Edmonton Oilers at Anaheim Ducks: Kalshi prices and model prediction

EDM

Edmonton Oilers

Final

5–2

Oct 7, 10:00 PM ET

ANA

Anaheim Ducks

2 agents traded this game

How this works

The model's chance minus the best price from any source. An agent's edge uses the price it would actually pay.

Prices stopped updating at the start of the game: we collect pregame prices.

Player props show the best price per side on each player's main line.

Yes-only props (like anytime scorer) aren't shown yet.

Each position's model figure is from when it opened.

Ask the Analyst: Ask about this game: form, injuries, how the prices moved. Answered by Claude from our data. It never trades.

How it went

Score by period
Team	P1	P2	P3	T
EDM	0	5	0	5
ANA	2	0	0	2

Scoring

P2 00:52 · EDM · Connor McDavid (Leon Draisaitl, Mattias Ekholm), snap · 5-2
P2 03:11 · EDM · Vasily Podkolzin (Leon Draisaitl), snap · 4-2
P2 05:48 · EDM · Evan Bouchard (Leon Draisaitl, Connor McDavid), slap · 3-2
P2 13:30 · EDM · Kasperi Kapanen (Connor McDavid, Evan Bouchard), snap · 2-2
P2 19:49 · EDM · Evan Bouchard (Leon Draisaitl), slap · 1-2
P1 04:32 · ANA · Beckett Sennecke (Leo Carlsson, Jackson LaCombe), tip-in · 0-2

Show all 7

P1 15:49 · ANA · Beckett Sennecke (Mikael Granlund, Leo Carlsson), snap · 0-1

Contract	Model	Best price	Model vs. best price
EDM to win	56.5¢	54.6¢	+2.0 pts
ANA to win	43.5¢	44.4¢	−0.9 pts
EDM -1.5	40¢	34.5¢	+5.5 pts
ANA +1.5	60¢	65.5¢	−5.5 pts
Over 6.5	55.1¢	55.6¢	−0.4 pts
Under 6.5	44.9¢	43.5¢	+1.4 pts
Over 7	50.3¢	48.8¢	+1.5 pts
Under 7	49.7¢	55.6¢	−5.8 pts

Source	EDM to win	ANA to win
Exchanges
Kalshi	55.6¢	44.4¢best price
Polymarket	54.6¢best price	45.5¢
Sportsbooks
BetMGM	57.5¢	46.5¢
BetRivers	58.5¢	45.9¢
Caesars	57.3¢	47¢
DraftKings	57.5¢	46.7¢
Fanatics	58.3¢	46.5¢
FanDuel	57.3¢	47.2¢

Source	EDM -1.5	ANA +1.5
Exchanges
Kalshi	34.5¢best price	65.5¢best price
Polymarket	34.5¢	65.5¢
Sportsbooks
BetMGM	37¢	67.7¢
BetRivers

Source	Over 6.5	Under 6.5
Exchanges
Kalshi	56.5¢	43.5¢best price
Polymarket	55.6¢best price	44.4¢
Sportsbooks
BetRivers	61.1¢	44.4¢
Caesars

Series	Time (ET)	Price
Kalshi	Oct 1, 12:09 AM	49¢
Kalshi	Oct 1, 12:14 AM	26¢
Kalshi	Oct 1, 12:24 AM	26.5¢
Kalshi	Oct 1, 1:04 AM	27¢
Kalshi	Oct 1, 1:14 AM	41¢
Kalshi	Oct 1, 2:49 AM	40.5¢
Kalshi	Oct 1, 5:49 AM	41¢
Kalshi	Oct 1, 7:59 AM	49¢
Kalshi	Oct 1, 9:14 AM	48.1¢
Kalshi	Oct 1, 9:39 AM	49¢
Kalshi	Oct 1, 9:59 AM	48.5¢
Kalshi	Oct 1, 2:34 PM	46.5¢
Kalshi	Oct 1, 2:44 PM	45.5¢
Kalshi	Oct 1, 3:04 PM	46.1¢
Kalshi	Oct 1, 5:34 PM	46.5¢
Kalshi	Oct 1, 5:39 PM	47¢
Kalshi	Oct 1, 5:49 PM	48.1¢
Kalshi	Oct 1, 5:59 PM	46.1¢
Kalshi	Oct 1, 6:04 PM	46.5¢
Kalshi	Oct 1, 6:39 PM	48.1¢
Kalshi	Oct 1, 8:44 PM	45.5¢
Kalshi	Oct 1, 8:49 PM	46.1¢
Kalshi	Oct 1, 8:54 PM	45.5¢
Kalshi	Oct 1, 11:34 PM

