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NHL predictions for Tuesday, October 13, 2026

Today's Kalshi NHL pick

How the model did

  • Our model's favourite won 9 of 16 games.
  • Its chance was closer to the result than the last Kalshi or Polymarket price before the start in 6 of 16.
  • Biggest miss: our model gave the Pittsburgh Penguins 66% and they lost.
  • Best call: the Seattle Kraken won at 49.5¢, with our model at 58%.
New Jersey Devils logoNew Jersey Devils logoNew Jersey DevilsDetroit Red Wings logoDetroit Red Wings logoDetroit Red Wings
FinalNJD 5, DET 4

Lineup goals model (Experimental), as of the start

  • NJDModel 37%Kalshi 49.5¢ (Last price before the start)−12.3 pts model vs market
  • DETModel 63%Kalshi 50.5¢ (Last price before the start)+12.3 pts model vs marketEdge
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Florida Panthers logoFlorida Panthers logoFlorida PanthersColumbus Blue Jackets logoColumbus Blue Jackets logoColumbus Blue Jackets
FinalFLA 7, CBJ 3

Lineup goals model (Experimental), as of the start

  • FLAModel 38%Kalshi 45.5¢ (Last price before the start)−7.9 pts model vs market
  • CBJModel 62%Kalshi 55.6¢ (Last price before the start)+6.9 pts model vs marketEdge
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Buffalo Sabres logoBuffalo Sabres logoBuffalo SabresMontréal Canadiens logoMontréal Canadiens logoMontréal Canadiens
FinalBUF 3, MTL 4

Lineup goals model (Experimental), as of the start

  • BUFModel 42%Kalshi 40.5¢ (Last price before the start)+1.0 pts model vs market
  • MTLModel 58%Kalshi 59.5¢ (Last price before the start)−1.0 pts model vs market
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Washington Capitals logoWashington Capitals logoWashington CapitalsCarolina Hurricanes logoCarolina Hurricanes logoCarolina Hurricanes
FinalWSH 2, CAR 4

Lineup goals model (Experimental), as of the start

  • WSHModel 44%Kalshi 41.5¢ (Last price before the start)+2.9 pts model vs market
  • CARModel 56%Kalshi 58.5¢ (Last price before the start)−2.9 pts model vs market
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Seattle Kraken logoSeattle Kraken logoSeattle KrakenPhiladelphia Flyers logoPhiladelphia Flyers logoPhiladelphia Flyers
FinalSEA 3, PHI 2

Lineup goals model (Experimental), as of the start

  • SEAModel 58%Kalshi 49.5¢ (Last price before the start)+8.8 pts model vs marketEdge
  • PHIModel 42%Kalshi 50.5¢ (Last price before the start)−8.8 pts model vs market
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Tampa Bay Lightning logoTampa Bay Lightning logoTampa Bay LightningNew York Rangers logoNew York Rangers logoNew York Rangers
FinalTBL 1, NYR 4

Lineup goals model (Experimental), as of the start

  • TBLModel 54%Kalshi 59.5¢ (Last price before the start)−5.1 pts model vs market
  • NYRModel 46%Kalshi 40.5¢ (Last price before the start)+5.1 pts model vs marketEdge
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St. Louis Blues logoSt. Louis Blues logoSt. Louis BluesOttawa Senators logoOttawa Senators logoOttawa Senators
FinalSTL 7, OTT 2

Lineup goals model (Experimental), as of the start

  • STLModel 49%Kalshi 53.5¢ (Last price before the start)−4.3 pts model vs market
  • OTTModel 51%Kalshi 46.5¢ (Last price before the start)+4.3 pts model vs marketEdge
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Vancouver Canucks logoVancouver Canucks logoVancouver CanucksNew York Islanders logoNew York Islanders logoNew York Islanders
FinalVAN 2, NYI 3

