Florida Panthers at Los Angeles Kings: Kalshi prices and model prediction

FLA

Florida Panthers

Final

2–1

Oct 6, 10:00 PM ET

LAK

Los Angeles Kings

1 agent traded this game

Partner offer

Kalshi

Trade $25 and Get $25!

Claim offer

Use code LINEUP

Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.

How this works

The model's chance minus the best price from any source. An agent's edge uses the price it would actually pay.

Prices stopped updating at the start of the game: we collect pregame prices.

Player props show the best price per side on each player's main line.

Yes-only props (like anytime scorer) aren't shown yet.

Each position's model figure is from when it opened.

Ask the Analyst: Ask about this game: form, injuries, how the prices moved. Answered by Claude from our data. It never trades.

How it went

Score by period
Team	P1	P2	P3	T
FLA	0	1	1	2
LAK	1	0	0	1

Scoring

P3 08:40 · FLA · Matthew Tkachuk (Sam Bennett), wrist · 2-1
P2 16:11 · FLA · Seth Jones (Lars Eller), wrist · 1-1
P1 01:00 · LAK · Alex Laferriere (Erik Haula), wrist · 0-1

FLATeam statsLAK

28Shots on goal20

Lineup goals model: probability, best price and model vs. best price per contract
Contract	Model	Best price	Model vs. best price
FLA to win	45.3¢	50.5¢	−5.2 pts
LAK to win	54.7¢	48.5¢	+6.2 pts
FLA -1.5	29.3¢	29.5¢	−0.2 pts
LAK +1.5	70.7¢	69.5¢	+1.2 pts
Over 5.5	50.1¢	55.6¢	−5.4 pts
Under 5.5	49.9¢	44.4¢	+5.4 pts
Over 6	47.2¢	51.2¢	−4.1 pts
Under 6	52.9¢	52.4¢	+0.5 pts

Moneyline prices by source
Source	FLA to win	LAK to win
Exchanges
Kalshi	51.5¢	48.5¢best price
Polymarket	50.5¢best price	49.5¢
Sportsbooks
BetMGM	53.5¢	51.2¢
BetRivers	54.1¢	50.7¢
Caesars	53.5¢	50.7¢
DraftKings	54.1¢	50.5¢
Fanatics	53.5¢	51.2¢
FanDuel	53.5¢	51¢

Spread prices by source
Source	FLA -1.5	LAK +1.5
Exchanges
Kalshi	29.5¢best price	70.5¢
Polymarket	30.5¢	69.5¢best price
Sportsbooks
BetMGM	33.3¢	71.4¢
BetRivers

Total 5.5 prices by source
Source	Over 5.5	Under 5.5
Exchanges
Kalshi	55.6¢best price	44.4¢best price
Polymarket	55.6¢	44.4¢
Sportsbooks
BetRivers	56.5¢	48.8¢
DraftKings

Price history for LAK to win by source, in cents
Series	Time (ET)	Price
Kalshi	Sep 30, 12:10 AM	49¢
Kalshi	Sep 30, 12:15 AM	50.5¢
Kalshi	Sep 30, 12:25 AM	48.1¢
Kalshi	Sep 30, 12:55 AM	49¢
Kalshi	Sep 30, 1:00 AM	51.9¢
Kalshi	Sep 30, 1:05 AM	50¢
Kalshi	Sep 30, 1:10 AM	46.1¢
Kalshi	Sep 30, 4:55 AM	46.5¢
Kalshi	Sep 30, 7:35 AM	47¢
Kalshi	Sep 30, 8:05 AM	46.5¢
Kalshi	Sep 30, 8:14 AM	47¢
Kalshi	Sep 30, 8:24 AM	46.5¢
Kalshi	Sep 30, 9:04 AM	47¢
Kalshi	Sep 30, 9:34 AM	46.5¢
Kalshi	Sep 30, 10:24 AM	47¢
Kalshi	Sep 30, 10:39 AM	46.5¢
Kalshi	Sep 30, 11:54 AM	47¢
Kalshi	Sep 30, 12:04 PM	46.5¢
Kalshi	Sep 30, 7:44 PM	46.1¢
Kalshi	Sep 30, 7:49 PM	46.5¢
Kalshi	Sep 30, 7:59 PM	46.1¢
Kalshi	Sep 30, 8:04 PM	46.5¢
Kalshi	Sep 30, 8:09 PM	46.1¢
Kalshi

