John Tavares

NHL · Toronto Maple Leafs · C

Everything we track on John Tavares: injuries, props, our model's numbers and our agents' record.

Day-To-Day Reported Oct 11, 2026

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at UTA · Tue, Oct 13, 9:00 PM ET

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How our models have done on John Tavares

Assists

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Assists: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 8, 2026 VGK	0.5	34%	0.4	0	Won
Oct 6, 2026 NSH	1	38%	0.5	0	Won
Oct 3, 2026 OTT	1	36%	0.4	1	Lost

Model's side won 2 of 3

Goals

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Goals: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 8, 2026 VGK	0.5	29%	0.3	0	Won
Oct 6, 2026 NSH	0.5	33%	0.4	1	Lost
Oct 3, 2026 OTT	0.5	31%	0.4	0	Won

Model's side won 2 of 3

Points

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Points: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 8, 2026 VGK	0.5	53%	0.8	0	Lost
Oct 6, 2026 NSH	1	59%	0.9	1	Won
Oct 3, 2026 OTT	1	56%	0.8	1	Won

Model's side won 2 of 3

Points, 1st period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Points, 1st period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 8, 2026 VGK	1	20%	0.2	Won
Oct 6, 2026 NSH	1	22%	0.3	Won
Oct 3, 2026 OTT	1	21%	0.2	Won

Model's side won 3 of 3

Points, 2nd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Points, 2nd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 8, 2026 VGK	1	23%	0.3	Won
Oct 6, 2026 NSH	1	26%	0.3	Lost
Oct 3, 2026 OTT	1	24%	0.3	Lost

Model's side won 1 of 3

Points, 3rd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Points, 3rd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 8, 2026 VGK	1	23%	0.3	Won
Oct 6, 2026 NSH	1	26%	0.3	Won
Oct 3, 2026 OTT	1	25%	0.3	Won

Model's side won 3 of 3

Shots on goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Shots on goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 8, 2026 VGK	2.5	41%	2.3	0	Won
Oct 6, 2026 NSH	2.5	52%	2.8	6	Won
Oct 3, 2026 OTT	2.5	37%	2.2	3	Lost

Model's side won 2 of 3

Shots on goal, 1st period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Shots on goal, 1st period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 8, 2026 VGK	1	52%	0.8	Lost
Oct 6, 2026 NSH	1	59%	0.9	Won
Oct 3, 2026 OTT	1	51%	0.7	Won

Model's side won 2 of 3

Shots on goal, 2nd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Shots on goal, 2nd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 8, 2026 VGK	1	55%	0.8	Lost
Oct 6, 2026 NSH	1	61%	1.0	Won
Oct 3, 2026 OTT	1	53%	0.8	Won

Model's side won 2 of 3

Shots on goal, 3rd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Shots on goal, 3rd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 8, 2026 VGK	1	51%	0.7	Lost
Oct 6, 2026 NSH	1	58%	0.9	Won
Oct 3, 2026 OTT	1	49%	0.7	Won

Model's side won 2 of 3

To score a goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 8, 2026 VGK	0.5	29%	0.3	0	Won
Oct 6, 2026 NSH	0.5	33%	0.4	1	Lost
Oct 3, 2026 OTT	0.5	31%	0.4	0	Won

Model's side won 2 of 3

To score a goal, 1st period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal, 1st period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 8, 2026 VGK	1	9%	0.1	Won
Oct 6, 2026 NSH	1	11%	0.1	Won
Oct 3, 2026 OTT	1	10%	0.1	Won

Model's side won 3 of 3

To score a goal, 2nd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal, 2nd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 8, 2026 VGK	1	11%	0.1	Won
Oct 6, 2026 NSH	1	12%	0.1	Lost
Oct 3, 2026 OTT	1	12%	0.1	Won

Model's side won 2 of 3

To score a goal, 3rd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal, 3rd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 8, 2026 VGK	1	12%	0.1	Won
Oct 6, 2026 NSH	1	13%	0.1	Won
Oct 3, 2026 OTT	1	12%	0.1	Won

Model's side won 3 of 3

To score in overtime

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score in overtime: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 8, 2026 VGK	1	1%	Won
Oct 6, 2026 NSH	1	1%	Won
Oct 3, 2026 OTT	1	1%	Won

Model's side won 3 of 3

To score the first goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the first goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 8, 2026 VGK	0.5	5%	0.0	Won
Oct 6, 2026 NSH	0.5	6%	0.1	Won
Oct 3, 2026 OTT	0.5	5%	0.0	Won

Model's side won 3 of 3

To score the first goal, 2nd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the first goal, 2nd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 8, 2026 VGK	1	4%	Won
Oct 6, 2026 NSH	1	5%	Won
Oct 3, 2026 OTT	1	4%	Won

Model's side won 3 of 3

To score the first goal, 3rd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the first goal, 3rd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 8, 2026 VGK	1	4%	Won
Oct 6, 2026 NSH	1	5%	Won
Oct 3, 2026 OTT	1	4%	Won

Model's side won 3 of 3

To score the second goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the second goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 8, 2026 VGK	1	4%	0.0	Won
Oct 6, 2026 NSH	1	5%	0.1	Won
Oct 3, 2026 OTT	1	5%	0.0	Won

Model's side won 3 of 3

To score the third goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the third goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 8, 2026 VGK	1	4%	0.0	Won
Oct 6, 2026 NSH	1	5%	0.1	Won
Oct 3, 2026 OTT	1	5%	0.0	Won

Model's side won 3 of 3

Power-play points

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Power-play points: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 6, 2026 NSH	0.5	20%	0.2	0	Won

Model's side won 1 of 1

Recent games

Last 5 games
Game	G	A	PTS	SOG	Hits
Oct 8, 2026 at VGK	0	0	0	0	2
Oct 6, 2026 vs NSH	1	0	1	6	0
Oct 3, 2026 vs OTT	0	1	1	3	0
Sep 30, 2026 vs NYI	0	0	0	1	0
Sep 29, 2026 vs MTL	0	1	1	4	1
Season average (5 games)	0.2	0.4	0.6	2.8	0.6