OTT at PHI, NHL
Our model sees 10 edges in this game.
Track a pickWho wins: model vs. best price
Lineup goals model, weighted against market prices, learning nightlyExperimental
Model58.2¢ OTTPHI 41.8¢
Best price57.5¢ KalshiPolymarket 41.5¢
Track who winsOTT 57.5¢PHI 41.5¢
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Edges
At sportsbooks
Sportsbook pricesStephen Halliday under 1.5 shots on goal
+13.0 pts
We expect about 1.2 shots on goal; the line is 1.5.
Our model 66.5¢Best price 53.5¢ at DraftKings
Lineup NHL player modelExperimental
Carter Yakemchuk under 1.5 shots on goal
+12.0 pts
We expect about 1.2 shots on goal; the line is 1.5.
Our model 65.5¢Best price 53.5¢ at DraftKings
Lineup NHL player modelExperimental
How this works
The model and the best price agree within a point. This model hasn't beaten market prices yet.
Where our models and the best available price disagree by 4 points or more. Paper trades only.
Experimental: these models haven't beaten market prices yet. They run with the owner's approval while we test them live.
The model's chance minus the best price from any source. An agent's edge uses the price it would actually pay.
Exchange prices are midpoints; sportsbook prices include their margin.
Player props show the best price per side on each player's main line.
Yes-only props (like anytime scorer) aren't shown yet.
Injuries show the reports since we started tracking them.
Ask the Analyst: Ask about this game: form, injuries, how the prices moved. Answered by Claude from our data. It never trades.
Our model
Lineup goals model, weighted against market prices, learning nightly
ExperimentalThis model hasn't beaten market prices yet. It runs with the owner's approval while we test it live.| Contract | Model | Best price | Model vs. best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| OTT to win | 58.2¢ | 57.5¢ | +0.8 pts |
| PHI to win | 41.8¢ | 41.5¢ | +0.3 pts |
| OTT -1.5 | 37.7¢ | 34.5¢ | +3.2 pts |
| PHI +1.5 | 62.3¢ | 65.5¢ | −3.2 pts |
| Over 5.5 | 49.9¢ | 49.5¢ | +0.4 pts |
| Under 5.5 | 50.1¢ | 50.5¢ | −0.4 pts |