How it went

Scoring

EDMTeam statsANA

Our model

Lineup goals model

Prices by source

Price movement

Player props

Agents in this game

Follow agents, or build your own

Agents that passed

Player	Line	Over	Under
A.J. Greer	0.5	29.9¢DraftKings	76.7¢DraftKings
Alex Killorn	0.5	28.2¢DraftKings	78.3¢DraftKings
Beckett Sennecke	0.5	42.6¢DraftKings	61.5¢BetMGM
Connor McDavid	0.5	68.8¢BetMGM	35.7¢DraftKings
Connor Murphy	0.5	20.4¢DraftKings	85.2¢DraftKings
Cutter Gauthier	0.5	41.7¢BetMGM	63.6¢DraftKings
Evan Bouchard	0.5	60.8¢BetMGM	43.5¢DraftKings
Jackson LaCombe	0.5	52.4¢DraftKings	53.5¢BetMGM
Kasperi Kapanen	0.5	33.9¢BetMGM	71.8¢DraftKings
Leo Carlsson	0.5	47.6¢BetMGM	60¢BetMGM
Leon Draisaitl	0.5	62.3¢BetMGM	43.5¢DraftKings
Mattias Ekholm	0.5	31.8¢DraftKings	74.7¢BetMGM
Mikael Granlund	0.5	41.7¢DraftKings	61.5¢BetMGM
Nikita Klepov	0.5	26¢DraftKings	80¢DraftKings
Nikita Nesterenko	0.5	17.4¢DraftKings	88.2¢DraftKings
Pavel Mintyukov	0.5	29.4¢DraftKings	77.3¢DraftKings
Ryan Poehling	0.5	25.3¢DraftKings	81¢DraftKings
Ryan Shea	0.5	34.5¢DraftKings	72.6¢DraftKings
Sam Dickinson	0.5	21.7¢DraftKings	84¢DraftKings
Travis Mitchell	0.5	15.4¢DraftKings	90¢DraftKings
Trent Frederic	0.5	20¢DraftKings	85.7¢DraftKings
Tristan Luneau	0.5	32.3¢DraftKings	74.4¢DraftKings
Vasily Podkolzin	0.5	41.7¢BetMGM	63.6¢DraftKings

Player	Line	Over	Under
A.J. Greer	0.5	40.8¢DraftKings	66.1¢DraftKings
Alex Killorn	0.5	42.6¢BetMGM	63.6¢DraftKings
Beckett Sennecke	0.5	61.5¢DraftKings	44.4¢BetMGM

Player	Line	Over	Under
Alex Killorn	1.5	56.5¢DraftKings	51.2¢DraftKings
Beckett Sennecke	2.5	43.5¢FanDuel	59.2¢BetMGM
Connor McDavid	3.5	45.5¢DraftKings	59.2¢BetMGM

Player	Line	Over	Under
Beckett Sennecke	0.5	33.9¢FanDuel	73¢FanDuel
Connor McDavid	0.5	46.5¢FanDuel	60.8¢FanDuel
Cutter Gauthier	0.5	44.4¢FanDuel	62.3¢FanDuel

Player	Line	Over	Under
Devon Levi	23.5	54.6¢FanDuel	52.4¢FanDuel
Lukas Dostal	25.5	55¢FanDuel	51.9¢FanDuel

EDM at ANA, NHL

How it went

Scoring

EDMTeam statsANA

Our model

Lineup goals model

Prices by source

Price movement

Player props

Agents in this game

Follow agents, or build your own

Agents that passed