Lineup goals model (Experimental), as of the start

  • VANModel 34%Kalshi 33.4¢ (Last price before the start)+0.9 pts model vs market
  • NYIModel 66%Kalshi 65.5¢ (Last price before the start)+0.2 pts model vs market
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Pittsburgh Penguins logoPittsburgh Penguins logoPittsburgh PenguinsChicago Blackhawks logoChicago Blackhawks logoChicago Blackhawks
FinalPIT 3, CHI 5

Lineup goals model (Experimental), as of the start

  • PITModel 66%Kalshi 59.5¢ (Last price before the start)+6.5 pts model vs marketEdge
  • CHIModel 34%Kalshi 40.5¢ (Last price before the start)−6.5 pts model vs market
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Minnesota Wild logoMinnesota Wild logoMinnesota WildWinnipeg Jets logoWinnipeg Jets logoWinnipeg Jets
FinalMIN 2, WPG 5

Lineup goals model (Experimental), as of the start

  • MINModel 45%Kalshi 50.5¢ (Last price before the start)−5.4 pts model vs market
  • WPGModel 55%Kalshi 49.5¢ (Last price before the start)+5.4 pts model vs marketEdge
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Colorado Avalanche logoColorado Avalanche logoColorado AvalancheDallas Stars logoDallas Stars logoDallas Stars
FinalCOL 3, DAL 2

Lineup goals model (Experimental), as of the start

  • COLModel 53%Kalshi 49.5¢ (Last price before the start)+3.3 pts model vs market
  • DALModel 47%Kalshi 51.5¢ (Last price before the start)−4.3 pts model vs market
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Vegas Golden Knights logoVegas Golden Knights logoVegas Golden KnightsNashville Predators logoNashville Predators logoNashville Predators
FinalVGK 5, NSH 2

Lineup goals model (Experimental), as of the start

  • VGKModel 46%Kalshi 55.6¢ (Last price before the start)−9.2 pts model vs market
  • NSHModel 54%Kalshi 44.4¢ (Last price before the start)+9.2 pts model vs marketEdge

House agents' paper trades Paper

Each trade used its agent's model when it opened, so it can differ from the model above.

Game page
Toronto Maple Leafs logoToronto Maple Leafs logoToronto Maple LeafsUtah Mammoth logoUtah Mammoth logoUtah Mammoth
FinalTOR 4, UTA 5

Lineup goals model (Experimental), as of the start

  • TORModel 41%Kalshi 40.5¢ (Last price before the start)+0.1 pts model vs market
  • UTAModel 59%Kalshi 59.5¢ (Last price before the start)−0.1 pts model vs market
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Calgary Flames logoCalgary Flames logoCalgary FlamesAnaheim Ducks logoAnaheim Ducks logoAnaheim Ducks
FinalCGY 4, ANA 2

Lineup goals model (Experimental), as of the start

  • CGYModel 39%Kalshi 38.5¢ (Last price before the start)+0.9 pts model vs market
  • ANAModel 61%Kalshi 60.9¢ (Last price before the start)−0.3 pts model vs market
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Edmonton Oilers logoEdmonton Oilers logoEdmonton OilersLos Angeles Kings logoLos Angeles Kings logoLos Angeles Kings
FinalEDM 4, LAK 1

Lineup goals model (Experimental), as of the start

  • EDMModel 52%Kalshi 54.6¢ (Last price before the start)−2.7 pts model vs market
  • LAKModel 48%Kalshi 45.5¢ (Last price before the start)+2.7 pts model vs market
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Boston Bruins logoBoston Bruins logoBoston BruinsSan Jose Sharks logoSan Jose Sharks logoSan Jose Sharks
FinalBOS 6, SJS 3

Lineup goals model (Experimental), as of the start

  • BOSModel 62%Kalshi 54.6¢ (Last price before the start)+7.0 pts model vs marketEdge
  • SJSModel 39%Kalshi 45.5¢ (Last price before the start)−7.0 pts model vs market
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Paper trades today

0–1−$100.00house agents, 1 settled prediction-market trade

Trade on Kalshi

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Hypothetical paper trades. Not financial or trading advice.