Jake Guentzel

NHL · Tampa Bay Lightning · C

Everything we track on Jake Guentzel: injuries, props, our model's numbers and our agents' record.

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at NYR · Tue, Oct 13, 7:15 PM ET

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How our models have done on Jake Guentzel

Assists

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Assists: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 NYI	0.5	42%	0.5	0	Won
Oct 8, 2026 MIN	1	44%	0.6	1	Lost
Oct 5, 2026 PHI	0.5	46%	0.6	0	Won
Oct 3, 2026 WSH	0.5	45%	0.6	2	Lost

Model's side won 2 of 4

Goals

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Goals: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 NYI	1.5	7%	0.4	2	Lost
Oct 8, 2026 MIN	0.5	37%	0.5	0	Won
Oct 5, 2026 PHI	0.5	39%	0.5	0	Won
Oct 3, 2026 WSH	0.5	39%	0.5	1	Lost

Model's side won 2 of 4

Points

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Points: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 NYI	0.5	62%	1.0	2	Won
Oct 8, 2026 MIN	1	64%	1.0	1	Won
Oct 5, 2026 PHI	0.5	67%	1.1	0	Lost
Oct 3, 2026 WSH	0.5	66%	1.1	3	Won

Model's side won 3 of 4

Points, 1st period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Points, 1st period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 NYI	1	25%	0.3	Lost
Oct 8, 2026 MIN	1	26%	0.3	Won
Oct 5, 2026 PHI	1	27%	0.3	Won
Oct 3, 2026 WSH	1	27%	0.3	Lost

Model's side won 2 of 4

Points, 2nd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Points, 2nd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 NYI	1	28%	0.3	Lost
Oct 8, 2026 MIN	1	29%	0.3	Lost
Oct 5, 2026 PHI	1	31%	0.4	Won
Oct 3, 2026 WSH	1	31%	0.4	Won

Model's side won 2 of 4

Points, 3rd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Points, 3rd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 NYI	1	29%	0.3	Won
Oct 8, 2026 MIN	1	30%	0.4	Won
Oct 5, 2026 PHI	1	32%	0.4	Won
Oct 3, 2026 WSH	1	31%	0.4	Lost

Model's side won 3 of 4

Shots on goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Shots on goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 NYI	2.5	53%	2.9	4	Won
Oct 8, 2026 MIN	2.5	54%	2.9	1	Lost
Oct 5, 2026 PHI	2.5	59%	3.1	5	Won
Oct 3, 2026 WSH	2.5	60%	3.2	2	Lost

Model's side won 2 of 4

To score a goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 NYI	0.5	35%	0.4	2	Lost
Oct 8, 2026 MIN	0.5	37%	0.5	0	Won
Oct 5, 2026 PHI	0.5	39%	0.5	0	Won
Oct 3, 2026 WSH	0.5	39%	0.5	1	Lost

Model's side won 2 of 4

To score a goal, 1st period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal, 1st period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 NYI	1	12%	0.1	Lost
Oct 8, 2026 MIN	1	12%	0.1	Won
Oct 5, 2026 PHI	1	13%	0.1	Won
Oct 3, 2026 WSH	1	13%	0.1	Won

Model's side won 3 of 4

To score a goal, 2nd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal, 2nd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 NYI	1	13%	0.1	Lost
Oct 8, 2026 MIN	1	14%	0.2	Won
Oct 5, 2026 PHI	1	15%	0.2	Won
Oct 3, 2026 WSH	1	15%	0.2	Won

Model's side won 3 of 4

To score a goal, 3rd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal, 3rd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 NYI	1	14%	0.2	Won
Oct 8, 2026 MIN	1	15%	0.2	Won
Oct 5, 2026 PHI	1	16%	0.2	Won
Oct 3, 2026 WSH	1	16%	0.2	Lost

Model's side won 3 of 4

To score in overtime

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score in overtime: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 NYI	1	1%	Won
Oct 8, 2026 MIN	1	1%	Won
Oct 5, 2026 PHI	1	1%	Won
Oct 3, 2026 WSH	1	1%	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

To score the first goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the first goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 NYI	0.5	7%	0.1	Lost
Oct 8, 2026 MIN	0.5	7%	0.1	Won
Oct 5, 2026 PHI	0.5	8%	0.1	Won
Oct 3, 2026 WSH	0.5	7%	0.1	Won

Model's side won 3 of 4

To score the first goal, 2nd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the first goal, 2nd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 NYI	1	6%	0.1	Won
Oct 8, 2026 MIN	1	6%	0.1	Won
Oct 5, 2026 PHI	1	6%	0.1	Won
Oct 3, 2026 WSH	1	6%	0.1	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

To score the first goal, 3rd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the first goal, 3rd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 NYI	1	6%	0.1	Won
Oct 8, 2026 MIN	1	6%	0.1	Won
Oct 5, 2026 PHI	1	7%	0.1	Won
Oct 3, 2026 WSH	1	7%	0.1	Lost

Model's side won 3 of 4

To score the second goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the second goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 NYI	1	7%	0.1	Won
Oct 8, 2026 MIN	1	7%	0.1	Won
Oct 5, 2026 PHI	1	8%	0.1	Won
Oct 3, 2026 WSH	1	7%	0.1	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

To score the third goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the third goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 NYI	1	7%	0.1	Won
Oct 8, 2026 MIN	1	7%	0.1	Won
Oct 5, 2026 PHI	1	7%	0.1	Won
Oct 3, 2026 WSH	1	7%	0.1	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

Power-play points

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Power-play points: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 NYI	0.5	21%	0.2	Lost
Oct 8, 2026 MIN	0.5	21%	0.2	Lost
Oct 5, 2026 PHI	0.5	21%	0.2	Won

Model's side won 1 of 3

Shots on goal, 1st period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Shots on goal, 1st period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 NYI	1	60%	0.9	Won
Oct 8, 2026 MIN	1	60%	0.9	Lost
Oct 3, 2026 WSH	1	63%	1.0	Lost

Model's side won 1 of 3

Shots on goal, 2nd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Shots on goal, 2nd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 NYI	1	62%	1.0	Won
Oct 8, 2026 MIN	1	62%	1.0	Won
Oct 3, 2026 WSH	1	66%	1.1	Lost

Model's side won 2 of 3

Shots on goal, 3rd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Shots on goal, 3rd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 NYI	1	58%	0.9	Lost
Oct 8, 2026 MIN	1	59%	0.9	Lost
Oct 3, 2026 WSH	1	62%	1.0	Won

Model's side won 1 of 3

Recent games

Last 5 games
Game	G	A	PTS	SOG	Hits
Oct 10, 2026 at NYI	2	0	2	4	1
Oct 8, 2026 vs MIN	0	1	1	1	1
Oct 5, 2026 vs PHI	0	0	0	5	0
Oct 3, 2026 vs WSH	1	2	3	2	1
Oct 1, 2026 at NYR	0	0	0	3	0
Season average (5 games)	0.6	0.6	1.2	3	0.6