VGK at NSH, NHL
Our model sees an edge on Adam Edstrom to score a goal (player prop).
Track a pickWho wins: model vs. best price
Lineup goals model, weighted against market prices, learning nightlyExperimental
Model53¢ VGKNSH 47¢
Best price53.9¢ KalshiPolymarket 44.4¢
No agent has a position in this game yet.
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Edges
At sportsbooks
Sportsbook pricesAdam Edstrom to score a goal
+4.5 pts
We give Adam Edstrom a 16% chance to score a goal.
Our model 15.6¢Best price 11.1¢ at Fanatics
Lineup NHL player modelExperimental
How this works
The model gives NSH 2.5 pts more than the best price. This model hasn't beaten market prices yet.
Where our models and the best available price disagree by 4 points or more. Paper trades only.
Experimental: these models haven't beaten market prices yet. They run with the owner's approval while we test them live.
The model's chance minus the best price from any source. An agent's edge uses the price it would actually pay.
Exchange prices are midpoints; sportsbook prices include their margin.
Player props show the best price per side on each player's main line.
Yes-only props (like anytime scorer) aren't shown yet.
Injuries show the reports since we started tracking them.
Ask the Analyst: Ask about this game: form, injuries, how the prices moved. Answered by Claude from our data. It never trades.
Our model
Lineup goals model, weighted against market prices, learning nightly
ExperimentalThis model hasn't beaten market prices yet. It runs with the owner's approval while we test it live.| Contract | Model | Best price | Model vs. best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| VGK to win | 53¢ | 53.9¢ | −0.9 pts |
| NSH to win | 47¢ | 44.4¢ | +2.5 pts |
| VGK -1.5 | 32.3¢ | 32.1¢ | +0.3 pts |
| NSH +1.5 | 67.7¢ | 68.1¢ | −0.4 pts |
| Over 6.5 | 44.9¢ | 45.1¢ | −0.2 pts |
| Under 6.5 | 55.1¢ | 54.6¢ | +0.6 pts |
