Pontus Holmberg

NHL · Tampa Bay Lightning · R

Everything we track on Pontus Holmberg: injuries, props, our model's numbers and our agents' record.

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at NYR · Tue, Oct 13, 7:15 PM ET

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How our models have done on Pontus Holmberg

Goals

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Goals: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 NYI	1.5	1%	0.2	0	Won
Oct 8, 2026 MIN	1.5	1%	0.2	0	Won
Oct 5, 2026 PHI	1.5	1%	0.2	1	Won
Oct 3, 2026 WSH	1.5	1%	0.2	0	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

To score a goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 NYI	0.5	14%	0.2	0	Won
Oct 8, 2026 MIN	0.5	15%	0.2	0	Won
Oct 5, 2026 PHI	0.5	15%	0.2	1	Lost
Oct 3, 2026 WSH	0.5	14%	0.2	0	Won

Model's side won 3 of 4

Points

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Points: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 8, 2026 MIN	0.5	30%	0.4	0	Won
Oct 5, 2026 PHI	0.5	31%	0.4	2	Lost
Oct 3, 2026 WSH	0.5	28%	0.3	0	Won

Model's side won 2 of 3

To score a goal, 1st period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal, 1st period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 NYI	1	4%	Won
Oct 8, 2026 MIN	1	4%	Won
Oct 3, 2026 WSH	1	4%	Won

Model's side won 3 of 3

To score a goal, 2nd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal, 2nd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 NYI	1	5%	0.1	Won
Oct 8, 2026 MIN	1	5%	0.1	Won
Oct 3, 2026 WSH	1	5%	0.0	Won

Model's side won 3 of 3

To score a goal, 3rd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal, 3rd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 NYI	1	5%	0.1	Won
Oct 8, 2026 MIN	1	6%	0.1	Won
Oct 3, 2026 WSH	1	5%	0.1	Won

Model's side won 3 of 3

To score the first goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the first goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 NYI	0.5	2%	Won
Oct 8, 2026 MIN	0.5	2%	Won
Oct 3, 2026 WSH	0.5	2%	Won

Model's side won 3 of 3

To score the first goal, 2nd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the first goal, 2nd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 NYI	1	2%	Won
Oct 8, 2026 MIN	1	2%	Won
Oct 3, 2026 WSH	1	2%	Won

Model's side won 3 of 3

To score the first goal, 3rd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the first goal, 3rd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 NYI	1	2%	Won
Oct 8, 2026 MIN	1	2%	Won
Oct 3, 2026 WSH	1	2%	Won

Model's side won 3 of 3

To score the second goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the second goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 NYI	1	2%	Won
Oct 8, 2026 MIN	1	2%	Won
Oct 3, 2026 WSH	1	2%	Won

Model's side won 3 of 3

To score the third goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the third goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 NYI	1	2%	Won
Oct 8, 2026 MIN	1	2%	Won
Oct 3, 2026 WSH	1	2%	Won

Model's side won 3 of 3

Assists

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Assists: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 8, 2026 MIN	0.5	18%	0.2	0	Won
Oct 3, 2026 WSH	0.5	17%	0.2	0	Won

Model's side won 2 of 2

Points, 1st period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Points, 1st period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 3, 2026 WSH	1	9%	0.1	0	Won

Model's side won 1 of 1

Recent games

Last 5 games
Game	G	A	PTS	SOG	Hits
Oct 10, 2026 at NYI	0	0	0	0	0
Oct 8, 2026 vs MIN	0	0	0	1	0
Oct 5, 2026 vs PHI	1	1	2	3	1
Oct 3, 2026 vs WSH	0	0	0	0	0
Oct 1, 2026 at NYR	0	0	0	3	1
Season average (5 games)	0.2	0.2	0.4	1.4	0.4