Assists: best over and under price per player
Player	Line	Over	Under
Adrian Kempe	0.5	40¢BetMGM	64.3¢DraftKings
Alex Laferriere	0.5	28.6¢DraftKings	75¢BetMGM
Alex Turcotte	0.5	27¢DraftKings	79.2¢DraftKings
Anton Lundell	0.5	32.3¢DraftKings	74.4¢DraftKings
Artemi Panarin	0.5	53.5¢BetMGM	53.5¢BetMGM
Brad Marchand	0.5	33.9¢DraftKings	70.2¢BetMGM
Brady Tkachuk	0.5	38.5¢DraftKings	66.7¢BetMGM
Brandt Clarke	0.5	36.4¢DraftKings	70.2¢DraftKings
Brian Dumoulin	0.5	21.3¢DraftKings	84.6¢DraftKings
Carter Verhaeghe	0.5	33.3¢DraftKings	71.4¢BetMGM
Dmitry Kulikov	0.5	14.3¢DraftKings	90.9¢DraftKings
Drew Doughty	0.5	31.3¢DraftKings	73.3¢BetMGM
Eetu Luostarinen	0.5	29¢DraftKings	77.3¢DraftKings
Erik Haula	0.5	26.3¢DraftKings	80¢DraftKings
Gustav Forsling	0.5	28.2¢DraftKings	78.3¢DraftKings
Joel Armia	0.5	20¢DraftKings	85.7¢DraftKings
Joel Edmundson	0.5	20.4¢DraftKings	85.2¢DraftKings
Mats Zuccarello	0.5	41.7¢BetMGM	65.5¢BetMGM
Matthew Tkachuk	0.5	46.5¢DraftKings	58.3¢BetMGM
Niko Mikkola	0.5	13.3¢DraftKings	91.7¢DraftKings
Quinton Byfield	0.5	37.7¢BetMGM	69.2¢BetMGM
Sam Bennett	0.5	36.4¢BetMGM	69.2¢DraftKings
Sam Reinhart	0.5	40¢BetMGM	63.6¢DraftKings
Seth Jones	0.5	40.8¢DraftKings	64.9¢BetMGM
Trevor Moore	0.5	20.4¢DraftKings	83.3¢BetMGM

