Brayden Point

NHL · Tampa Bay Lightning · C

Everything we track on Brayden Point: injuries, props, our model's numbers and our agents' record.

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at NYR · Tue, Oct 13, 7:15 PM ET

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How our models have done on Brayden Point

Assists

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Assists: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 NYI	0.5	37%	0.5	0	Won
Oct 8, 2026 MIN	1	39%	0.5	1	Lost
Oct 5, 2026 PHI	0.5	42%	0.5	0	Won
Oct 3, 2026 WSH	0.5	41%	0.5	0	Won

Model's side won 3 of 4

Goals

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Goals: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 NYI	1.5	5%	0.4	0	Won
Oct 8, 2026 MIN	0.5	32%	0.4	0	Won
Oct 5, 2026 PHI	0.5	34%	0.4	1	Lost
Oct 3, 2026 WSH	0.5	33%	0.4	0	Won

Model's side won 3 of 4

Points

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Points: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 NYI	0.5	56%	0.8	0	Lost
Oct 8, 2026 MIN	1	58%	0.9	1	Won
Oct 5, 2026 PHI	0.5	62%	1.0	1	Won
Oct 3, 2026 WSH	0.5	61%	0.9	0	Lost

Model's side won 2 of 4

Shots on goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Shots on goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 NYI	2.5	40%	2.3	1	Won
Oct 8, 2026 MIN	2.5	41%	2.3	2	Won
Oct 5, 2026 PHI	2.5	47%	2.6	3	Lost
Oct 3, 2026 WSH	2.5	45%	2.5	3	Lost

Model's side won 2 of 4

To score a goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 NYI	0.5	30%	0.4	0	Won
Oct 8, 2026 MIN	0.5	32%	0.4	0	Won
Oct 5, 2026 PHI	0.5	34%	0.4	1	Lost
Oct 3, 2026 WSH	0.5	33%	0.4	0	Won

Model's side won 3 of 4

Points, 1st period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Points, 1st period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 NYI	1	21%	0.2	Won
Oct 8, 2026 MIN	1	22%	0.3	Lost
Oct 3, 2026 WSH	1	24%	0.3	Won

Model's side won 2 of 3

Points, 2nd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Points, 2nd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 NYI	1	24%	0.3	Won
Oct 8, 2026 MIN	1	26%	0.3	Won
Oct 3, 2026 WSH	1	27%	0.3	Won

Model's side won 3 of 3

Points, 3rd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Points, 3rd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 NYI	1	25%	0.3	Won
Oct 8, 2026 MIN	1	26%	0.3	Won
Oct 3, 2026 WSH	1	27%	0.3	Won

Model's side won 3 of 3

Power-play points

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Power-play points: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 NYI	0.5	20%	0.2	Won
Oct 8, 2026 MIN	0.5	21%	0.2	Won
Oct 5, 2026 PHI	0.5	21%	0.2	Won

Model's side won 3 of 3

Shots on goal, 1st period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Shots on goal, 1st period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 NYI	1	52%	0.7	Lost
Oct 8, 2026 MIN	1	53%	0.8	Won
Oct 3, 2026 WSH	1	55%	0.8	Won

Model's side won 2 of 3

Shots on goal, 2nd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Shots on goal, 2nd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 NYI	1	54%	0.8	Won
Oct 8, 2026 MIN	1	55%	0.8	Won
Oct 3, 2026 WSH	1	57%	0.9	Lost

Model's side won 2 of 3

Shots on goal, 3rd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Shots on goal, 3rd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 NYI	1	51%	0.7	Lost
Oct 8, 2026 MIN	1	51%	0.7	Lost
Oct 3, 2026 WSH	1	54%	0.8	Lost

Model's side won 0 of 3

To score a goal, 1st period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal, 1st period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 NYI	1	10%	0.1	Won
Oct 8, 2026 MIN	1	11%	0.1	Won
Oct 3, 2026 WSH	1	11%	0.1	Won

Model's side won 3 of 3

To score a goal, 2nd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal, 2nd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 NYI	1	11%	0.1	Won
Oct 8, 2026 MIN	1	12%	0.1	Won
Oct 3, 2026 WSH	1	13%	0.1	Won

Model's side won 3 of 3

To score a goal, 3rd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal, 3rd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 NYI	1	12%	0.1	Won
Oct 8, 2026 MIN	1	13%	0.1	Won
Oct 3, 2026 WSH	1	13%	0.1	Won

Model's side won 3 of 3

To score in overtime

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score in overtime: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 NYI	1	1%	Won
Oct 8, 2026 MIN	1	1%	Won
Oct 3, 2026 WSH	1	1%	Won

Model's side won 3 of 3

To score the first goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the first goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 NYI	0.5	6%	0.1	Won
Oct 8, 2026 MIN	0.5	6%	0.1	Won
Oct 3, 2026 WSH	0.5	6%	0.1	Won

Model's side won 3 of 3

To score the first goal, 2nd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the first goal, 2nd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 NYI	1	5%	0.0	Won
Oct 8, 2026 MIN	1	5%	0.1	Won
Oct 3, 2026 WSH	1	5%	0.1	Won

Model's side won 3 of 3

To score the first goal, 3rd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the first goal, 3rd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 NYI	1	5%	0.0	Won
Oct 8, 2026 MIN	1	5%	0.1	Won
Oct 3, 2026 WSH	1	5%	0.1	Won

Model's side won 3 of 3

To score the second goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the second goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 NYI	1	6%	0.1	Won
Oct 8, 2026 MIN	1	6%	0.1	Won
Oct 3, 2026 WSH	1	6%	0.1	Won

Model's side won 3 of 3

To score the third goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the third goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 NYI	1	5%	0.1	Won
Oct 8, 2026 MIN	1	6%	0.1	Won
Oct 3, 2026 WSH	1	6%	0.1	Won

Model's side won 3 of 3

Recent games

Last 5 games
Game	G	A	PTS	SOG
Oct 10, 2026 at NYI	0	0	0	1
Oct 8, 2026 vs MIN	0	1	1	2
Oct 5, 2026 vs PHI	1	0	1	3
Oct 3, 2026 vs WSH	0	0	0	3
Oct 1, 2026 at NYR	0	1	1	1
Season average (5 games)	0.2	0.4	0.6	2