Gavin McKenna

NHL · Toronto Maple Leafs · L

Everything we track on Gavin McKenna: injuries, props, our model's numbers and our agents' record.

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at UTA · Tue, Oct 13, 9:00 PM ET

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How our models have done on Gavin McKenna

Assists

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Assists: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 COL	0.5	24%	0.3	1	Lost
Oct 8, 2026 VGK	0.5	23%	0.3	1	Lost
Oct 6, 2026 NSH	1	23%	0.3	1	Lost
Oct 3, 2026 OTT	1	24%	0.3	0	Won

Model's side won 1 of 4

Goals

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Goals: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 COL	1.5	2%	0.2	0	Won
Oct 8, 2026 VGK	1.5	2%	0.2	0	Won
Oct 6, 2026 NSH	1.5	2%	0.2	1	Won
Oct 3, 2026 OTT	1.5	2%	0.2	0	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

Points

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Points: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 COL	0.5	37%	0.5	1	Lost
Oct 8, 2026 VGK	0.5	36%	0.5	1	Lost
Oct 6, 2026 NSH	1	37%	0.5	2	Lost
Oct 3, 2026 OTT	1	38%	0.5	0	Won

Model's side won 1 of 4

Points, 1st period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Points, 1st period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 COL	1	12%	0.1	Won
Oct 8, 2026 VGK	1	12%	0.1	Lost
Oct 6, 2026 NSH	1	12%	0.1	Won
Oct 3, 2026 OTT	1	13%	0.1	Won

Model's side won 3 of 4

To score a goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 COL	0.5	17%	0.2	0	Won
Oct 8, 2026 VGK	0.5	18%	0.2	0	Won
Oct 6, 2026 NSH	0.5	18%	0.2	1	Lost
Oct 3, 2026 OTT	0.5	18%	0.2	0	Won

Model's side won 3 of 4

To score a goal, 1st period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal, 1st period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 COL	1	5%	0.1	Won
Oct 8, 2026 VGK	1	6%	0.1	Won
Oct 6, 2026 NSH	1	5%	0.1	Won
Oct 3, 2026 OTT	1	6%	0.1	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

To score a goal, 2nd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal, 2nd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 COL	1	6%	0.1	Won
Oct 8, 2026 VGK	1	6%	0.1	Won
Oct 6, 2026 NSH	1	6%	0.1	Lost
Oct 3, 2026 OTT	1	6%	0.1	Won

Model's side won 3 of 4

To score a goal, 3rd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal, 3rd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 COL	1	6%	0.1	Won
Oct 8, 2026 VGK	1	7%	0.1	Won
Oct 6, 2026 NSH	1	7%	0.1	Won
Oct 3, 2026 OTT	1	7%	0.1	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

To score in overtime

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score in overtime: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 COL	1	1%	Won
Oct 8, 2026 VGK	1	1%	Won
Oct 6, 2026 NSH	1	1%	Won
Oct 3, 2026 OTT	1	1%	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

To score the first goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the first goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 COL	0.5	2%	Won
Oct 8, 2026 VGK	0.5	3%	Won
Oct 6, 2026 NSH	0.5	3%	Won
Oct 3, 2026 OTT	0.5	3%	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

To score the first goal, 2nd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the first goal, 2nd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 COL	1	2%	Won
Oct 8, 2026 VGK	1	2%	Won
Oct 6, 2026 NSH	1	2%	Won
Oct 3, 2026 OTT	1	2%	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

To score the first goal, 3rd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the first goal, 3rd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 COL	1	2%	Won
Oct 8, 2026 VGK	1	2%	Won
Oct 6, 2026 NSH	1	2%	Won
Oct 3, 2026 OTT	1	2%	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

To score the second goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the second goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 COL	1	2%	Won
Oct 8, 2026 VGK	1	3%	Won
Oct 6, 2026 NSH	1	3%	Won
Oct 3, 2026 OTT	1	3%	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

To score the third goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the third goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 COL	1	2%	Won
Oct 8, 2026 VGK	1	2%	Won
Oct 6, 2026 NSH	1	3%	Won
Oct 3, 2026 OTT	1	2%	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

Points, 2nd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Points, 2nd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 8, 2026 VGK	1	14%	0.2	Won
Oct 6, 2026 NSH	1	14%	0.2	Lost
Oct 3, 2026 OTT	1	15%	0.2	Won

Model's side won 2 of 3

Points, 3rd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Points, 3rd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 8, 2026 VGK	1	15%	0.2	Won
Oct 6, 2026 NSH	1	15%	0.2	Won
Oct 3, 2026 OTT	1	15%	0.2	Won

Model's side won 3 of 3

Shots on goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Shots on goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 COL	1.5	46%	1.6	2	Lost
Oct 8, 2026 VGK	1.5	44%	1.5	1	Won
Oct 6, 2026 NSH	2	48%	1.6	4	Lost

Model's side won 1 of 3

Shots on goal, 1st period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Shots on goal, 1st period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 COL	1	40%	0.5	Lost
Oct 8, 2026 VGK	1	38%	0.5	Lost
Oct 6, 2026 NSH	1	41%	0.5	Lost

Model's side won 0 of 3

Shots on goal, 2nd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Shots on goal, 2nd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 COL	1	41%	0.5	Won
Oct 8, 2026 VGK	1	40%	0.5	Won
Oct 6, 2026 NSH	1	43%	0.6	Lost

Model's side won 2 of 3

Shots on goal, 3rd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Shots on goal, 3rd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 COL	1	39%	0.5	Won
Oct 8, 2026 VGK	1	37%	0.5	Won
Oct 6, 2026 NSH	1	40%	0.5	Lost

Model's side won 2 of 3

Power-play points

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Power-play points: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 6, 2026 NSH	0.5	9%	0.1	0	Won

Model's side won 1 of 1

Recent games

Last 6 games
Game	G	A	PTS	SOG
Oct 10, 2026 at COL	0	1	1	2
Oct 8, 2026 at VGK	0	1	1	1
Oct 6, 2026 vs NSH	1	1	2	4
Oct 3, 2026 vs OTT	0	0	0	1
Sep 30, 2026 vs NYI	0	0	0	1
Sep 29, 2026 vs MTL	0	0	0	1
Season average (6 games)	0.2	0.5	0.7	1.7