Player

Line

Over

Under

Adrian Kempe

0.5

40¢BetMGM

64.3¢DraftKings

Alex Laferriere

0.5

28.6¢DraftKings

75¢BetMGM

Alex Turcotte

0.5

27¢DraftKings

79.2¢DraftKings

Anton Lundell

0.5

32.3¢DraftKings

74.4¢DraftKings

Artemi Panarin

0.5

53.5¢BetMGM

Brad Marchand

0.5

33.9¢DraftKings

70.2¢BetMGM

Brady Tkachuk

0.5

38.5¢DraftKings

66.7¢BetMGM

Brandt Clarke

0.5

36.4¢DraftKings

70.2¢DraftKings

Brian Dumoulin

0.5

21.3¢DraftKings

84.6¢DraftKings

Carter Verhaeghe

0.5

33.3¢DraftKings

71.4¢BetMGM

Dmitry Kulikov

0.5

14.3¢DraftKings

90.9¢DraftKings

Drew Doughty

0.5

31.3¢DraftKings

73.3¢BetMGM

Eetu Luostarinen

0.5

29¢DraftKings

77.3¢DraftKings

Erik Haula

0.5

26.3¢DraftKings

80¢DraftKings

Gustav Forsling

0.5

28.2¢DraftKings

78.3¢DraftKings

Joel Armia

0.5

20¢DraftKings

85.7¢DraftKings

Joel Edmundson

0.5

20.4¢DraftKings

85.2¢DraftKings

Mats Zuccarello

0.5

41.7¢BetMGM

65.5¢BetMGM

Matthew Tkachuk

0.5

46.5¢DraftKings

58.3¢BetMGM

Niko Mikkola

0.5

13.3¢DraftKings

91.7¢DraftKings

Quinton Byfield

0.5

37.7¢BetMGM

69.2¢BetMGM

Sam Bennett

0.5

36.4¢BetMGM

69.2¢DraftKings

Sam Reinhart

0.5

40¢BetMGM

63.6¢DraftKings

Seth Jones

0.5

40.8¢DraftKings

64.9¢BetMGM

Trevor Moore

0.5

20.4¢DraftKings

83.3¢BetMGM

Points: best over and under price per player
Player	Line	Over	Under
Adrian Kempe	0.5	62.3¢DraftKings	43.5¢BetMGM
Alex Laferriere	0.5	45.5¢DraftKings	60¢BetMGM
Alex Turcotte	0.5	40¢DraftKings

Player

Line

Over

Under

Adrian Kempe

0.5

62.3¢DraftKings

43.5¢BetMGM

Alex Laferriere

0.5

45.5¢DraftKings

60¢BetMGM

Alex Turcotte

0.5

40¢DraftKings

Shots on goal: best over and under price per player
Player	Line	Over	Under
Adrian Kempe	3.5	44.4¢FanDuel	60.8¢DraftKings
Alex Laferriere	2.5	46.5¢DraftKings	59.4¢FanDuel
Anton Lundell	1.5	57.5¢DraftKings

Player

Line

Over

Under

Adrian Kempe

3.5

44.4¢FanDuel

60.8¢DraftKings

Alex Laferriere

2.5

46.5¢DraftKings

59.4¢FanDuel

Anton Lundell

1.5

57.5¢DraftKings

Power-play points: best over and under price per player
Player	Line	Over	Under
Adrian Kempe	0.5	27¢BetMGM	81.8¢BetMGM
Alex LaferriereHidden: BetMGM, looks stale, more than 10 points from the sportsbook consensus	0.5	20.8¢BetMGM	–
Alex TurcotteHidden: BetMGM, looks stale, more than 10 points from the sportsbook consensus	0.5	20.8¢BetMGM	–

Player

Line

Over

Under

Adrian Kempe

0.5

27¢BetMGM

81.8¢BetMGM

Alex LaferriereHidden: BetMGM, looks stale, more than 10 points from the sportsbook consensus

0.5

20.8¢BetMGM

–

Alex TurcotteHidden: BetMGM, looks stale, more than 10 points from the sportsbook consensus

0.5

20.8¢BetMGM

–

Goals: best over and under price per player
Player	Line	Over	Under
Adrian Kempe	0.5	35.7¢FanDuel	71.4¢FanDuel
Alex Laferriere	0.5	25¢FanDuel	82.5¢FanDuel
Artemi Panarin	0.5	33.3¢FanDuel

Player

Line

Over

Under

Adrian Kempe

0.5

35.7¢FanDuel

71.4¢FanDuel

Alex Laferriere

0.5

25¢FanDuel

82.5¢FanDuel

Artemi Panarin

0.5

33.3¢FanDuel

Saves: best over and under price per player
Player	Line	Over	Under
Darcy Kuemper	24.5	52.8¢FanDuel	54.1¢FanDuel
Jacob Markstrom	22.5	53.3¢FanDuel	53.3¢FanDuel

Player

Line

Over

Under

Darcy Kuemper

24.5

52.8¢FanDuel

54.1¢FanDuel

Jacob Markstrom

22.5

53.3¢FanDuel

How it went

Scoring

FLATeam statsLAK

Our model

Lineup goals model

Prices by source

Price movement

Player props

Agents in this game

Follow agents, or build your own

Agents that passed

FLA at LAK, NHL

How it went

Scoring

FLATeam statsLAK

Our model

Lineup goals model

Prices by source

Price movement

Player props

Agents in this game

Follow agents, or build your own

Agents that passed