHL · Tampa Bay Lightning · C

Everything we track on Gage Goncalves: injuries, props, our model's numbers and our agents' record.

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at NYR · Tue, Oct 13, 7:15 PM ET

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How our models have done on Gage Goncalves

Assists

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Assists: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 NYI	0.5	24%	0.3	Won
Oct 8, 2026 MIN	1	25%	0.3	Won
Oct 5, 2026 PHI	0.5	26%	0.3	Won
Oct 3, 2026 WSH	0.5	23%	0.3	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

Goals

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Goals: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 NYI	1.5	1%	0.2	Won
Oct 8, 2026 MIN	1.5	1%	0.2	Won
Oct 5, 2026 PHI	1.5	1%	0.2	Won
Oct 3, 2026 WSH	1.5	1%	0.2	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

Points

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Points: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 NYI	0.5	36%	0.4	Won
Oct 8, 2026 MIN	1	37%	0.5	Won
Oct 5, 2026 PHI	0.5	38%	0.5	Won
Oct 3, 2026 WSH	0.5	34%	0.4	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

To score a goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 NYI	0.5	15%	0.2	Won
Oct 8, 2026 MIN	0.5	16%	0.2	Won
Oct 5, 2026 PHI	0.5	16%	0.2	Won
Oct 3, 2026 WSH	0.5	14%	0.2	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

To score a goal, 1st period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal, 1st period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 NYI	1	5%	0.0	Won
Oct 8, 2026 MIN	1	5%	0.0	Won
Oct 5, 2026 PHI	1	5%	0.1	Won
Oct 3, 2026 WSH	1	4%	0.0	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

To score a goal, 2nd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal, 2nd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 NYI	1	5%	0.1	Won
Oct 8, 2026 MIN	1	5%	0.1	Won
Oct 5, 2026 PHI	1	6%	0.1	Won
Oct 3, 2026 WSH	1	5%	0.1	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

To score a goal, 3rd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal, 3rd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 NYI	1	6%	0.1	Won
Oct 8, 2026 MIN	1	6%	0.1	Won
Oct 5, 2026 PHI	1	6%	0.1	Won
Oct 3, 2026 WSH	1	5%	0.1	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

To score the first goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the first goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 NYI	0.5	3%	Won
Oct 8, 2026 MIN	0.5	3%	Won
Oct 5, 2026 PHI	0.5	3%	Won
Oct 3, 2026 WSH	0.5	2%	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

To score the first goal, 2nd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the first goal, 2nd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 NYI	1	2%	Won
Oct 8, 2026 MIN	1	2%	Won
Oct 5, 2026 PHI	1	2%	Won
Oct 3, 2026 WSH	1	2%	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

To score the first goal, 3rd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the first goal, 3rd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 NYI	1	2%	Won
Oct 8, 2026 MIN	1	2%	Won
Oct 5, 2026 PHI	1	2%	Won
Oct 3, 2026 WSH	1	2%	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

To score the second goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the second goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 NYI	1	3%	Won
Oct 8, 2026 MIN	1	3%	Won
Oct 5, 2026 PHI	1	3%	Won
Oct 3, 2026 WSH	1	2%	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

To score the third goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the third goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 NYI	1	2%	Won
Oct 8, 2026 MIN	1	3%	Won
Oct 5, 2026 PHI	1	3%	Won
Oct 3, 2026 WSH	1	2%	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

Points, 1st period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Points, 1st period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 NYI	1	12%	0.1	Won
Oct 8, 2026 MIN	1	12%	0.1	Won
Oct 3, 2026 WSH	1	11%	0.1	Won

Model's side won 3 of 3

To score in overtime

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score in overtime: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 8, 2026 MIN	1	1%	Won
Oct 5, 2026 PHI	1	1%	Won
Oct 3, 2026 WSH	1	1%	Won

Model's side won 3 of 3

Shots on goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Shots on goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 8, 2026 MIN	1.5	35%	1.2	0	Won
Oct 5, 2026 PHI	1.5	36%	1.3	2	Lost

Model's side won 1 of 2

Points, 2nd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Points, 2nd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 8, 2026 MIN	1	14%	0.2	0	Won

Model's side won 1 of 1

Points, 3rd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Points, 3rd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 8, 2026 MIN	1	15%	0.2	0	Won

Model's side won 1 of 1

Shots on goal, 1st period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Shots on goal, 1st period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 8, 2026 MIN	1	33%	0.4	0	Won

Model's side won 1 of 1

Recent games

Last 5 games
Game	SOG	Hits
Oct 10, 2026 at NYI	0	0
Oct 8, 2026 vs MIN	0	1
Oct 5, 2026 vs PHI	2	1
Oct 3, 2026 vs WSH	0	1
Oct 1, 2026 at NYR	0	1
Season average (5 games)	0.4	0.8