Kirill Marchenko

NHL · Toronto Maple Leafs · R

Everything we track on Kirill Marchenko: injuries, props, our model's numbers and our agents' record.

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at UTA · Tue, Oct 13, 9:00 PM ET

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How our models have done on Kirill Marchenko

Assists

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Assists: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 COL	0.5	36%	0.4	1	Lost
Oct 8, 2026 VGK	0.5	37%	0.5	1	Lost
Oct 6, 2026 NSH	1	40%	0.5	1	Lost
Oct 3, 2026 OTT	1	38%	0.5	0	Won

Model's side won 1 of 4

Goals

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Goals: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 COL	1.5	4%	0.3	0	Won
Oct 8, 2026 VGK	0.5	28%	0.3	0	Won
Oct 6, 2026 NSH	0.5	31%	0.4	0	Won
Oct 3, 2026 OTT	0.5	29%	0.3	1	Lost

Model's side won 3 of 4

Points

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Points: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 COL	0.5	53%	0.8	1	Won
Oct 8, 2026 VGK	0.5	54%	0.8	1	Won
Oct 6, 2026 NSH	1	59%	0.9	1	Won
Oct 3, 2026 OTT	1	56%	0.8	1	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

Points, 1st period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Points, 1st period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 COL	1	20%	0.2	Won
Oct 8, 2026 VGK	1	20%	0.2	Lost
Oct 6, 2026 NSH	1	23%	0.3	Won
Oct 3, 2026 OTT	1	21%	0.2	Won

Model's side won 3 of 4

Points, 2nd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Points, 2nd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 COL	1	23%	0.3	Won
Oct 8, 2026 VGK	1	23%	0.3	Won
Oct 6, 2026 NSH	1	26%	0.3	Lost
Oct 3, 2026 OTT	1	24%	0.3	Lost

Model's side won 2 of 4

Points, 3rd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Points, 3rd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 COL	1	23%	0.3	Lost
Oct 8, 2026 VGK	1	24%	0.3	Won
Oct 6, 2026 NSH	1	27%	0.3	Won
Oct 3, 2026 OTT	1	25%	0.3	Won

Model's side won 3 of 4

Shots on goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Shots on goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 COL	2.5	51%	2.8	0	Lost
Oct 8, 2026 VGK	2.5	47%	2.6	3	Lost
Oct 6, 2026 NSH	2.5	59%	3.1	3	Won
Oct 3, 2026 OTT	2.5	44%	2.5	2	Won

Model's side won 2 of 4

Shots on goal, 1st period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Shots on goal, 1st period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 COL	1	59%	0.9	Lost
Oct 8, 2026 VGK	1	56%	0.8	Lost
Oct 6, 2026 NSH	1	63%	1.0	Lost
Oct 3, 2026 OTT	1	55%	0.8	Lost

Model's side won 0 of 4

Shots on goal, 2nd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Shots on goal, 2nd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 COL	1	61%	1.0	Lost
Oct 8, 2026 VGK	1	59%	0.9	Won
Oct 6, 2026 NSH	1	65%	1.1	Won
Oct 3, 2026 OTT	1	57%	0.9	Won

Model's side won 3 of 4

Shots on goal, 3rd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Shots on goal, 3rd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 COL	1	57%	0.9	Lost
Oct 8, 2026 VGK	1	55%	0.8	Lost
Oct 6, 2026 NSH	1	62%	1.0	Won
Oct 3, 2026 OTT	1	53%	0.8	Lost

Model's side won 1 of 4

To score a goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 COL	0.5	27%	0.3	0	Won
Oct 8, 2026 VGK	0.5	28%	0.3	0	Won
Oct 6, 2026 NSH	0.5	31%	0.4	0	Won
Oct 3, 2026 OTT	0.5	29%	0.3	1	Lost

Model's side won 3 of 4

To score a goal, 1st period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal, 1st period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 COL	1	9%	0.1	Won
Oct 8, 2026 VGK	1	9%	0.1	Won
Oct 6, 2026 NSH	1	10%	0.1	Won
Oct 3, 2026 OTT	1	9%	0.1	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

To score a goal, 2nd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal, 2nd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 COL	1	10%	0.1	Won
Oct 8, 2026 VGK	1	10%	0.1	Won
Oct 6, 2026 NSH	1	12%	0.1	Won
Oct 3, 2026 OTT	1	11%	0.1	Lost

Model's side won 3 of 4

To score a goal, 3rd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal, 3rd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 COL	1	11%	0.1	Won
Oct 8, 2026 VGK	1	11%	0.1	Won
Oct 6, 2026 NSH	1	13%	0.1	Won
Oct 3, 2026 OTT	1	11%	0.1	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

To score in overtime

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score in overtime: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 COL	1	1%	Won
Oct 8, 2026 VGK	1	1%	Won
Oct 6, 2026 NSH	1	1%	Won
Oct 3, 2026 OTT	1	1%	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

To score the first goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the first goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 COL	0.5	4%	0.0	Won
Oct 8, 2026 VGK	0.5	4%	0.0	Won
Oct 6, 2026 NSH	0.5	5%	0.1	Won
Oct 3, 2026 OTT	0.5	4%	0.0	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

To score the first goal, 2nd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the first goal, 2nd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 COL	1	3%	Won
Oct 8, 2026 VGK	1	4%	Won
Oct 6, 2026 NSH	1	5%	Won
Oct 3, 2026 OTT	1	4%	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

To score the first goal, 3rd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the first goal, 3rd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 COL	1	4%	Won
Oct 8, 2026 VGK	1	4%	Won
Oct 6, 2026 NSH	1	5%	Won
Oct 3, 2026 OTT	1	4%	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

To score the second goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the second goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 COL	1	4%	0.0	Won
Oct 8, 2026 VGK	1	4%	0.0	Won
Oct 6, 2026 NSH	1	5%	0.1	Won
Oct 3, 2026 OTT	1	4%	0.0	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

To score the third goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the third goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 COL	1	4%	0.0	Won
Oct 8, 2026 VGK	1	4%	0.0	Won
Oct 6, 2026 NSH	1	5%	0.1	Won
Oct 3, 2026 OTT	1	4%	0.0	Lost

Model's side won 3 of 4

Power-play points

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Power-play points: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 COL	0.5	17%	0.2	0	Lost

Model's side won 0 of 1

Recent games

Last 6 games
Game	G	A	PTS	SOG	Hits
Oct 10, 2026 at COL	0	1	1	0	1
Oct 8, 2026 at VGK	0	1	1	3	0
Oct 6, 2026 vs NSH	0	1	1	3	0
Oct 3, 2026 vs OTT	1	0	1	2	2
Sep 30, 2026 vs NYI	0	0	0	3	4
Sep 29, 2026 vs MTL	0	1	1	4	2
Season average (6 games)	0.2	0.7	0.8	2.5	1.5